Temporary Oaklawn Park Selections Pause

So, I have been making selections for the races at Oaklawn Park for the past 2.5 months using software that I wrote. However, the amount of manual interaction with the program results to get it on to the blogger platform has become too much. I still owe a results post from last weekend and I hope to get that up soon.

Anyway, until life slows down a whole lot or I get a chance to automate my posting ability in some way, I am going to pause in posting selections every day. I plan on posting a season summary and selection for Arkansas Derby. I hope the pause will give me time to think about how to improve the algorithm to get better results than I have seen this year. Have a good weekend!

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for March 10, 2018

We have another big stakes day on the card at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas on Saturday, March 10. The highlight of the day will be the Honeybee Stakes (G3) for 3 year-old fillies going a mile and 1/16. Here are the selections generated by my OakPick software for March 10, 2018. The selections here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 8 - What'sontheagenda 
• 5 - Doc Kane 
• 4 - Divine Interventio 
• 2nd Race 
• 6 - Jean's Beauty 
• 10 - Pocketfullofgreen 
• 8 - Whataclassylady 
• 3rd Race 
• 2 - St. Joe Bay 
• 3 - Rivers Run Deep 
• 4 - Imma Bling 
• 4th Race 
• 6 - Flat Out Fast 
• 7 - Grandpa's Dream 
• 9 - Heavy Roller 
• 5th Race 
• 8 - The Rouge Diesel 
• 7 - Get That Box 
• 9 - Star Dog 
• 6th Race 
• 4 - Wynn Time 
• 3 - Whitmore 
• 2 - Warrior's Club 
• 7th Race 
• 11 - Minecraft Maniac 
• 12 - Pop Culture 
• 13 - Gettin Even 
• 8th Race 
• 5 - Red Ruby
• 6 - Amy's Challenge 
• 2 - Stronger Than Ever  
• 9th Race 
• 3 - Nile Show 
• 2 - Jim's Angel 
• 10 - Dance Like Katie 

Good luck! Have a great day at the racetrack.

Oaklawn Park Selections for March 9, 2018

Here are the March 9, 2018 selections for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by my OakPick Monte Carlo software. The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 6 - Internet Success 
• 2 - Young Corbett 
• 4 - Pray Hard
• 2nd Race
• 1 - Oh Newman 
• 5 - Future Express 
• 7 - Match Up
• 3rd Race
• 4 - Zombie 
• 3 - You're Killin Me 
• 1 - Bye Crazy Eyes
• 4th Race
• 4 - Royal Edition 
• 3 - Remembering Rita 
• 5 - Switheral
• 5th Race
• 11 - Lord Turnem 
• 10 - Bluebird Ridge 
• 2 - Tiz too Much
• 6th Race
• 3 - Sonny Smack 
• 6 - Lighthawk 
• 2 - Grade
• 7th Race
• 7 - Oro Bird 
• 1 - Stina 
• 4 - C J's Flair
• 8th Race
• 4 - What a Star
• 1 - Treble 
• 5 - Honor Way
• 9th Race
• 2 - Magic Eraser 
• 7 - Ray's Big Boy 
• 8 - Me N Logan Ray

Have a good day at the races and good luck.

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for March 8, 2018

After a very positive week from the OakPick software, here is the March 8, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park. I am looking for a continue upswing in the returns for the program. The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. 

• 1st Race 
• 1/1A - Archusexy / City Seduction
• 4 - Chilean Queen
• 3 - Get Paid
• 2nd Race
• 2/2B - Quietly Cuba / Oh So Tall
• 4 - P C Suspect
• 7 - Ain'tseentheball
• 3rd Race
• 6 - Seeking Bull
• 4 - Castiel's Angel
• 8 - Papercoversrock
• 4th Race
• 2 - John Allen
• 5 - Coconut Ice
• 6 - Arch You Ready
• 5th Race
• 7 - Neck 'n Neck
• 4 - Cowboy Rhythm
• 3 - Eton Ridge
• 6th Race
• 1 - Song of Mine
• 5 - Plenty Quick
• 9 - Actress On Board
• 7th Race
• 1 - Bird Orr Brady
• 9 - Major Munnings
• 3 - Decorated Soldier
• 8th Race
• 6 - Malibu Max
• 4 - United Stand
• 1 - Money Talker
• 9th Race
• 1 - Pete's Play Call
• 2 - Cara Blythe
• 3 - Spring d'Oro

Have a great day at the races and good luck.

