Tuesday, January 16, 2018

January 12-15, 2018 MC Results for Oaklawn Park

Abysmal: That is the only word that could begin to describe the results of the OakPick Monte Carlo program after this last weekend of racing at Oaklawn Park. The $2 Win strategy on the top selection finished with a $46.20 loss over 31 races. The program picked just 2 winners for the opening weekend and produced the worst performance for a single weekend to date. It is my belief that this weekend is a statistical aberration based solely on the win probabilities - that is, statistically, I should have seen at least 2 to 4 more winners than I did. In any case, below are the poor results from the weekend.

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************
Friday, March 30 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).
  • Race 1
    • 10 - Chubble Maker [Also Ran]
    • 6 - The Last Prophet[Also Ran]
    • 12 - Roberto Gato [Also Ran]
  • Race 2
    • 5 - Mighty Oaks Magic [Also Ran]
    • 4 - You're Killin Me [Place]
      • $5.20  $3.40
    • 9 - War Or Peace [Also Ran]
  • 3rd Race
    • 3 - Like a Haint [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Queen Kate [Show]
      • $4.80
    • 4 - Liam's World [Place]
      • $3.80  $2.80
  • 4th Race
    • 1 - Small Town Hero [Show]
      • $13.40
    • 7 - Big Headed Jerry [Also Ran]
    • 12 - Excessive [Also Ran]
  • 5th Race
    • 6 - Swing and Sway [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Street Biz [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Thoughtless [Place]
      • $7.40  $4.60
  • 6th Race
    • 6 - Burgameister [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Harangue [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Mighty Manfred [SCRATCH]
  • 7th Race
    • 9 - Shanghai Tariff [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Party Club [Show]
      • $4.00
    • 12 - Traci's Greeley [Also Ran]
  • 8th Race
    • 1 - Far Right [Show]
      • $13.60
    • 7 - Royal Squeeze [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Dan the Go to Man [Also Ran]
  • 9th Race
    • 8 - Japedo  [Also Ran]
    • 12 - Hamazing Vision [Place]
      • $5.80  $3.20
    • 7 - Blu Blaze [SCRATCH]
Summary for Friday, January at Oaklawn: 0 Winners, 0 Exacta,  8 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $72.00

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 1 Days
    • $18.00 (9 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 0 (0.0%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $0.00
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$18.00
************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************
 Saturday, January, 13 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)
  • 1st Race 
    • 6 - Nobadeer [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Serious Talk [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Macanao [Also Ran]
  • 2nd Race
    • 2 - Spider's Alibi [Also Ran]
    • 1/1A - Match Up / Vanderbilt Beach [Also Ran]
    • 9 - More On Tap [Also Ran]
  • 3rd Race
    • 5 - Oso Ready [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Gotta Curlin [Show]
      • $5.00
    • 7 - Entertainer [Also Ran]
  • 4th Race
    • 1 - Or Sunday [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Dion [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Silverdollardreams [Also Ran]
  • 5th Race
    • 2 - Papa Caliente [SCRATCH]
    • 5 - Dream Baby Dream [Show]
      • $2.80
    • 6 - Schoenhardt [Also Ran]
  • 6th Race
    • 5 - Glitnir [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Colony Strike [Place]
      • $21.00  $8.80
    • 6 - Indy Awesome [Show]
      • $3.00
  • 7th Race
    • 1 - Higher Power [Win]
      • $11.80  $4.20  $3.20
    • 2 - Lone Rock [Also Ran]
    • 3 - True Loyalty [Also Ran]
  • 8th Race
    • 11 - Someday Soon [SCRATCH]
    • 8 - Ever So Clever [Place]
      • $4.80  $3.20
    • 2 - Farrell [Win]
      • $6.20  $3.60  $3.20
  • 9th Race
    • 3 - Greeley Can Win [SCRATCH]
    • 2 - Pryor [SCRATCH]
    • 9 - D'oros Ruler [Also Ran]
Summary for Saturday, January 13, at Oaklawn: 1 Winner, 1 Exacta, 7 of 24 OTB (4 scratch), $98.90

