Abysmal: That is the only word that could begin to describe the results of the OakPick Monte Carlo program after this last weekend of racing at Oaklawn Park. The $2 Win strategy on the top selection finished with a $46.20 loss over 31 races. The program picked just 2 winners for the opening weekend and produced the worst performance for a single weekend to date. It is my belief that this weekend is a statistical aberration based solely on the win probabilities - that is, statistically, I should have seen at least 2 to 4 more winners than I did. In any case, below are the poor results from the weekend.
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Friday, March 30 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).- Race 1
- 10 - Chubble Maker [Also Ran]
- 6 - The Last Prophet[Also Ran]
- 12 - Roberto Gato [Also Ran]
- Race 2
- 5 - Mighty Oaks Magic [Also Ran]
- 4 - You're Killin Me [Place]
- $5.20 $3.40
- 9 - War Or Peace [Also Ran]
- 3rd Race
- 3 - Like a Haint [Also Ran]
- 2 - Queen Kate [Show]
- $4.80
- 4 - Liam's World [Place]
- $3.80 $2.80
- 4th Race
- 1 - Small Town Hero [Show]
- $13.40
- 7 - Big Headed Jerry [Also Ran]
- 12 - Excessive [Also Ran]
- 5th Race
- 6 - Swing and Sway [Also Ran]
- 7 - Street Biz [Also Ran]
- 9 - Thoughtless [Place]
- $7.40 $4.60
- 6th Race
- 6 - Burgameister [Also Ran]
- 8 - Harangue [Also Ran]
- 2 - Mighty Manfred [SCRATCH]
- 7th Race
- 9 - Shanghai Tariff [Also Ran]
- 5 - Party Club [Show]
- $4.00
- 12 - Traci's Greeley [Also Ran]
- 8th Race
- 1 - Far Right [Show]
- $13.60
- 7 - Royal Squeeze [Also Ran]
- 4 - Dan the Go to Man [Also Ran]
- 9th Race
- 8 - Japedo [Also Ran]
- 12 - Hamazing Vision [Place]
- $5.80 $3.20
- 7 - Blu Blaze [SCRATCH]
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 1 Days
- $18.00 (9 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 0 (0.0%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $0.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$18.00
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Saturday, January, 13 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)- 1st Race
- 6 - Nobadeer [Also Ran]
- 9 - Serious Talk [Also Ran]
- 8 - Macanao [Also Ran]
- 2nd Race
- 2 - Spider's Alibi [Also Ran]
- 1/1A - Match Up / Vanderbilt Beach [Also Ran]
- 9 - More On Tap [Also Ran]
- 3rd Race
- 5 - Oso Ready [Also Ran]
- 8 - Gotta Curlin [Show]
- $5.00
- 7 - Entertainer [Also Ran]
- 4th Race
- 1 - Or Sunday [Also Ran]
- 9 - Dion [Also Ran]
- 4 - Silverdollardreams [Also Ran]
- 5th Race
- 2 - Papa Caliente [SCRATCH]
- 5 - Dream Baby Dream [Show]
- $2.80
- 6 - Schoenhardt [Also Ran]
- 6th Race
- 5 - Glitnir [Also Ran]
- 4 - Colony Strike [Place]
- $21.00 $8.80
- 6 - Indy Awesome [Show]
- $3.00
- 7th Race
- 1 - Higher Power [Win]
- $11.80 $4.20 $3.20
- 2 - Lone Rock [Also Ran]
- 3 - True Loyalty [Also Ran]
- 8th Race
- 11 - Someday Soon [SCRATCH]
- 8 - Ever So Clever [Place]
- $4.80 $3.20
- 2 - Farrell [Win]
- $6.20 $3.60 $3.20
- 9th Race
- 3 - Greeley Can Win [SCRATCH]
- 2 - Pryor [SCRATCH]
- 9 - D'oros Ruler [Also Ran]
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 2 Days
- $30.00 (15 Races, 3 Scratches on Top Pick)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 1 (6.7%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $11.80
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$18.20
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Sunday, January 14 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)- 1st Race
- 4 - Emerald Candy [SCRATCH]
- 9 - Samurai's Prize [Also Ran]
- 5 - Riva Belle [Also Ran]
- 2nd Race
- 1 - Arrogant [Also Ran]
- 8 - Bud's Mr. B [Also Ran]
- 7 - Sarah's Swingtown [Also Ran]
- 3rd Race
- 3 - Triple Kapalua [Show]
- $3.40
- 1 - La Fee Verte [Also Ran]
- 4 - La Dame Blanche [Also Ran]
- 4th Race
- 7 - Zella Rose [Show]
- $3.60
- 3 - Buch of Daisies [Also Ran]
- 2 - Baetykaty [Place]
- $2.40 $2.20
- 5th Race
- 11 - What's in the Box [Also Ran]
- 5 - Coach Nar [Show]
- $7.20
- 2 - Rick's Stryker [Also Ran]
- 6th Race
- 4 - Handsome Traveler [Also Ran]
- 10 - Infinity Squared [Win]
- $10.60 $6.80 $5.20
- 3 - Grade One [Place]
- $7.40 $5.00
- 7th Race
- 6 - Warrior's Club [Show]
- $3.40
- 1 - Big Squeeze [Also Ran]
- 2 - Broken Promise [Also Ran]
- 8th Race
- 6 - Apprehender [Also Ran]
- 4 - Constantino [Also Ran]
- 2 - Recount [Show]
- $8.80
- 9th Race
- 1 - Make Daddy Proud [Also Ran]
- 7 - Golden Cat Tale [Also Ran]
- 9 - Two Step Dancer [Also Ran]
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 3 Days
- $46.00 (23 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 1 (4.3%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $11.80
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$34.20
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Monday, January 15 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)- 1st Race
- 1 - Minister Nick [Also Ran]
- 4 - Pharme Phlash [Also Ran]
- 7 - Bye Crazy Eyes [Show]
- $4.60
- 2nd Race
- 8 - Georgia's Reward [Win]
- $4.00 $3.00 $2.60
- 5 - Bella My Girl [Also Ran]
- 6 - Primary First [Also Ran]
- 3rd Race
- 11 - Cascabria [Also Ran]
- 2 - Darion's Dream [Also Ran]
- 4 - Moolamiss [Also Ran]
- 4th Race
- 4 - Double Deep [Also Ran]
- 6 - Brouillard [Also Ran]
- 9 - Coach Adams [Win]
- $25.40 $11.00 $5.20
- 5th Race
- 11 - Twist Off [Also Ran]
- 7 - Song of the Nile [Also Ran]
- 5 - Mojo Man [Also Ran]
- 6th Race
- 6 - He's So Zazzy [Also Ran]
- 3 - El Bonito [SCRATCH]
- 5 - Hey Bro [Also Ran]
- 7th Race
- 11 - Glamorized [Also Ran]
- 7 - Sassy Sienna [Win]
- $3.80 $3.20 $2.60
- 2 - Sydney Freeman [Also Ran]
- 8th Race
- 2 - Lone Rock [SCRATCH]
- 6 - Navistar [SCRATCH]
- 1 - Combatant [Place]
- $2.40
- 9th Race
- 9 - Event of Default [Also Ran]
- 1 - Mercer Slough [Also Ran]
- 11 - Secret Trick [Place]
- $10.00 $7.20
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 4 Days
- $62.00 (31 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 2 (6.5%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $15.80
- Running Profit/Loss
- -$46.20
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Well, that's a wrap for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday morning for the beginning of a new week of picks by the OakPick Monte Carlo program. Hopefully, the program will return to last year's winning ways soon. The first week of a new meet is always rough on handicappers.
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