Tuesday, February 27, 2018

Monte Carlo Results at Oaklawn February 22-25, 2018

The sixth week of racing at Oaklawn Park brought a positive change of fortune. The OakPick Monte Carlo software ended the weekend +37.20 for 33 races (three top picks scratched). I was just about ready to scrap the whole thing and start over after the first five weeks of this season, but the program may just be catching its stride. In any case, here are the weekend's results.

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Results for Thursday, February 22:
  • 1st Race
    • 7 - Picture Tube (Also Ran) 
    • 5 - Strawn's Cash (Show) 
    • 8 - Reverend Sam (Win)
  • 2nd Race
    • 1 - Eidolon (Win) 
    • 7 - Okie Toast (Also Ran) 
    • 4 - Ornamental Iron (Also Ran)
  • 3rd Race 
    • 2 - Wild About You (Place) 
    • 6 - Treasury Bill (Also Ran) 
    • 4 - Perfect Saint (Also Ran)
  • 4th Race 
    • 11 - Munyak (Also Ran) 
    • 4 - East Moon Lake (Show) 
    • 5 - Ray's Big Boy (Also Ran)
  • 5th Race 
    • 1 - R Nanalee (Also Ran) 
    • 8 - Cats Honor (Also Ran) 
    • 2 - Acumen (Place)
  • 6th Race 
    • 3 - Paganol (Win) 
    • 6 - Indy Awesome (Also Ran) 
    • 1 - Silver Spun (SCRATCH)
  • 7th Race 
    • 2 - Nonhelma (Win) 
    • 5 - Notnthemoodforthat (Also Ran) 
    • 1 - She Beast (Show)
  • 8th Race 
    • 2 - Eskimo Kisses (Win) 
    • 1 - First Alternate (Place) 
    • 5 - Sydney Freeman (Show) 
    • 2/1 Exacta: $18.60 
    • 2/1/5 Trifecta: $44.70
  • 9th Race 
    • 1 - Murika (SCRATCH) 
    • 3 - La Fee Verte (Place) 
    • 7 - Mandy's Grace (Win) 
    • 7/3 Exacta: $21.60
Summary for Thursday, February 22 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners on Top Pick, 2 Exacta, 1 Trifecta, 14 out of 25 OTB (2 scratch, 6 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 24 Days 
    • $404 (202 Races, 16 Scratches on Top Pick) 
  • Number of Winners Hit 
    • 16 (7.9%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $238.40  
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$165.60
Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:
  • $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 24 Days 
    • $1,126 (218 Races, $1,308  - $182 on adjustments for scratches) 
  • Number of Exactas Hit 
    • 16 (7.3%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $1,253.10 
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • $127.10
 ************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Results from February 23, 2018:
  • 1st Race 
    • 1 - Letsrockthisparty (SCRATCH) 
    • 3 - Scrimps (Also Ran) 
    • 7 - Kingofthefairway (SCRATCH)
  • 2nd Race 
    • 1 - Moon Over Cuzco (Also Ran) 
    • 5 - Sabbatarian (SCRATCH) 
    • 12 - Belvin (Also Ran)
  • 3rd Race 
    • 10 - Trading Cash (SCRATCH) 
    • 2 - Corbin (Also Ran) 
    • 5 - Fareeq (Also Ran)
  • 4th Race 
    • 2 - Get That Box (Win) 
    • 5 - Dynabeaver (Show) 
    • 3 - Luv Bandit (Also Ran)
  • 5th Race
    • 1/1A - Coastal Highway (Also Ran) / Daring Ego (Also Ran) 
    • 6 - Ripe (Show) 
    • 5 - Take Charge Easy (Also Ran)
  • 6th Race 
    • 2 - Princess Drossie (Show) 
    • 1 - Ma'am (Win) 
    • 6 - Wholehearted (Also Ran)
  • 7th Race 
    • 7 - Superstar Bea (Also Ran) 
    • 9 - Savedbyanangel (Also Ran) 
    • 6 - Frijolilla (Also Ran)
  • 8th Race 
    • 8 - Action Everyday (Also Ran) 
    • 7 - The Red Dude (Show) 
    • 1 - Rapid Dial (Also Ran)
  • 9th Race 
    • 8 - General Sherman (Also Ran) 
    • 3 - Taylor's Sense (Win) 
    • 4 - Bow Ready (Place) 
    • 3/4 Exacta: $8.50
Summary for Friday, February 23 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner on Top Pick, 1 Exacta, 8 out of 23 OTB (4 scratch, 3 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 25 Days 
  • $418 (209 Races, 18 Scratches on Top Pick)
  • Number of Winners Hit 
  • 17 (8.1%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
  • $246.60 
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • -$171.40
Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:
  • $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 25 Days 
    • $1,166 (227 Races, $1,362 - $196 on adjustments for scratches) 
  • Number of Exactas Hit
    • 17 (7.5%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $1,261.60
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • $95.60
