Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for February 16, 2018

Here is the February 16, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by my OakPick Monte Carlo software. The predictions here are always free (you get what you pay for), but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 7 - Serious I Candy 
• 4 - Blues Corner 
• 8 - Sweet Tatum
• 2nd Race
• 7 - Piratess 
• 12 - Chloe Creek 
• 11 - Ordained Kiss
• 3rd Race
• 9 - Read the Cards 
• 7 - Forge Ahead Franki 
• 2 - Kerugma
• 4th Race
• 2 - Darion's Dream 
• 8 - Big Axe 
• 9 - Arch Arch Baby
• 5th Race
• 2 - Choir Director 
• 5 - Spring d'Oro 
• 6 - Long Station
• 6th Race
• 3 - Good Move 
• 5 - Noho 
• 4 - Unprovoked
• 7th Race
• 3 - Cowboy U Know 
• 8 - Jive Daddy 
• 9 - Or Sunday
• 8th Race
• 1 - Okie Diva 
• 6 - Profound Moment 
• 3 - Our Majesty
• 9th Race
• 5 - Good Play 
• 8 - After Party 
• 3 - Otto's Dream

For February 16, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000149 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000011610 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000401133 
• P(6 win) = 0.00008058390 
• P(5 win) = 0.00103735467 
• P(4 win) = 0.00887454930 
• P(3 win) = 0.05045811811 
• P(2 win) = 0.18387053946 
• P(1 win) = 0.38968707133 
• P(0 win) = 0.36598765432

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.63401234568 
• At least 2 win = 0.24432527435 
• At least 3 win = 0.06045473489 
• At least 4 win = 0.00999661679 
• At least 5 win = 0.00112206748 
• At least 6 win = 0.00008471282 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000412892 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000011759 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000149

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck. A summary of the weekend's results will be posted early next week.