Oaklawn Park Selections for January 26, 2018

Here is the January 26, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). As always, the predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 4 - Warcraft
• 8 - Vacanza 
• 3 - Midnight Shine
• 2nd Race
• 3 - Gold Stryker Zach 
• 10 - Hamazingly Rich 
• 9 - Regalistic
• 3rd Race
• 3 - Flyin' Katnip 
• 6 - Away to Town 
• 9 - Drip Brew
• 4th Race
• 3 - Flight Risk 
• 6 - Powerful Ally 
• 1 - Moneymeister
• 5th Race
• 12 - The Glory Music 
• 9 - Perplexed 
• 1/1A - Cash for the Soul / Boston Marathoner
• 6th Race
• 3 - Icy Dawn 
• 10 - Addy's Flowers 
• 6 - Cheyenne Blues
• 7th Race
• 8 - Lady Bay 
• 3 - Double P's Tavern 
• 7 - S S Taylor
• 8th Race
• 8 - Dorodansa 
• 11 - Breaking Bread 
• 3 - Ruby Sioux
• 9th Race
• 7 - Trading Cash 
• 4 - Captivated 
• 2 - Arizona

For January 26, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000069 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000005951 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000226610 
• P(6 win) = 0.00005014613 
• P(5 win) = 0.00071051166 
• P(4 win) = 0.00668351048 
• P(3 win) = 0.04173193372 
• P(2 win) = 0.16676345218 
• P(1 win) = 0.38693609879 
• P(0 win) = 0.39712202075

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.60287797925 
• At least 2 win = 0.21594188047 
• At least 3 win = 0.04917842828 
• At least 4 win = 0.00744649457 
• At least 5 win = 0.00076298408 
• At least 6 win = 0.00005247242 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000232630 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000006020 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000069

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. The results of these selections and the the rest of the weekend's picks will be summarized in a single post early next week. Have a good day at the races and good luck.