April 12-15 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

The 2017 racing season ended at Oaklawn Park on Saturday with the running of the Arkansas Derby. Classic Empire ran away with the Grade I stakes and placed himself in the conversation about the race in Kentucky in about 3 weeks.

Below is a summary of the results from my Monte Carlo program for the week of the Racing Festival of the South. The first 2 days of the week were fantastic with positive returns on $2 win bets on each of the top selections (+$9.80 and +$28.80). However, the Friday results were abysmal - the worst day of the season for selections on the board with only 1 winner. The program selected only 1 outright winner again on Arkansas Derby day. So, for the week, the program finished with a profit of $1.80 over the 41 races. For the season (since February 17), the program was +$104.00 over the 336 races that were predicted. In the weeks that follow, I will provide some additional statistical information about the season that just ended at Oaklawn Park.

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Wednesday, April 12 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 6 - Paschal [Also Ran]
• 5 - Justin Zee [Also Ran]
• 11 - Don't Blame Dexter [Scratch]
• Race 2
• 4 - Dr. Clark [Also Ran]
• 8 - Rojac [Place]
• $5.20 $3.00
• 2 - Choir Director [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 11 - Abboccato [Also Ran]
• 3 - Forever Fara [Win]
• $5.40 $3.60 $3.00
• 5 - She's the Most [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 4 - Miss Mamacita [Also Ran]
• 1 - Rose to Glory [Win]
• $10.80 $5.60 $3.80
• 6 - You Vow Me [Place]
• $10.00 $7.40
• Exotics
• 1/6 $1.00 Exacta $45.70
• Race 5
• 7 - Silky Lady [Also Ran]
• 8 - With Every Hope [Also Ran]
• 2 - Boomtiderock [Place]
• $5.00 $4.00
• Race 6
• 6 - Heat My Dust [Also Ran]
• 4 - Enterprise Value [Also Ran]
• 9 - Cara Blythe [Win]
• $17.80 $8.00 $6.20
• Race 7
• 11 - Glacken's Ghost [Win]
• $15.40 $6.60 $3.40
• 12 - Jack Be Quick [Also Ran]
• 10 - Daddy's Gone [Scratch]
• Race 8
• 3 - Misleading Lady [Win]
• $12.40 $6.20 $4.20
• 2 - Merilore [Also Ran]
• 6 - Florida Bird [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 8 - Will Wants Candy [Also Ran]
• 11 - Essie's Reward [Show]
• $21.80
• 1 - Sizzle Factor [Also Ran]

Summary for Wednesday, April 12 at Oaklawn: 5 Winners, 9 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $214.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 33 Days
• $608.00 (304 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 41 (13.5%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $720.00
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$112.00

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Thursday, April 13 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 12 - Diva of Disaster [Place]
• $5.40 $3.60
• 11 - Kauai Nana [Also Ran]
• 2 - She's Undawnted [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 11 - Discreet Charm [Also Ran]
• 7 - Classic Arch [Place]
• $12.00 $7.40
• 4 - Sham's Shoes [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 8 - The Checotah Kid [Also Ran]
• 11 - Wilbur (Scratch)
• 2 - Gumshoe [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 1 - Whataclassylady [Also Ran]
• 10 - Gingermore (Scratch)
• 3 - Je Suis Belle [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 5 - Daddy's Memory [Win]
• $6.40 $4.00 $3.20
• 7 - La Crema Rouge [Also Ran]
• 6 - Golfin De An [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 10 - Smart Emma [Also Ran]
• 5 - Greely's Comet [Also Ran]
• 2 - Asian's Way [Place]
• $3.00 $2.20
• Race 7
• 7 - Reckling [Win] $7.20 $4.20 $3.40
• 12 - Junket [Place] $5.20 $4.00
• 2 - Seven Forty Seven (Scratch)
• Exotics
• 7/12 $1.00 Exacta: $15.80
• Race 8
• 4 - Anita Marie [Win]
• $29.20 $10.40 $9.60
• 2 - Divine Way [Also Ran]
• 8 - Dorothe Marie [Also Ran]
• Race 9 (Bachelor Stakes)
• 8 - Smokin Now (Scratch)
• 1 - Recruiting Ready [Win]
• $6.00 $3.80 $3.60
• 4 - Jagged Warrior [Also Ran]
• Exotics
• Pick 3 $0.50  7-4-1 $149.75
• Race 1
• 10 - Girl Link [Show]
• $6.20
• 7 - I'm the Reason [Also Ran]
• 2 - Meadow Gem [Also Ran]

