Oaklawn Park Selections for January 20, 2018

Racing was cancelled again for Friday, January 19 at Oaklawn Park. That makes the job of tallying results for the weekend that much easier. Here is the tip sheet for Saturday, January 20, 2018 for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 10 - McQ 
• 2 - Special Concoction 
• 4 - Top Player
• 2nd Race
• 10 - Ferocious Tiger 
• 11 - Runningunninrascal 
• 8 - My Curby
• 3rd Race
• 1 - Dupree 
• 5 - State of Charm 
• 9 - Bajan Cash
• 4th Race
• 8 - Diva of Disaster 
• 5 - Queen of Wildwood 
• 6 - Dorothe Marie
• 5th Race
• 2 - Grandpa's Dream 
• 10 - Chris and Dave
• 6 - Compagno
• 6th Race
• 4 - Snickerboxer 
• 1 - Bold Conquest 
• 5 - Pilot House
• 7th Race
• 6 - Blame Will 
• 8 - Jazzy Times 
• 11 - Mexico Memories
• 8th Race
• 1 - Getupbabygetup 
• 6 - Amy's Challenge 
• 5 - Mia Mischief
• 9th Race
• 5 - Deflater 
• 10 - The Money Dance 
• 4 - Plainsman

For January 20, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000058 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000005103 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000198851 
• P(6 win) = 0.00004501957 
• P(5 win) = 0.00065243055 
• P(4 win) = 0.00627449539 
• P(3 win) = 0.04002887522 
• P(2 win) = 0.16328237271 
• P(1 win) = 0.38624805568 
• P(0 win) = 0.40346671076

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.59653328924 
• At least 2 win = 0.21028523356 
• At least 3 win = 0.04700286086 
• At least 4 win = 0.00697398564 
• At least 5 win = 0.00069949024 
• At least 6 win = 0.00004705969 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000204012 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000005161 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000058

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck. The results of Saturday's races along with the Sunday results will be posted early next week.