 ************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Results for February 24, 2018:
  • 1st Race 
    • 6 - Freestyler (Show) 
    • 5 - Bad Student (Win) 
    • 2 - Hunter's Strike (Place) 
    • 5/2 Exacta: $27.30
    • 5/2/6 Trifecta: $32.10
  • 2nd Race 
    • 3 - Bluebird Ridge (Also Ran) 
    • 4 - Farley (SCRATCH) 
    • 5 - Nicky Numbers (Also Ran)
  • 3rd Race 
    • 3 - Serious I Candy (Win) 
    • 6 - Graceland (Also Ran) 
    • 8 - Promissory Note (Place) 
    • 3/8 Exacta: $18.90
  • 4th Race 
    • 3 - McQ (Place) 
    • 2 - Hillbilly Royalty (Also Ran) 
    • 7 - Rippin Ranger (SCRATCH)
  • 5th Race 
    • 5 - Bubbas Dixie (Also Ran) 
    • 4 - Husker Red (Show) 
    • 6 - King Abner (Win)
  • 6th Race 
    • 6 - Mogowan (Also Ran) 
    • 3 - Out of Hydeing (Show) 
    • 4 - Berko (Also Ran)
  • 7th Race 
    • 3 - Fastanista (Also Ran) 
    • 7 - Ministry (Win) 
    • 4 - Avisionofchocolate (Place) 
    • 7/4 Exacta: $24.50
  • 8th Race 
    • 6 - Wild Caramelo (Also Ran) 
    • 3 - Mitole (Place) 
    • 2 - Direct Dial (Show)
  • 9th Race 
    • 7 - Klassie Connect (Show) 
    • 5 - Pastiche (Also Ran) 
    • 6 - Wilburn's Angel (Win)
Summary for Saturday, February 24 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner on Top Pick, 3 Exacta, 1 Trifecta, 14 out of 25 OTB (2 scratch, 5 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 26 Days 
    • $436 (218 Races, 18 Scratches on Top Pick) 
  • Number of Winners Hit 
    • 18 (8.3%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $252.80
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • -$183.20
Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:
  • $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 26 Days 
    • $1,212 (236 Races, $1,416 - $204 on adjustments for scratches) 
  • Number of Exactas Hit 
    • 20 (8.5%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $1,332.30 
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • $120.30
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Results for February 25, 2018:
  • 1st Race 
    • 2 - Do It (Also Ran) 
    • 3 - Miss Discreet (Show) 
    • 6 - Misty Journey (Also Ran)
  • 2nd Race 
    • 1 - Sophie's Pocket (Also Ran) 
    • 7 - Sweet Sweet Kim (Show) 
    • 6 - Miss D Irish (Also Ran)
  • 3rd Race 
    • 5 - Sidney's Ransom (Also Ran) 
    • 3 - Shakedown (Place)
    • 1 - Jimmy D (Also Ran)
  • 4th Race 
    • 6 - Chevy to the Levy (Also Ran) 
    • 8 - Herald Square (Also Ran) 
    • 2 - Pretty Greeley (Place)
  • 5th Race 
    • 7 - I Am Miss Brown (Also Ran) 
    • 6 - Cheyenne Blues (Also Ran) 
    • 2/2B - Okbyecya (Place) / String Bikini (Also Ran)
  • 6th Race 
    • 5 - Mr Ark (Also Ran) 
    • 8 - October Sky (Show) 
    • 2 - Detroit Cowboy (Place)
  • 7th Race 
    • 5 - Kalalou (Place) 
    • 4 - She Has Risen (Also Ran) 
    • 1 - Sparkle O Mine (Show)
  • 8th Race 
    • 3 - Vilaro (Show) 
    • 1 - Prized Bourbon (SCRATCH) 
    • 6 - Includere (Also Ran)
  • 9th Race 
    • 11 - Texas Jambalaya (Show) 
    • 2 - Midnight's Fantasy (Also Ran)
    • 3 - Waco Bodene (Place)
Summary for Sunday, February 25 at Oaklawn: 0 Winner on Top Pick, 0 Exacta, 14 out of 26 OTB (1 scratch, 0 winners)

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 27 Days 
    • $454 (227 Races, 18 Scratches on Top Pick) 
  • Number of Winners Hit 
    • 18 (7.9%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $252.80 
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • -$201.20
Current $1 Exacta Box on Top 3 Picks "What If" Game:
  • $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 27 Days 
    • $1,262 (245 Races, $1,470 - $208 on adjustments for scratches) 
  • Number of Exactas Hit 
    • 20 (8.2%) 
  • Total Return on Winners 
    • $1,332.30 
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • $70.30
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We are approximately half way through the 2018 racing season at Oaklawn Park. The OakPick software is starting to come to life on Win Bets on the top pick. The win rate was 18.2% this weekend compared to the 6.2% for the first 5 weekends. The expectation is that the program should pick between 12 - 15% through the entire season. The picks for Thursday's racing will come out late tomorrow night.

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