Summary for Thursday, April 13 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners, 9 of 26 OTB (4 scratches), $305.55

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 34 Days
• $628.00 (314 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 45 (14.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $768.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$140.80

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Friday, April 14 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Britt's Vow [Also Ran]
• 1 - Watch Out [Also Ran]
• 5 - Delta Chance [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 12 - Luv Bandit [Place]
• $4.60 $3.20
• 9 - Anmaat [Also Ran]
• 5 - Oliver's Bull [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 2 - Our Addi Belle (Scratch)
• 10 - New Lucky Penny [Also Ran]
• 1A - Stellastellastella [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 11 - Glorious Summer [Also Ran]
• 4 - Brother J. R. [Also Ran]
• 3 - First Response [Place]
• $4.40 $3.00
• Race 5
• 5 - Summer Tiger [Also Ran]
• 7 - Condominium [Also Ran]
• 9 - Conquest Hiosilver [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 12 - Solve [Also Ran]
• 1 - Malibu Max [Show]
• $3.80
• 3 - King Ptolemy [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 9 - Providence [Also Ran]
• 11 - Fire Blaster [Also Ran]
• 5 - Mono (Scratch)
• Race 8
• 8 - Conquest Bandido [Also Ran]
• 7 - Dutch Parrot [Also Ran]
• 11 - Conquest Slayer [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 3 - Stellar Wind [Win]
• $2.80 $2.20 $2.10
• 4 - Divine Elegance [Also Ran]
• 2 - Durango [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 3 - Nelson's El Camino (Scratch)
• 2 - California Coast [Also Ran]
• 7 - Doctor Peter [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, April 14 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner, 4 of 27 OTB (3 scratches), $26.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 35 Days
• $648.00 (324 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 46 (14.2%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $771.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$123.60

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Saturday, April 15 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Skip the Pinot [Also Ran]
• 10 - Will Munnings [Also Ran]
• 2 - Heat Road [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 6 - O T B Bob [Show]
• $7.20
• 12 - Roma Road [Also Ran]
• 10 - High Dollar Kitten [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 8 - Leofric [Win]
• $4.40 $3.40 $2.40
• 2 - Fire Starter (Scratch)
• 6 - Mishegas [Show]
• $2.60
• Race 4
• 4 - Net Gain [Also Ran]
• 9 - Abbaa [Win]
• $9.40 $4.60 $2.60
• 5 - Mister Pollard (Scratch)
• Race 5 
• 9 - Allidoisdreamofyou [Also Ran]
• 6 - Moon Gate Warrior [Also Ran]
• 5 - Conquest Bigluck E [Win]
• $4.60 $3.20 $2.80
• Exotics
• 2/8-9-5 $0.50 Pick 3: $14.10
• Race 6
• 7 - Hard Fought [Also Ran]
• 11 - Curmit  [Also Ran]
• 9 - Pitch Count [Show]
• $7.60
• Race 7 (Count Fleet Sprint Handicap)
• 9 - Apprehender [Place]
• $12.40 $4.40
• 1 - Chief of Staff [Also Ran]
• 4 - Black Bear [Also Ran]
• Race 8 (Northern Spur)
• 7 - Total Tap [Show]
• $3.20
• 1 - Cistron [Win]
• $7.80 $4.00 $3.00
• 2 - Colonelsdarktemper [Also Ran]
• Race 9 (Oaklawn Handicap) 
• 2 - Domain's Rap [Place]
• $9.00 $3.40
• 5 - Inside Straight [Win]
• $41.40 $13.40 $5.00
• 4 - Madefromlucky [Also Ran]
• Exotics 
• 5/2 $1.00 Exacta: $97.90
• Race 10
• 3 - Confederate Rags [Also Ran]
• 2 - Langs Legend [Also Ran]
• 11 - Greeleys Charm [Also Ran]
• Race 11 (Arkansas Derby)
• 7 - Sonneteer [Also Ran]
• 2 - Classic Empire [Win]
•  $5.80 $4.40 $3.80
• 3 - Silver Dust [Also Ran]
• Race 12 
• 4 - Dontsaymyname [Also Ran]
• 3 - The Rouge Diesel [Also Ran]
• 6 - Indy Awesome [Win]
• $15.60 $7.80 $4.20

