Monday, April 29, 2019

Summary of April 27, 2019 Oaklawn Contest

Time got away from me while trying to follow the contest between Lee, Adam, and me on Saturday. Below are the results race by race (from Race 4) reconstructed from my phone.

************************
Race 4 (3-7-6-5) Selections:

Adam ($15):
  • $1.00 Exacta Box: 2, 3, 4 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $1.00 Trifecta: 2, 3, 4 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00 
  • $1.00 Double: 2,3,4 / 1 ($3)
    • Return: $0.00 
Lee ($6):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 3 / 5,7  / 2,4 ($2)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 7 / 3,5  / 2,4 ($2)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 5 / 3,7  / 2,4 ($2)
    • Return: $0.00  
Russ ($10):
  • $10 Win:  5 ($10)
    • Return: $0.00  
Standings after Race 4:  
  • Russ:  $88.80
  • Lee: $82.70
  • Adam: $60.00
************************
Race 5 (3-4-2-6) Selections:

Adam ($5):
  • $1.00 Exacta: 1/ 3, 8, 9 ($3)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 1,8 / 1,8 / 3,9 ($2)
    • Return: $0.00
Lee ($6):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 8 / 1,2,3  / 4,9 ($3)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2 / 1,3,8  / 4,9 ($3)
    • Return: $0.00  
Russ ($9):
  • $5.00 Win: 1 ($5)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $2.00 Exacta: 1 / 4,8 ($4)
    • Return: $0.00 
Standings after Race 5:  
  • Russ:  $79.80
  • Lee: $76.70
  • Adam: $55.00
************************
Race 6 (5-2-1-8) Selections:

Adam (Pass):
  • No selections (Pass)
Lee ($4):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 8 / 1,5 / 3,6 ($2)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 5 / 1,8 / 3,6 ($2)
    • Return: $0.00  
Russ ($15):
  • $10.00 Exacta: 8 / 5 ($10)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $5.00 Exacta: 5 / 8 ($5)
    • Return: $0.00 
Standings after Race 6:  
  • Lee: $72.70
  • Russ:  $64.80
  • Adam: $55.00
************************
Race 7 (10-1-9-2) Selections:

Adam ($6):
  • $1.00 Trifecta Box: 1, 9, 10 ($6)
    • Return: $40.20
Lee ($15.60):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 10 / 7,8,9  / 1,2,4 ($4.50)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 9 / 7,8,9 / 1,2,4 ($4.50)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $0.10 Superfecta: 10 / 7,8,9 / 1,2,4 / 3,4,5,6 ($3.30)
    • Return: $0.00
  •  $0.10 Superfecta: 9 / 7,8,10 / 1,2,4 / 3,4,5,6 ($3.30)
    • Return: $0.00
Russ ($25):
  • $25.00 Win: 10 ($25)
    • Return: $57.50
Standings after Race 7:  
  • Russ:  $97.30
  • Adam: $89.20
  • Lee: $57.10
************************
Race 8 (8-3-9-7) Selections:

Adam ($20):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,7 / 1,3,7 / 1,3,7,9 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $5.00 Show: 9 ($5)
    • Return: $15.50
  • $2.00 WPS: 7 ($6)
    •  Return: $0.00
Lee ($7.00):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 7 / 1,2,3 / 2,3,4 ($3)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 3 / 1,2,7 / 2,3,4 ($3)
    • Return: $0.00
Russ ($10):
  • $10.00 Win: 7 ($10)
    • Return: $0.00
Standings after Race 8:  
  • Russ:  $87.30
  • Adam: $84.50
  • Lee: $50.10
************************
Race 9 (4-1-6-5) Selections:

Adam ($37):
  • $0.10 Superfecta Box: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6 ($12)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 6 / 1,2,3,4 / 1,2,3,4 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $1.00 Exacta: 6 / 1,2,3,4 ($4)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $5.00 Win:  6 ($5)
    •  Return: $0.00
  • $10 Double: 6 / 1  ($10)
    •  Return: $0.00
Lee ($17.00):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 5 / 1,2,3,4  / 3,4,6,8 ($8.50)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 1 / 2,3,4,5 / 3,4,6,8 ($8.50)
    • Return: $0.00
Russ ($25):
  • $25.00 Win: 6 ($25)
    • Return: $0.00
Standings after Race 9:  
  • Russ:  $62.30
  • Adam: $47.50
  • Lee: $57.10
************************
Race 10 (5-1-10-7) Selections:

Adam ($16):
  • $0.50 Superfecta Box: 1 / 2,7 / 2,3,5,7 / 2,3,5,7 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 1 / 2,3,5,7 / 2,3,5,7 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $2.00 Exacta: 1 / 2,7 ($4)
    • Return: $0.00
Lee ($12):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 7 / 1,2,6 / 3,4,8,9 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00  
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2 / 1,6,7 / 3,4,8,9 ($6)
    • Return: $0.00
Russ ($41):
  • $25.00 Win: 1 ($25)
    • Return: $0.00
  • $4.00 Exacta Key Box:  1 / 2,7 ($16)
    •  Return: $0.00
Final Standings:
  • Adam: $31.50 
  • Russ: $21.30
  • Lee: $21.10

Saturday, April 27, 2019

April 27 Race 3 Results, Race 4 Selections

Here are the Oaklawn Park contest standings after Race 3 on April 27:

Race 3 result: 6-1-3-8

Adam:

  • Bankroll at risk ($7.00)
    • $2.00 Exacta Box:  3, 6 ($4)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6 / 3,6 / 7,8,9 ($3)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $3.00 Double:  11 / 3 ($3)
      • Return: $0.00 (started Race 2)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $75.00 + $0.00 = $75.00
Lee:
  • Bankroll at risk ($7.00)
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 6 / 3,7,8 / 5,7,8 ($3.50)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 3 / 6,7,8 / 5,7,8 ($3.50)
      • Return: $0.00
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $88.70 + $0.00 = $88.70
Russ:
  • Bankroll at risk ($10.00)
    • $3.00 Exacta: 7 / 6 ($3)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $5.00 Exacta: 6 / 7
      • Return: $0.00
    • $2.00 Double: 6,7 / 5
      • Return: -- (see Race 4)
    • $2.00 Double:  11 / 3,6,7,8 ($8)
      • Return: 10.80 (started Race 3)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $88.00 + $10.80 = $98.80
Standings after Race 3:  
  • Russ:  $98.80
  • Lee: $88.70
  • Adam: $75.00
************************
Race 4 Selections:



Adam ($15):
  • $1.00 Exacta Box: 2, 3, 4 ($6)
  • $1.00 Trifecta: 2, 3, 4 ($6)
  • $1.00 Double: 2,3,4 / 1 ($3)
Lee ($6):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 3 / 5,7  / 2,4 ($2)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 7 / 3,5  / 2,4 ($2)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 5 / 3,7  / 2,4 ($2)
Russ ($10):
  • $10 Win:  5 ($10)

April 27 Race 2 Results, Race 3 Selections

Here are the Oaklawn Park contest standings after Race 3 on April 27:

Race 2 result: 11-12-2-6

Adam:

  • Bankroll at risk ($12.00)
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 11 / 4,5 / 4, 5 ($1)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $1.00 Exacta Box: 4, 11 ($2)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $1.00 Exacta Box: 5, 11 ($2)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $2.00 Show:  4, 5 ($4)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $3.00 Double:  11 / 3 ($3)
      • Return: -- (see Race 3)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $82.00 + $0.00 = $82.00
Lee:
  • Bankroll at risk ($4)
    • $2.00 Win: 11 ($2)
      • Return: $3.20
    • $2.00 Show: 6 ($2)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $1.00 Double: 3 / 11 ($1)
      • Return: $7.00 (started Race 1)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $85.50 + $10.20 = $95.70
Russ:
  • Bankroll at risk ($8.00)
    • $2.00 Double:  11 / 3,6,7,8 ($8)
      • Return: -- (see Race 3)
    • $3.00 Double: 2,3 / 11 ($6)
      • Return: $21.00 (started Race 1)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $77.00 + $21.00 = $98.00
Standings after Race 2:  
  • Russ:  $98.00
  • Lee: $95.70
  • Adam: $82.00
************************
Race 2 Selections:

Adam ($7):
  • $2.00 Exacta Box:  3, 6 ($4)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6 / 3,6 / 7,8,9 ($3)
Lee ($7):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 6 / 3,7,8 / 5,7,8 ($3.50)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 3 / 6,7,8 / 5,7,8 ($3.50)
Russ ($10):
  • $3.00 Exacta: 7 / 6
  • $5.00 Exacta: 6 / 7
  • $2.00 Double: 6,7 / 5


