Monday, January 22, 2018

January 18-21 MC Results for Oaklawn Park

Abysmal. Wait, I used that word for last weekend's results... However, it is once again appropriate for this last racing weekend at Oaklawn Park. The first disappointment was the frigid temperatures that caused OP officials to cancel live racing at the track on both Thursday and Friday. The second disappointment was the fact that the $2 Win strategy on the top selection from the OakPick program finished with a $23.80 loss over 17 races. The program picked just 1 winner for the weekend. The only worse weekend for the program was last weekend. Again, it is my belief that this weekend is a statistical aberration based solely on the win probabilities. On a positive note, the exacta box strategy for all 3 picks for each race is current running at a healthy profit of $644.40 over 54 races thanks to a $843.70 exacta on Saturday.

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Saturday, January 20 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).
  • Race 1
    • 10 - McQ (SCRATCH) 
    • 2 - Special Concoction (Show)
      • $3.40 
    • 4 - Top Player (Also Ran)
  • Race 2
    • 10 - Ferocious Tiger (Also Ran)
    • 11 - Runningunninrascal (Also Ran)
    • 8 - My Curby (Also Ran)
  • 3rd Race
    • 1 - Dupree (Also Ran)
    • 5 - State of Charm  (Also Ran)
    • 9 - Bajan Cash (Win)
      • $9.80  $5.00  $3.00
  • 4th Race
    • 8 - Diva of Disaster (Show)
      • $3.00
    • 5 - Queen of Wildwood (SCRATCH) 
    • 6 - Dorothe Marie (SCRATCH)
  • 5th Race
    • 2 - Grandpa's Dream (Also Ran)
    • 10 - Chris and Dave (Place) 
    • $7.60  $4.80 
      • 6 - Compagno (Also Ran)
  • 6th Race
    • 4 - Snickerboxer (Win)
      • $10.20  $4.80  $3.40 
    • 1 - Bold Conquest (Also Ran)
    • 5 - Pilot House (Also Ran)
  • 7th Race
    • 6 - Blame Will (Also Ran)
    • 8 - Jazzy Times (Also Ran)
    • 11 - Mexico Memories (SCRATCH) 
  • 8th Race
    • 1 - Getupbabygetup (Also Ran)
    • 6 - Amy's Challenge (Win) 
      • $4.80  $2.60  $2.20 
    • 5 - Mia Mischief (Place) 
      • $2.20  $2.10
  • 9th Race
    • 5 - Deflater (Also Ran)
    • 10 - The Money Dance (Place)  
      • $41.00  $11.60 
    • 4 - Plainsman (Win)  
      • $70.00  $22.00  $10.00
Summary for Saturday, January 20 at Oaklawn: 1 Winners, 2 Exacta, 9 of 23 OTB (4 scratch), $1,070.70

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 5 Days
    • $78.00 (39 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 3 (7.7%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $26.00
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$52.00
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 Sunday, January, 21 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)
  • 1st Race
    • 6 - Oliver G (Show)
      • $6.40
    • 10 - Patriotic American (Win)
      • $10.40  $5.40  $4.20
    • 2 - Macanao (Also Ran)
  • 2nd Race
    • 2 - Vyera (Show)
      • $11.20
    • 11 - Sturn Donna (Also Ran)
    • 1 - Bloom Baby (Also Ran)
  • 3rd Race
    • 4 - Sugar Buzz (Also Ran)
    • 5 - Pistone Steel (Also Ran)
    • 3 - Sky Flight (Also Ran)
  • 4th Race
    • 11 - Tempo Seeker (Show)
      • $4.80
    • 2 - Classic Pursuit (Also Ran)
    • 5 - Single Gem (SCRATCH)
  • 5th Race
    • 6 - Easter Indy (Also Ran)
    • 12 - Beautiful Honduras (Also Ran)
    • 11 - Mary Lou (Also Ran)
  • 6th Race
    • 10 - Greyjoy (Also Ran)
    • 9 - Ms. D's Last Storm (Place)
      • $52.20  $30.60
    • 1 - Transformative (Also Ran)
  • 7th Race
    • 1 - Royal Edition (Place)
      • $21.40  $11.20
    • 8 - Pryor (Show)
      • $10.00
    • 5 - Southsider (Also Ran)
  • 8th Race
    • 6 - King Ptolemy (Also Ran)
    • 2 - P C Cowboy (Win-DH) 
      • $3.20  $3.20  $2.80
    • 7 - Pinson (Show) 
      • $4.40
  • 9th Race
    • 3 - Unprovoked (Place)
      • $14.60  $9.00
    • 1 - Roll On Big Mama (Also Ran)
    • 5 - Mo Mo (Also Ran)
Summary for Sunday, January 21, at Oaklawn: 0 Winner, 0 Exacta, 10 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $205.00

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 6 Days
    • $96.00 (48 Races, 6 Scratches on Top Pick)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 3 (6.3%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $11.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$70.00
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Even with the horrific results of the past 2 weeks, the OakPick program is still positive for its predictions at Oaklawn. However, if the trend continues, we will be at break even at the end of next weekend. Check back here on Thursday morning for the beginning of a new week of picks by the OakPick Monte Carlo program. Hopefully, the program will return to last year's winning ways soon.

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