Summary for Saturday, April 15 at Oaklawn: 7 Winners, 13 of 34 OTB (2 scratch), $315.40

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 36 Days
• $672.00 (336 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 47 (14.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $776.00
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$104.00

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Check back here later for a season summary of Oaklawn Park. I am also working out what to do next (another track or two perhaps) with the Monte Carlo program.

April 15, 2017 (Arkansas Derby Day) Oaklawn Park Selections

The 2017 racing season at Oaklawn Park concludes with a 12 race card on Arkansas Derby Day. The card includes 4 stakes races (3 graded) - the Count Fleet Sprint Handicap, the Northern Spur Stakes, the Oaklawn Handicap, and the Arkansas Derby. The Count Fleet Sprint Handicap is a Grade III stakes featuring 3 years old & up going 6 furlongs worth $400,000. The Northern Spur is a stakes race for 3 year olds worth $150,000. The Oaklawn Handicap is a Grade II stakes for 4 year olds & up worth $750,000. Finally, the Arkansas Derby is a Grade I stakes worth $1,000,000 for 3 year olds that features 170 points available in the Road to the Kentucky Derby (100 for win, 40 for place, 20 for show, and 10 for 4th). The Arkansas Derby has a stellar field including Rebel Stakes winner Malagacy, Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Classic Empire, Untrapped who is always in the money (Lecomte Stakes, Risen Star Stakes, and Rebel Stakes), and Petrov who finished 2nd in both the Smarty Jones Stakes and the Southwest Stakes. There is a special first post time of 12:30 pm on Arkansas Derby Day at Oaklawn Park.

My gut-based picks for the graded stakes races are the following:

• Count Fleet Sprint Handicap
• Whitmore
• Apprehender
• Sharp Art
• Oaklawn Handicap
• Midnight Storm
• Domain's Rap
• Madefromlucky
• Arkansas Derby
• Untrapped
• Malagacy
• Petrov

The selections (tip sheet) from my Monte Carlo program from the day of racing are found below. I will round out the season of picking horses at Oaklawn for 2017 early next week and summarize the final "What If" game based on the Monte Carlo program selections. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 4 - Skip the Pinot
• 10 - Will Munnings
• 2 - Heat Road
• Race 2
• 6 - O T B Bob
• 12 - Roma Road
• 10 - High Dollar Kitten
• Race 3
• 8 - Leofric
• 2 - Fire Starter
• 6 - Mishegas
• Race 4
• 4 - Net Gain
• 9 - Abbaa
• 5 - Mister Pollard
• Race 5
• 9 - Allidoisdreamofyou
• 6 - Moon Gate Warrior
• 5 - Conquest Bigluck E
• Race 6
• 7 - Hard Fought
• 11 - Curmit
• 9 - Pitch Count
• Race 7 (Count Fleet Sprint Handicap)
• 9 - Apprehender
• 1 - Chief of Staff
• 4 - Black Bear
• Race 8 (Northern Spur)
• 7 - Total Tap
• 1 - Cistron
• 2 - Colonelsdarktemper
• Race 9 (Oaklawn Handicap)
• 2 - Domain's Rap
• 5 - Inside Straight
• 4 - Madefromlucky
• Race 10
• 3 - Confederate Rags
• 2 - Langs Legend
• 11 - Greeleys Charm
• Race 11 (Arkansas Derby)
• 7 - Sonneteer
• 2 - Classic Empire
• 3 - Silver Dust
• Race 12
• 4 - Dontsaymyname
• 3 - The Rouge Diesel
• 6 - Indy Awesome 

Good luck!

