Oaklawn Park Selections for February 24, 2018

Here is the Saturday, February 24, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick Monte Carlo software. The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips. 

• 1st Race 
• 6 - Freestyler 
• 5 - Bad Student 
• 2 - Hunter's Strike
• 2nd Race
• 3 - Bluebird Ridge 
• 4 - Farley 
• 5 - Nicky Numbers
• 3rd Race
• 3 - Serious I Candy 
• 6 - Graceland 
• 8 - Promissory Note
• 4th Race
• 3 - McQ 
• 2 - Hillbilly Royalty
• 7 - Rippin Ranger
• 5th Race
• 5 - Bubbas Dixie 
• 4 - Husker Red 
• 6 - King Abner
• 6th Race
• 6 - Mogowan 
• 3 - Out of Hydeing 
• 4 - Berko
• 7th Race
• 3 - Fastanista 
• 7 - Ministry 
• 4 - Avisionofchocolate
• 8th Race
• 6 - Wild Caramelo 
• 3 - Mitole 
• 2 - Direct Dial
• 9th Race
• 7 - Klassie Connect
• 5 - Pastiche 
• 6 - Wilburn's Angel

For February 24, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000548 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000036717 
• P(7 win) = 0.00001086713 
• P(6 win) = 0.00018645110 
• P(5 win) = 0.00204333373 
• P(4 win) = 0.01483038392 
• P(3 win) = 0.07127212336 
• P(2 win) = 0.21865467281 
• P(1 win) = 0.38849185211 
• P(0 win) = 0.30450994318

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.69549005682 
• At least 2 win = 0.30699820470 
• At least 3 win = 0.08834353189 
• At least 4 win = 0.01707140853 
• At least 5 win = 0.00224102461 
• At least 6 win = 0.00019769088 
• At least 7 win = 0.00001123979 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000037265 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000548

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.