Oaklawn Park Selections for January 21, 2018

Here is the January 21, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 6 - Oliver G 
• 10 - Patriotic American 
• 2 - Macanao
• 2nd Race
• 2 - Vyera
• 11 - Sturn Donna
• 1 - Bloom Baby
• 3rd Race
• 4 - Sugar Buzz 
• 5 - Pistone Steel 
• 3 - Sky Flight
• 4th Race
• 11 - Tempo Seeker
• 2 - Classic Pursuit
• 5 - Single Gem
• 5th Race
• 6 - Easter Indy 
• 12 - Beautiful Honduras 
• 11 - Mary Lou
• 6th Race
• 10 - Greyjoy 
• 9 - Ms. D's Last Storm 
• 1 - Transformative
• 7th Race
• 1 - Royal Edition 
• 8 - Pryor 
• 5 - Southsider
• 8th Race
• 6 - King Ptolemy 
• 2 - P C Cowboy 
• 7 - Pinson
• 9th Race
• 3 - Unprovoked 
• 1 - Roll On Big Mama 
• 5 - Mo Mo

For Sunday, January 21, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000089 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000007351 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000270487 
• P(6 win) = 0.00005790757 
• P(5 win) = 0.00079488860
• P(4 win) = 0.00725502340 
• P(3 win) = 0.04402691335 
• P(2 win) = 0.17129121958 
• P(1 win) = 0.38768237935 
• P(0 win) = 0.38888888889

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.61111111111 
• At least 2 win = 0.22342873176 
• At least 3 win = 0.05213751219 
• At least 4 win = 0.00811059883 
• At least 5 win = 0.00085557543 
• At least 6 win = 0.00006068683 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000277927 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000007440
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000089

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck. Look for the results of the weekend's predictions early in the next week.