Oaklawn Park Selections for January 28, 2018

The Sunday, January 28, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program) is found below. The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 3 - Honor Thy Father 
• 10 - Primal 
• 5 - Surprise Prize
• 2nd Race
• 1 - Electric Avenue
• 2 - How's My Bud 
• 11 - Mister Grasshopper
• 3rd Race
• 6 - Rings of Jupiter 
• 9 - Waco Bodene 
• 8 - Score Time
• 4th Race
• 3 - Nicky Numbers 
• 1 - Texas Sky 
• 10 - Fudge Proud
• 5th Race
• 3 - Mahalo John
• 4 - Minegold 
• 2 - Burgameister
• 6th Race
• 6 - Primarily Gold 
• 1 - Five O One 
• 2 - Suspect a Storm
• 7th Race
• 7 - Plum Gorgeous 
• 11 - On Her Honor 
• 3 - Avicii
• 8th Race
• 2 - Awesome Gal 
• 7 - Five Star Factor 
• 3 - Sophie's Angel
• 9th Race
• 8 - Anita Marie 
• 5 - Archie's Girl 
• 10 - American Holiday

For January 28, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000078 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000006547 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000244030 
• P(6 win) = 0.00005297575 
• P(5 win) = 0.00073815236 
• P(4 win) = 0.00684621524 
• P(3 win) = 0.04226658951 
• P(2 win) = 0.16749356061
• P(1 win) = 0.38660000000 
• P(0 win) = 0.39600000000

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.60400000000 
• At least 2 win = 0.21740000000 
• At least 3 win = 0.04990643939 
• At least 4 win = 0.00763984989 
• At least 5 win = 0.00079363465 
• At least 6 win = 0.00005548229 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000250655 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000006625 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000078

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.