April 14, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Friday, April 14 is the middle day of the Racing Festival of the South at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. The race card has 10 races including 2 graded stakes. The Fantasy Stakes (Race 8) is a Grade III Stakes race for 3 year old fillies to earn points toward the Kentucky Oaks worth $400,000. The Apple Blossom Handicap is a Grade I Stakes for fillies and mares four year olds & up with a purse of $600,000. Below are the selections from my Monte Carlo program. The results of these picks along with the rest of the weekend results will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 4 - Britt's Vow
• 1 - Watch Out
• 5 - Delta Chance
• Race 2
• 12 - Luv Bandit
• 9 - Anmaat
• 5 - Oliver's Bull
• Race 3
• 2 - Our Addi Belle
• 10 - New Lucky Penny
• 1/1A - Miss Barham/Stellastellastella
• Race 4
• 11 - Glorious Summer
• 4 - Brother J. R.
• 3 - First Response
• Race 5
• 5 - Summer Tiger
• 7 - Condominium
• 9 - Conquest Hiosilver
• Race 6
• 12 - Solve
• 1 - Malibu Max
• 3 - King Ptolemy
• Race 7
• 9 - Providence
• 11 - Fire Blaster
• 5 - Mono
• Race 8 (Fantasy Stakes)
• 8 - Conquest Bandido
• 7 - Dutch Parrot
• 11 - Conquest Slayer
• Race 9 (Apple Blossom Handicap)
• 3 - Stellar Wind
• 4 - Divine Elegance
• 2 - Durango
• Race 10
• 3 - Nelson's El Camino
• 2 - California Coast
• 7 - Doctor Peter

May the horse be with you!

April 13, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Thursday, April 13 is a big day of racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas as it kicks off the Racing Festival of the South. The race card has 10 races including the Bachelor Stakes for 3 year olds worth $150,000. Below are the selections from my Monte Carlo program. The results of these picks along with the rest of the weekend results will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 12 - Diva of Disaster
• 11 - Kauai Nana
• 2 - She's Undawnted
• Race 2
• 11 - Discreet Charm
• 7 - Classic Arch
• 4 - Sham's Shoes
• Race 3
• 8 - The Checotah Kid
• 11 - Wilbur
• 2 - Gumshoe
• Race 4
• 1 - Whataclassylady
• 10 - Gingermore
• 3 - Je Suis Belle
• Race 5
• 5 - Daddy's Memory
• 7 - La Crema Rouge
• 6 - Golfin De An
• Race 6
• 10 - Smart Emma
• 5 - Greely's Comet
• 2 - Asian's Way
• Race 7
• 7 - Reckling
• 12 - Junket
• 2 - Seven Forty Seven
• Race 8
• 4 - Anita Marie
• 2 - Divine Way
• 8 - Dorothe Marie
• Race 9 (Bachelor Stakes)
• 8 - Smokin Now
• 1 - Recruiting Ready
• 4 - Jagged Warrior
• Race 10
• 10 - Girl Link
• 7 - I'm the Reason
• 2 - Meadow Gem

Good luck!

April 12, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

The final week of racing at Oaklawn Park in 2017 kicks off with a 9 race card today. The Racing Festival of the South (7 stakes races in 3 days) begins tomorrow with the Bachelor Stakes as the feature race (9th race). The selections (tip sheet) from my Monte Carlo program for today's card are found below. These selections are free, but if you have a good day with them, please drop back in to leave a tip. The results of these picks along with the results of other picks from the week of racing will be posted together early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game that I have been tracking since mid-February.

• Race 1
• 6 - Paschal
• 5 - Justin Zee
• 11 - Don't Blame Dexter
• Race 2
• 4 - Dr. Clark
• 8 - Rojac
• 2 - Choir Director
• Race 3
• 11 - Abboccato
• 3 - Forever Fara
• 5 - She's the Most
• Race 4
• 4 - Miss Mamacita
• 1 - Rose to Glory
• 6 - You Vow Me
• Race 5
• 7 - Silky Lady
• 8 - With Every Hope
• 2 - Boomtiderock
• Race 6
• 6 - Heat My Dust
• 4 - Enterprise Value
• 9 - Cara Blythe
• Race 7
• 11 - Glacken's Ghost
• 12 - Jack Be Quick
• 10 - Daddy's Gone
• Race 8
• 3 - Misleading Lady
• 2 - Merilore
• 6 - Florida Bird
• Race 9
• 8 - Will Wants Candy
• 11 - Essie's Reward
• 1 - Sizzle Factor

Good luck!

