Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for February 18, 2018

Here is the Sunday, February 18, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick Monte Carlo software. The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. 

• 1st Race 
• 5 - Elevenpoint River 
• 2 - Moonlight Train
• 7 - Petal Path
• 2nd Race
• 11 - Seaside Surprise
• 6 - Dixie Forest 
• 7 - Featherstone
• 3rd Race
• 9 - Artesia Wells 
• 3 - I'm a Lucky Guy 
• 6 - Runawaygrasshopper
• 4th Race
• 3 - Intercession 
• 2 - Corinthian's Glory
• 5 - Heavenly Daze
• 5th Race
• 12 - Sing Prada Sing 
• 6 - Posse Gone Wild 
• 8 - Kantastic
• 6th Race
• 5 - Strong Yen
• 4 - Westfest 
• 3 - Burgameister
• 7th Race
• 5 - Dan the Tin Man
• 7 - Richie the Bull
• 2 - Dale the Bug Man
• 8th Race
• 1 - Storm Advisory  
• 4 - Uncontested 
• 3 - Constantino
• 9th Race
• 3 - Got Mojo 
• 1 - Early Shipman
• 7 - Zack Ridge Road

For February 18, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) =0.00000000179 
• P(8 win) =0.00000013815 
• P(7 win) =0.00000469874 
• P(6 win) =0.00009265610 
• P(5 win) =0.00116739155 
• P(4 win) =0.00974575897 
• P(3 win) =0.05391273925 
• P(2 win) =0.19057919852 
• P(1 win) =0.39066169645 
• P(0 win) =0.35383572049

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win =0.64616427951 
• At least 2 win =0.25550258307 
• At least 3 win =0.06492338455 
• At least 4 win =0.01101064531 
• At least 5 win =0.00126488633 
• At least 6 win =0.00009749478 
• At least 7 win =0.00000483868 
• At least 8 win =0.00000013994 
• At least 9 win =0.00000000179

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.