I can finally select a different adjective to describe the picks from the OakPick Monte Carlo program. There were actually two profitable days for the program this week, but the week ended with a loss of $9.00 over the 36 races. Statistically, the program is performing at approximately half of the level it should be. At the end of 10 racing days, the win percentage on the top pick is 6.3%. The winning percentage for the 2017 season was over twice that value (14.0%). For the 90 races of the meet, the OakPick algorithm is performing at a loss of $79.00 on top selections. However, the exacta box strategy on the three selections is running at a profit of over $650. I will continue to track both "What If" scenarios, and I anticipate the OakPick winning percentage will increase. Here are the results from this weekend.
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Thursday, January 25 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).- 1st Race
- 12 - Button Mushroom (Show)
- $3.80
- 7 - Satin Suprise (Also Ran)
- 6 - Miss D Irish (Place)
- $4.80 $3.00
- 2nd Race
- 3 - Petal Path (Also Ran)
- 12 - Summer Tales (SCRATCH)
- 2 - Showreel (Also Ran)
- 3rd Race
- 4 - Boomer's Boy (SCRATCH)
- 2 - Dos Cuernos (Also Ran)
- 6 - Tentwelvefourteen (Also Ran)
- 4th Race
- 9 - Eternal Force (Also Ran)
- 3 - Nuclear Option (SCRATCH)
- 2 - Spinning Serve (SCRATCH)
- 5th Race
- 7 - Pete's Play Call (Show)
- $2.60
- 5 - Stump (Also Ran)
- 4 - W. B. Smudge (Also Ran)
- 6th Race
- 4 - Best Shoes (Also Ran)
- 6 - Longway Home (Also Ran)
- 7 - Dance Like Katie (Also Ran)
- 7th Race
- 9 - Armando's Star (Show)
- $3.80
- 1/1A - King of Anything (SCRATCH) / Charlesbrecknridge (Also Ran)
- 5 - Never Give In (SCRATCH)
- 8th Race
- 1 - Katalust (Place)
- $5.60 $2.80
- 2 - Donita's Ruler (Also Ran)
- 7 - Stealth Drone (Show)
- $2.60
- 9th Race
- 12 - Ramblin Fever (Win)
- $24.00 $9.60 $6.80
- 4 - Country Fast (Also Ran)
- 8 - Desert Domination (Place)
- $4.60 $3.40
- 12/8 Exacta: $50.60
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 7 Days
- $112.00 (56 Races, 7 Scratches on Top Pick)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 4 (7.1%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $50.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$62.00
- $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 7 Days
- $308.00 (63 Races, $378 - $70 on adjustments for scratches)
- Number of Exactas Hit
- 5 (7.9%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $967.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- +$659.00
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Friday, January 26 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).- 1st Race
- 4 - Warcraft (Also Ran)
- 8 - Vacanza (Show)
- $3.20
- 3 - Midnight Shine (Also Ran)
- 2nd Race
- 3 - Gold Stryker Zach (Also Ran)
- 10 - Hamazingly Rich (Place)
- $8.60 $7.00
- 9 - Regalistic (Win)
- $14.40 $6.20 $5.40
- 9 / 10 Exacta: $64.60
- 3rd Race
- 3 - Flyin' Katnip (Also Ran)
- 6 - Away to Town (Also Ran)
- 9 - Drip Brew (Show)
- $4.60
- 4th Race
- 3 - Flight Risk (Show)
- $2.60
- 6 - Powerful Ally (Place)
- $3.60 $2.40
- 1 - Moneymeister (Also Ran)
- 5th Race
- 12 - The Glory Music (Also Ran)
- 9 - Perplexed (SCRATCH)
- 1 - Cash for the Soul (Also Ran)
- 6th Race
- 3 - Icy Dawn (Show)
- $6.00
- 10 - Addy's Flowers (SCRATCH)
- 6 - Cheyenne Blues (Win)
- $9.80 $5.00 $3.00
- 7th Race
- 8 - Lady Bay (Show)
- $4.00
- 3 - Double P's Tavern (Also Ran)
- 7 - S S Taylor (Also Ran)
- 8th Race
- 8 - Dorodansa (Show)
- $12.60
- 11 - Breaking Bread (Also Ran)
- 3 - Ruby Sioux (Also Ran)
- 9th Race
- 7 - Trading Cash (Place)
- $7.80 $4.40
- 4 - Captivated (Also Ran)
- 2 - Arizona (Also Ran)
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 8 Days
- $130.00 (65 Races, 7 Scratches on Top Pick)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 4 (6.2%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $50.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$80.00
- $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 8 Days