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 2 Days
    • $30.00 (15 Races, 3 Scratches on Top Pick)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 1 (6.7%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $11.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$18.20
************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 
Sunday, January 14 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)
  • 1st Race
    • 4 - Emerald Candy [SCRATCH]
    • 9 - Samurai's Prize [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Riva Belle [Also Ran]
  • 2nd Race
    • 1 - Arrogant [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Bud's Mr. B [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Sarah's Swingtown [Also Ran]
  • 3rd Race
    • 3 - Triple Kapalua [Show]
      • $3.40
    • 1 - La Fee Verte [Also Ran]
    • 4 - La Dame Blanche [Also Ran]
  • 4th Race
    • 7 - Zella Rose [Show]
      • $3.60
    • 3 - Buch of Daisies [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Baetykaty [Place] 
      • $2.40  $2.20
  • 5th Race
    • 11 - What's in the Box [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Coach Nar [Show]
      • $7.20
    • 2 - Rick's Stryker [Also Ran]
  • 6th Race
    • 4 - Handsome Traveler [Also Ran]
    • 10 - Infinity Squared [Win]
      • $10.60  $6.80  $5.20
    • 3 - Grade One [Place]
      • $7.40  $5.00
  • 7th Race
    • 6 - Warrior's Club [Show]
      • $3.40
    • 1 - Big Squeeze [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Broken Promise [Also Ran]
  • 8th Race
    • 6 - Apprehender [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Constantino [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Recount [Show]
      • $8.80
  • 9th Race 
    • 1 - Make Daddy Proud [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Golden Cat Tale [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Two Step Dancer [Also Ran]
Summary for Sunday, January 14 at Oaklawn: 0 Winners, 1 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $117.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 3 Days
    • $46.00 (23 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 1 (4.3%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $11.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$34.20
************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 
Monday, January 15 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)
  • 1st Race
    • 1 - Minister Nick [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Pharme Phlash [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Bye Crazy Eyes [Show]
      • $4.60
  • 2nd Race
    • 8 - Georgia's Reward [Win]
      • $4.00  $3.00  $2.60
    • 5 - Bella My Girl [Also Ran]
    • 6 - Primary First [Also Ran]
  • 3rd Race
    • 11 - Cascabria [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Darion's Dream [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Moolamiss [Also Ran]
  • 4th Race 
    • 4 - Double Deep [Also Ran]
    • 6 - Brouillard [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Coach Adams [Win]
      • $25.40  $11.00  $5.20 
  • 5th Race
    • 11 - Twist Off [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Song of the Nile [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Mojo Man [Also Ran]
  • 6th Race
    • 6 - He's So Zazzy [Also Ran]
    • 3 - El Bonito [SCRATCH]
    • 5 - Hey Bro [Also Ran]
  • 7th Race
    • 11 - Glamorized [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Sassy Sienna [Win]
      • $3.80  $3.20  $2.60
    • 2 - Sydney Freeman [Also Ran]
  • 8th Race 
    • 2 - Lone Rock [SCRATCH]
    • 6 - Navistar [SCRATCH]
    • 1 - Combatant [Place]
      • $2.40
  • 9th Race
    • 9 - Event of Default [Also Ran]
    • 1 - Mercer Slough  [Also Ran]
    • 11 - Secret Trick [Place]
      • $10.00  $7.20
Summary for Monday, January 15 at Oaklawn: 1 Winners, 0 Exacta, 6 of 24 OTB (3 scratch), $85.00

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 4 Days
    • $62.00 (31 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 2 (6.5%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $15.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • -$46.20
************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************
Well, that's a wrap for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday morning for the beginning of a new week of picks by the OakPick Monte Carlo program. Hopefully, the program will return to last year's winning ways soon. The first week of a new meet is always rough on handicappers.

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