April 6-9 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

This last weekend at Oaklawn Park featured great racing weather and a lot of just misses for the Monte Carlo program. For those of you following along, my program had produced a positive wagering result for $2 win bets on the top pick for 5 straight weekends. Well, the streak ended with a negative performance (-$23.20 over 37 races). However, it was just this " " close [picture 2 fingers really close together] from another positive weekend as 6 top picks finished in 2nd place. In any cases, the results of the penultimate weekend for racing at Oaklawn Park are found below. The final weekend begins on Wednesday this week and ends with the Arkansas Derby on Saturday. Look for those picks beginning Wednesday morning.

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Thursday, April 6 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 5 - Seaside Surprise [Show]
• $5.80
• 3 -  Hope Landing [Also Ran]
• 1 -  Ordained Harbor [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 10 - Lisa's Premier [Also Ran]
• 5 - Lucky Ann [Show]
• $2.80
• 7 - Learning Curve [Win]
• $7.20 $4.20 $3.00
• Race 3
• 6 - Ristan [Also Ran]
• 7 - Our Reward Card [Also Ran]
• 8 - Tizway in Front [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 6 - King of the Score [Place]
• $14.00 $6.00
• 5 - Gone Preachin [Also Ran]
• 10 - Benediction [Scratch]
• Race 5
• 9 - Tour On [Also Ran]
• 5 - My Sugar [Also Ran]
• 7 - Revive [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 2 - My Brother Don [Also Ran]
• 8 - Charlesbrecknridge [Also Ran]
• 1 - Golden Moon [Win]
• $10.80 $6.20 $2.60
• Race 7
• 9 - Risky's Best [Scratch]
• 13 - Nike Gal [Also Ran]
• 12 - Her Case of Gold [Show]
• $2.80
• Race 8
• 7 - Girls Know Best [Also Ran]
• 1 - Friend of Liberty [Place]
• $3.00 $2.20
• 8 - Tapindeed [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 6 - Surtap [Win]
• $4.80 $3.00 $2.20
• 10 - Admiral Shepard [Place]
• $10.60 $5.60
• 5 - Conquest Goinggone [Show] 
• $2.20
• Exotics: 
• 6/10 $1.00 Exacta: $30.90
• 6/10/5 $0.50 Trifecta: $47.20

Summary for Thursday, April 6 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 1 Exacta, 1 Trifecta, 10 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $176.30

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 29 Days
• $534.00 (267 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 36 (13.5%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $646.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$112.20

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Friday, April 7 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 5 - Indian Trick [Also Ran]
• 6 - Spider Walkin [Also Ran]
• 1 - Queen Jolene [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 7 - Sammy Boy [Also Ran]
• 5 - Bullero [Also Ran]
• 9 - Tour de Rock [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 2 - Dusty [Place]
• $8.20 $4.20
• 12 - Decision Reversed [Also Ran]
• 1 - Dribbles [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 4 - Cannington [Place]
• $2.60 $2.40
• 8 - Ms. D's Last Storm [Also Ran]
• 6 - Mr Ark [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 4 - Cheyenne Blues [Also Ran]
• 9 - Zan Creek [Also Ran]
• 3 - Larissa's Love [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 3 - Stormy Forecast [Also Ran]
• 4 - Private Party [Also Ran] 
• 10 - Hickory Island [Place]
• $13.40 $8.60
• Race 7
• 7 - Tiree [Show]
• $4.20
• 3 - Como Se Llama [Also Ran]
• 2 - Chocolate Wildcat [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 4 - Rivers Run Deep [Show]
• $2.60
• 8 - Recount [Win]
• $4.40 $3.20 $2.40
• 3 - W. B. Smudge [Place]
• $5.20 $3.60
• Exotics
• 8/3 $1.00 Exacta: $10.60
• 8/3/4 $0.50 Trifecta: $16.20
• Race 9
• 5 - Big Red Seven [Place]
• $4.00 $3.00
• 12 - Ribbon of Darkness [Scratch]
• 3 - Sioux Appeal [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, April 7 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $98.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 30 Days
• $552.00 (276 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 36 (13.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $642.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$94.20

