Oaklawn Park Selections for January 25, 2018

Here is the January 25, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 12 - Button Mushroom 
• 7 - Satin Suprise 
• 6 - Miss D Irish
• 2nd Race
• 3 - Petal Path 
• 12 - Summer Tales 
• 2 - Showreel
• 3rd Race
• 4 - Boomer's Boy 
• 2 - Dos Cuernos
• 6 - Tentwelvefourteen
• 4th Race
• 9 - Eternal Force 
• 3 - Nuclear Option 
• 2 - Spinning Serve
• 5th Race
• 7 - Pete's Play Call 
• 5 - Stump 
• 4 - W. B. Smudge
• 6th Race
• 4 - Best Shoes 
• 6 - Longway Home 
• 7 - Dance Like Katie
• 7th Race
• 9 - Armando's Star 
• 1/1A - King of Anything /  Charlesbrecknridge 
• 5 - Never Give In
• 8th Race
• 1 - Katalust 
• 2 - Donita's Ruler 
• 7 - Stealth Drone
• 9th Race
• 12 - Ramblin Fever 
• 4 - Country Fast 
• 8 - Desert Domination

For January 25, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000074 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000006326 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000238224 
• P(6 win) = 0.00005216445 
• P(5 win) = 0.00073191357 
• P(4 win) = 0.00682358870 
• P(3 win) = 0.04226806827 
• P(2 win) = 0.16774281071 
• P(1 win) = 0.38698163152 
• P(0 win) = 0.39539737654

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.60460262346 
• At least 2 win = 0.21762099194 
• At least 3 win = 0.04987818123
• At least 4 win = 0.00761011297 
• At least 5 win = 0.00078652427 
• At least 6 win = 0.00005461070 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000244624 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000006400 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000074

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.