Monte Carlo Results from Oaklawn Park for March 1-4, 2018

Without changing the algorithm as I have been contemplating, the OakPick Monte Carlo software correctly chose 7 winners out of 31 races for a tidy profit of $28.60 (on a $2 win bet). In addition, a $1 exacta box play on the three contenders chosen by the program for the 36 races at Oaklawn Park this weekend would have resulted in a $70.00 profit. The full results of the OakPick predictions for the weekend of March 1-4, 2018 are shown below.

While the exacta box strategy is positive for the year, I still have very little confidence in it based on last season's results. For the same reason, I feel confident that the results on the $2 win bet strategy are likely to improve as the season finishes over the next 7 weeks.

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Results for March 1, 2018:

• 1st Race 
• 8 - Superstyle (Also Ran) 
• 7 - Brockton George (Win) 
• 4 - Ninth Hour (Also Ran) 
• 2nd Race 
• 7 - Senor Grits (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Como Se Llama (Place) 
• 5 - Midnight Shine (Also Ran) 
• 3rd Race 
• 1 - Mary Lou (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Dixie Flyer (Also Ran) 
• 7 - Elevenpoint River (Also Ran) 
• 4th Race 
• 5 - Plum Gorgeous (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Enchanting Embrace (Also Ran) 
• 1 - Big Red Seven (Place) 
• 5th Race 
• 3 - Tiz Funny (Win) 
• 9 - Snoose Sasa (Also Ran) 
• 11 - Tarpys Zip (SCRATCH) 
• 6th Race 
• 3 - Gettin Even (Also Ran) 
• 7 - Stormy Forecast (Also Ran) 
• 1 - One River Place (Show) 
• 7th Race 
• 12 - Mesa Skyline (Also Ran) 
• 1 - My Golden Tale (Also Ran) 
• 9 - Distorted Ransom (Also Ran) 
• 8th Race 
• 4 - Grade One (Place)
• 5 - Nuclear Option (Also Ran) 
• 1 - Pure Shot (Show) 
• 9th Race 
• 1 - B Dubya (Also Ran) 
• 5 - Jacob Rocks (Win) 
• 10 - Black Bomber (Also Ran)

Summary for Thursday, March 1 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner on Top Pick, 0 Exacta, 8 out of 26 OTB (1 scratch, 3 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 28 Days 
• $472 (236 Races, 18 Scratches on Top Pick) 
• Number of Winners Hit 
• 19 (8.1%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $267.40 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• -$204.60

Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:

• $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 28 Days 
• $1,312 (254 Races, $1,524 - $212 on adjustments for scratches) 
• Number of Exactas Hit 
• 20 (7.9%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $1,332.30 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• $20.30

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Results from March 2, 2018:

• 1st Race 
• 11 - Whatabout Lil Man (Also Ran) 
• 4 - Zapper Dan (Also Ran) 
• 5 - Cornstalker (Also Ran) 
• 2nd Race 
• 5 - Bee Boppin Baby (Also Ran) 
• 2 - Blueberry Shine (Place) 
• 1 - Cinema Doll (Also Ran) 
• 3rd Race 
• 4 - Bay's Commander (Place) 
• 12 - Divine Counsil (Also Ran) 
• 8 - Rick's Stryker (Also Ran) 
• 4th Race 
• 1 - Wildcat Shoals (Also Ran) 
• 3 - Spur (Place) 
• 6 - Stay Home (Also Ran) 
• 5th Race 
• 7 - Carouse (Also Ran) 
• 11 - More On Tap (Also Ran) 
• 10 - Far Out Kailee (Also Ran) 
• 6th Race 
• 12 - Dontsaymyname (SCRATCH) 
• 8 - Ms. D's Last Storm (Also Ran) 
• 5 - Transformative (Place) 
• 7th Race 
• 3 - Black Bear (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Knights Key (Place) 
• 8 - Richie the Bull (Win) 
• 8/6 Exacta: $96.40 
• 8th Race 
• 5 - Moolamiss (Place) 
• 3 - Awesome Day (Show) 
• 1 - Baby Spencer (Also Ran) 
• 9th Race 
• 6 - Ravens Reflection (Also Ran) 
• 9 - Bravo Dixie (Also Ran) 
• 1 - Calusa County (Also Ran)

Summary for Friday, March 2 at Oaklawn: 0 Winner on Top Pick, 1 Exacta, 8 out of 26 OTB (1 scratch, 1 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 29 Days 
• $472 (244 Races, 19 Scratches on Top Pick) 
• Number of Winners Hit 
• 19 (7.8%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $267.40 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• -$220.60

Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:

• $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 29 Days 
• $1,362 (263 Races, $1,578 - $216 on adjustments for scratches) 
• Number of Exactas Hit 
• 21 (8.0%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $1,428.70 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• $66.70

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Results for March 3, 2018:

• 1st Race 
• 5 - Best Shoes (Also Ran) 
• 4 - Princessof the Nyl (Place) 
• 6 - Way too Smarte (Also Ran) 
• 2nd Race 
• 4 - Gallopingguinness (SCRATCH) 
• 6 - Zack Ridge Road (Place) 
• 11 - Early Shipman (Also Ran) 
• 3rd Race 
• 2 - Mr Darcy (Show) 
• 4 - Zaevion (Also Ran) 
• 5 - Notation (Also Ran) 
• 4th Race 
• 4 - Dreamcall (Win) 
• 8 - Ruby Sioux (Also Ran) 
• 1 - It's the Truth (Also Ran) 
• 5th Race 
• 3 - Exclamation Point (Win) 
• 4 - Articulator (Also Ran) 
• 7 - Pickford (Also Ran) 
• 6th Race 
• 4 - Bolitar (Also Ran) 
• 8 - Toasting Master (Place) 
• 9 - Matrooh (Win) 
• 9/8 Exacta: $9.00 
• 7th Race 
• 1 - I Am (SCRATCH) 
• 7 - Five O One (Show) 
• 2 - J. E.'s Handmedown (Win) 
• 8th Race 
• 3 - Golden Mischief (Also Ran) 
• 2 - Okie Diva (Also Ran) 
• 4 - Defy (Also Ran) 
• 9th Race 
• 8 - Tapsolute (Win) 
• 1 - Gray Sky (Also Ran) 
• 5 - Susan's Reward (Also Ran)

Summary for Saturday, March 3 at Oaklawn: 3 Winner on Top Pick, 1 Exacta, 10 out of 25 OTB (2 scratch, 5 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 30 Days 
• $502 (251 Races, 21 Scratches on Top Pick) 
• Number of Winners Hit 
• 22 (8.8%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $287.80 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• -$214.20

Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:

• $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 30 Days 
• $1,408 (272 Races, $1,632 - $224 on adjustments for scratches) 
• Number of Exactas Hit 
• 22 (8.1%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $1,437.70 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• $29.70

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Results for March 4, 2018:

• 1st Race 
• 1 - Hung Over On Gin (Also Ran) / 1A - Tre Lee Divine (Win) 
• 4 - Uncle Pappy (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Tarpys Zip (Place) 
• 1/6 Exacta: $116.50 
• 2nd Race 
• 4 - Ella B Aly (Win) 
• 1 - Endless Bloom (Place) 
• 11 - Suspicious Lady (Also Ran) 
• 4/1 Exacta: $38.10 
• 3rd Race 
• 5 - Irish You Well (SCRATCH) 
• 6 - Moon Over Cuzco (Also Ran) 
• 7 - Malibu Tide (Also Ran) 
• 4th Race 
• 7 - Coco Honey (Also Ran) 
• 8 - Dark Bloom (Also Ran) 
• 11 - Tickled by Elmo (Also Ran) 
• 5th Race 
• 12 - Rippin Ranger (SCRATCH) 
• 3 - Mud Light (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Loyalist (SCRATCH) 
• 6th Race 
• 9 - Strike Rate (Also Ran) 
• 2 - Yellow Wolf (Place) 
• 3 - Hidden Bamboo (Also Ran) 
• 7th Race 
• 9 - Only Liquor (Also Ran) 
• 1 - Twirling Cinnamon (Show) 
• 6 - Fleet Gold Digger (Also Ran) 
• 8th Race 
• 2 - Smart Spree (Win) 
• 6 - El Charro (Show) 
• 5 - Purely Given (Also Ran) 
• 9th Race 
• 3 - Sturn Donna (Also Ran) 
• 6 - Good Wishes (Also Ran) 
• 5 - Mystical Temple (Also Ran)

Summary for Sunday, March 4 at Oaklawn: 3 Winner on Top Pick, 2 Exacta, 8 out of 24 OTB (3 scratch, 3 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 31 Days 
• $516 (258 Races, 23 Scratches on Top Pick) 
• Number of Winners Hit 
• 25 (9.7%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $343.40 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• -$172.60

Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:

• $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 31 Days 
• $1,452 (272 Races, $1,686 - $234 on adjustments for scratches) 
• Number of Exactas Hit 
• 24 (8.5%) 
• Total Return on Winners 
• $1,592.30 
• Running Profit/Loss 
• $140.30

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The OakPick software was really on the nose with Win Bets on the top pick. The win rate was 22.6%. This weekend raised the overall season prediction rate from 7.9% to 9.7%. As I mentioned last week during the summary, the expectation is that the program should pick between 12 - 15% through the entire season. Thanks for following along. The first picks of the new week of racing will come out on Wednesday night.