- $354.00 (72 Races, $432 - $78 on adjustments for scratches)
- Number of Exactas Hit
- 6 (8.3%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $1,031.60
- Running Profit/Loss
- +$677.60
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Saturday, January 27 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).- 1st Race
- 7 - Whataclassylady (Also Ran)
- 6 - Florida Bird (Also Ran)
- 3 - Quality Street (Also Ran)
- 2nd Race
- 2 - Uncle Pappy (Also Ran)
- 8 - R Double Trouble (Also Ran)
- 10 - Cause to Action (Place)
- $5.00 $3.20
- 3rd Race
- 5 - Fleet Gold Digger (Show)
- $5.60
- 6 - Chubble Maker (Also Ran)
- 1 - Twirling Cinnamon (Also Ran)
- 4th Race
- 10 - Dirty Diamonddeeds (Also Ran)
- 1 - Papa Caliente (Also Ran)
- 2 - Granian (Also Ran)
- 5th Race
- 3 - Langdarma (Place)
- $5.40 $5.00
- 2 - Niigon's Glory (Win)
- $17.60 $8.80 $6.80
- 6 - All About Ashley (Also Ran)
- 2/3 Exacta: $60.50
- 6th Race
- 4 - Futile (Place)
- $2.80 $2.40
- 3 - Cu Rahy (Also Ran)
- 7 - Rated R Superstar (Win)
- $6.40 $3.00 $2.60
- 7/4 Exacta: $7.10
- 7th Race
- 7 - La Key (Also Ran)
- 4 - Hidenseek Sally (Also Ran)
- 6 - Prized Bourbon (Place)
- $4.40 $3.60
- 8th Race
- 7 - Factory of Faith (SCRATCH)
- 3 - Thoughtless (SCRATCH)
- 4 - Okie Diva (Also Ran)
- 9th Race
- 7 - Sabrena's Bling (Also Ran)
- 6 - Running Back (Also Ran)
- 9 - Starstruck Kitten (Also Ran)
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 9 Days
- $146.00 (73 Races, 8 Scratches on Top Pick)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 4 (5.5%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $50.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$96.00
- $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 9 Days
- $402.00 (81 Races, $486 - $84 on adjustments for scratches)
- Number of Exactas Hit
- 8 (9.9%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $1,099.20
- Running Profit/Loss
- $697.20
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Sunday, January 28 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).- 1st Race
- 3 - Honor Thy Father (SCRATCH)
- 10 - Primal (Also Ran)
- 5 - Surprise Prize (Win)
- $25.60 $12.00 $8.40
- 2nd Race
- 1 - Electric Avenue (SCRATCH)
- 2 - How's My Bud (Win)
- $14.40 $5.80 $3.20
- 11 - Mister Grasshopper (Also Ran)
- 3rd Race
- 6 - Rings of Jupiter (Place)
- $3.40 $2.60
- 9 - Waco Bodene (Also Ran)
- 8 - Score Time (Also Ran)
- 4th Race
- 3 - Nicky Numbers (Also Ran)
- 1 - Texas Sky (Also Ran)
- 10 - Fudge Proud (Also Ran)
- 5th Race
- 3 - Mahalo John (Show)
- $3.60
- 4 - Minegold (Also Ran)
- 2 - Burgameister (Win)
- $6.80 $4.20 $3.00
- 6th Race
- 6 - Primarily Gold (Also Ran)
- 1 - Five O One (Win)
- $3.40 $3.00 $2.40
- 2 - Suspect a Storm (Also Ran)
- 7th Race
- 7 - Plum Gorgeous (Place)
- $6.40 $4.00
- 11 - On Her Honor (Also Ran)
- 3 - Avicii (Also Ran)
- 8th Race
- 2 - Awesome Gal (Win)
- $31.00 $11.00 $6.40
- 7 - Five Star Factor (Also Ran)
- 3 - Sophie's Angel (Also Ran)
- 9th Race
- 8 - Anita Marie (Also Ran)
- 5 - Archie's Girl (Also Ran)
- 10 - American Holiday (Also Ran)
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 10 Days
- $160.00 (80 Races, 10 Scratches on Top Pick)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 5 (6.3%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $81.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$79.00
- $1 Exacta Ticket Cost Through 10 Days
- $448.00 (90 Races, $540 - $92 on adjustments for scratches)
- Number of Exactas Hit
- 8 (8.9%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $1,099.20
- Running Profit/Loss
- $651.20
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That wraps up the month of January at Oaklawn. Going forward the summaries are going to be much shorter. I am only going to include the Win, Place, Show, or Also Ran. I will no longer include the prices except for the exactas. I will continue with the summary format used on the What If games. See you back here for the start of February racing on Thursday.
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