April 27, 2019 Race 1 Results, Race 2 Selections

Here are the Oaklawn Park contest standings after Race 1 on April 27:

Race 1 result: 3-6-7-2

Adam:

  • Bankroll at risk ($6.00)
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 2,3 / 6,7,8,9 ($4)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $1.00 Exacta Box: 2, 3 ($2)
      • Return: $0.00
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $94.00 + $0.00 = $94.00
Lee:
  • Bankroll at risk ($10.50)
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 2,3 / 6,8,9 ($3)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6 / 2,3,6 / 3,6,8,9 ($5.50)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $1.00 Double: 2 / 11 ($1)
      • Return:  $0.00
    • $1.00 Double: 3 / 11 ($1)
      • Return: -- (see Race 2)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $89.50 + $0.00 = $89.50
Russ:
  • Bankroll at risk ($15.00)
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 2,3 / 6,8,9 ($3)
      • $0.00
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 8 / 2,3 / 2,3 ($1)
      • $0.00
    • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 8 / 2,3 ($1)
      • $0.00
    • $2.00 Exacta Box: 2, 3 ($4)
      • Return: $0.00
    • $3.00 Double: 2,3 / 11 ($6)
      • Return: -- (see Race 2)
  • Remaining Bankroll 
    • $85.00 + $0.00 = $85.00
Current standings:  
  • Adam: $94.00
  • Lee:  $89.50
  • Russ: $85.00
************************
Race 2 Selections:

Adam ($12):
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 11 / 4,5 / 4, 5 ($1)
  • $1.00 Exacta Box: 4, 11 ($2)
  • $1.00 Exacta Box: 5, 11 ($2)
  • $2.00 Show:  4, 5 ($4)
  • $3.00 Double:  11 / 3 ($3)
Lee ($4):
  • $2.00 Win: 11 ($2)
  • $2.00 Show: 6 ($2)
Russ ($8):
  • $2.00 Double:  11 / 3,6,7,8 ($8)

Friendly Oaklawn Park Contest for April 27, 2019

My brothers and I decided to have a contest on the Oaklawn Park card for April 27. Each of us starts with a fictional bankroll of $100. We have restricted the wagering to the following:

  • Win
  • Place
  • Show
  • Exacta
  • Trifecta 
  • Superfecta
  • Double
As the contest goes on, we are allowed to use any winnings in future races. The brother with the biggest pile of fake cash at the end of the day wins the contest. 

Adam will risk $6 his bankroll in the first race with these wagers:
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 2,3 / 6,7,8,9 ($4)
  • $1.00 Exacta Box: 2, 3 ($2)
Lee will bet $10.50 in the first race this way:
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 2,3 / 6,8,9 ($3)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,6 / 2,3,6 / 3,6,8,9 ($5.50)
  • $1.00 Double: 2 / 11 ($1)
  • $1.00 Double: 3 / 11 ($1)
I will put $15 in the fake pools in this first race:
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 2,3 / 6,8,9 ($3)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 8 / 2,3 / 2,3 ($1)
  • $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3 / 8 / 2,3 ($1)
  • $2.00 Exacta Box: 2, 3 ($4)
  • $3.00 Double: 2,3 / 11 ($6)
I will post our contest picks during the racing day tomorrow. 

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Oaklawn Park Selections for April 4, 2019

We are just a couple of weeks from the Arkansas Derby, and the Triple Crown trail has never been more murky. In any case, Oaklawn is looking forward to a great weekend of racing highlighted by the Carousel Stakes on Saturday. Here is the Thursday, April 4, 2019 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the Python PyPick software (a Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

  • Race 1:  4-7-5-2
  • Race 2:  1-3-4-5
  • Race 3:  7-1-4-5
  • Race 4:  3-7-1-9
  • Race 5:  9-4-10-2
  • Race 6:  3-7-10-11
  • Race 7:  2-8-5-7
  • Race 8:  6-7-5-8
  • Race 9:  1-9-2-6
The wagers that I am tracking using this spreadsheet are the following:
  • $2 Win bet on top pick
  • $1 Exacta Key Box 
    • Top Pick WITH others
  • $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
    • Top Pick WITH others WITH others
    • others WITH Top Pick WITH others
    • others WITH others WITH Top Pick
Have a good day at the races and good luck.

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