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for March 4, 2018

Here is the Sunday, March 4, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software. The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. 

• 1st Race 
• 1 - Hung Over On Gin / 1A - Tre Lee Divine
• 4 - Uncle Pappy 
• 6 - Tarpys Zip
• 2nd Race
• 4 - Ella B Aly 
• 1 - Endless Bloom 
• 11 - Suspicious Lady
• 3rd Race
• 5 - Irish You Well 
• 6 - Moon Over Cuzco
• 7 - Malibu Tide
• 4th Race
• 7 - Coco Honey 
• 8 - Dark Bloom 
• 11 - Tickled by Elmo
• 5th Race
• 12 - Rippin Ranger
• 3 - Mud Light 
• 6 - Loyalist
• 6th Race
• 9 - Strike Rate 
• 2 - Yellow Wolf 
• 3 - Hidden Bamboo
• 7th Race
• 9 - Only Liquor 
• 1 - Twirling Cinnamon
• 6 - Fleet Gold Digger
• 8th Race
• 2 - Smart Spree 
• 6 - El Charro 
• 5 - Purely Given
• 9th Race
•  3 - Sturn Donna 
• 6 - Good Wishes 
• 5 - Mystical Temple

Good luck and enjoy your day at the track!

Oaklawn Park Selections for March 3, 2018

Saturday, March 3 promises to be a great day of racing in Hot Springs at Oaklawn Park. There are 2 stakes races on the card (the 7th and 8th). Here are the selections for Oaklawn Park generated by my OakPick Monte Carlo software. I have not changed the algorithm since last year when I first wrote it, but I am currently toying with a few ideas that will likely increase the number of winners. As always, the predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. 

• 1st Race 
• 5 - Best Shoes
• 4 - Princessof the Nyl
• 6 - Way too Smarte
• 2nd Race
• 4 - Gallopingguinness
• 6 - Zack Ridge Road 
• 11 - Early Shipman
• 3rd Race
• 2 - Mr Darcy 
• 4 - Zaevion 
• 5 - Notation
• 4th Race
• 4 - Dreamcall 
• 8 - Ruby Sioux 
• 1 - It's the Truth
• 5th Race
• 3 - Exclamation Point
• 4 - Articulator 
• 7 - Pickford
• 6th Race
• 4 - Bolitar 
• 8 - Toasting Master 
• 9 - Matrooh
• 7th Race
• 1 - I Am 
• 7 - Five O One
• 2 - J. E.'s Handmedown
• 8th Race
• 3 - Golden Mischief 
• 2 - Okie Diva 
• 4 - Defy
• 9th Race
• 8 - Tapsolute 
• 1 - Gray Sky 
• 5 - Susan's Reward

Have a great day at the races and good luck!

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for March 2, 2018

Here is the Friday, March 2, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. 

• 1st Race 
• 11 - Whatabout Lil Man 
• 4 - Zapper Dan 
• 5 - Cornstalker
• 2nd Race
• 5 - Bee Boppin Baby 
• 2 - Blueberry Shine 
• 1 - Cinema Doll
• 3rd Race
• 4 - Bay's Commander
• 12 - Divine Counsil 
• 8 - Rick's Stryker
• 4th Race
• 1 - Wildcat Shoals 
• 3 - Spur 
• 6 - Stay Home
• 5th Race
• 7 - Carouse
• 11 - More On Tap 
• 10 - Far Out Kailee
• 6th Race
• 12 - Dontsaymyname
• 8 - Ms. D's Last Storm 
• 5 - Transformative
• 7th Race
• 3 - Black Bear 
• 6 - Knights Key
• 8 - Richie the Bull
• 8th Race
• 5 - Moolamiss 
• 3 - Awesome Day 
• 1 - Baby Spencer
• 9th Race
• 6 - Ravens Reflection 
• 9 - Bravo Dixie 
• 1 - Calusa County 

Have a good day at the races and good luck.