Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Oaklawn Park Selections for February 8, 2018

Live horse racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs continues on Thursday afternoon. Here is the February 8, 2018 tip sheet generated by the OakPick software . The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. Early next week, I will have a post summarizing the results of the predictions grouped with the other days of racing this weekend.

  • 1st Race 
    • 1 - Ever Special 
    • 3 - Lady Margaret 
    • 5 - Endless Bloom
  • 2nd Race
    • 6 - Belle Supreme
      9 - Lighten Up Frances
      3 - Mizzencat
  • 3rd Race
    • 1 - Miss Barham 
    • 6 - Roxy Rocket 
    • 3 - Dixie Flyer
  • 4th Race
    • 1 - Like a Haint 
    • 5 - Erratic Behavior 
    • 3 - Rhodium
  • 5th Race
    • 6 - Andreas 
    • 4 - Heavy Roller 
    • 5 - After Party
  • 6th Race
    • 7 - She Has Risen
    • 5 - Graceland 
    • 2 - Ettalusive
  • 7th Race
    • 8 - Fighting for Grace 
    • 1 - Shakedown 
    • 3 - My Macho Mon
  • 8th Race
    • 3 - Rockshaw
    • 2 - Warrior's Club 
    • 4 - Purely Given
  • 9th Race
    • 6 - Shocking Blue 
    • 2 - Trinity Bling 
    • 11 - Ninth Hour
For February 8, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:
  • P(9 win) = 0.00000000331
  • P(8 win) = 0.00000023528
  • P(7 win) = 0.00000738640
  • P(6 win) = 0.00013459543
  • P(5 win) = 0.00156899764
  • P(4 win) = 0.01213528107
  • P(3 win) = 0.06228115857
  • P(2 win) = 0.20454503038
  • P(1 win) = 0.39010920492
  • P(0 win) = 0.32921810700
Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:
  • At least 1 win = 0.67078189300
  • At least 2 win = 0.28067268808
  • At least 3 win = 0.07612765770
  • At least 4 win = 0.01384649913
  • At least 5 win = 0.00171121806
  • At least 6 win = 0.00014222042
  • At least 7 win = 0.00000762499
  • At least 8 win = 0.00000023859
  • At least 9 win = 0.00000000331
To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.

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