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Saturday, April 8 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 3 - Safe Passage [Place]
• $8.20 $5.40
• 7 - Reydell [Show]
• $3.40
• 9 - Stone Cold Stare [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Crush [Show]
• $3.20
• 1A Midas Dancer [Place]
• $8.40 $5.60
• 8 - Playing a Joke [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 8 - Lionslittlebit [Also Ran]
• 5 - My Mystery [Win]
• $9.80 $5.60 $4.00
• 12 - Pistol Patti [Show]
• $6.80
• Race 4
• 4 - Wildcat Shoals [Also Ran]
• 6 - Holy Bullex [Also Ran]
• 9 - Quick Sand [Show]
• $2.80
• Race 5
• 3 - Dancing Dove [Also Ran]
• 10 - That's Exciting [Also Ran]
• 2 - Gratzie [Win]
• $11.20 $5.60 $4.00
• Race 6
• 4 - All Laced Up [Win]
• $10.60 $6.60 $3.80
• 9 - Mo's M V P [Also Ran]
• 6 - Madison Kat [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 4 - Chilango [Also Ran]
• 2 - Rippin Ride [Also Ran]
• 8 - Greyjoy [Show]
• $6.20
• Race 8
• 1 - Gently Tapped [Also Ran]
• 9 - Arch Revenge [Also Ran]
• 3 - Racer [Win]
• $7.60 $4.00 $3.20
• Race 9
• 4 - Illusion Artist [Win]
• $21.40 $8.40 $4.80
• 5 - Marquee Miss [Also Ran]
• 1 - D R C's Pretty Sky [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 5 - Commanchero Spring [Also Ran]
• 10 - Bernie Roan [Also Ran]
• 6 - Conquest Skedaddle [Also Ran]

Summary for Saturday, April 8 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners, 11 of 30 OTB (0 scratch), $160.60

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 31 Days
• $572.00 (286 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 38 (13.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $678.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$106.20

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Sunday, April 9 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 3 - Cape Diva [Also Ran]
• 2 - Abby in Pink [Show]
• $3.60
• 5 - Sperling [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 4 - Jebadiah [Also Ran]
• 8 - Eerily [Also Ran]
• 10 - Captain Payback [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 9 - Sleepwalker [Win]
• $14.00 $5.40 $3.80
• 5 - Forest Mist [Also Ran]
• 2 - First Thought [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Viscosity [Also Ran]
• 6 - Johnny the Jet [Also Ran]
• 2 - Tanzanite [Place]
• $3.40 $2.60
• Race 5
• 4 - How About Him [Also Ran]
• 3 - Castletown [Show] $3.80
• 7 - Misterbulltoyou [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 2 - Port Aggregate [Also Ran]
• 9 - Gospel Abe [Also Ran]
• 1 - Flying Mr K [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 3 - Ellis the Red [Also Ran]
• 2 - Likeitlikethat [Show]
• $3.40
• 5 - Hard Scramble [Win]
• $14.80 $5.60 $3.40
• Race 8
• 4 - Anythingyoucando [Place]
• $5.00 $3.00
• 7 - Smelly Cat [Show]
• $2.60
• 10 - Por Favor [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 12 - Hot Blooded Song [Also Ran]
• 4 - Covington [Also Ran]
• 5 - Trueride [Also Ran]

Summary for Sunday, April 9 at Oaklawn: 2 Winners, 8 of 27 OTB (0 scratch), $74.40

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 32 Days
• $590.00 (295 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 39 (13.2%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $692.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$102.20

 

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Check back here on Wednesday for the final week of picks from by my Monte Carlo program for the Racing Festival of the South at Oaklawn Park.

April 9, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to close out the weekend on Sunday, April 9. This is the last Sunday of the racing season in Hot Springs. All we have left is the Racing Festival of the South that culminates next Saturday with the Arkansas Derby. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 3 - Cape Diva
• 2 - Abby in Pink
• 5 - Sperling
• Race 2
• 4 - Jebadiah
• 8 - Eerily
• 10 - Captain Payback
• Race 3
• 9 - Sleepwalker
• 5 - Forest Mist
• 2 - First Thought
• Race 4
• 9 - Viscosity
• 6 - Johnny the Jet
• 2 - Tanzanite
• Race 5
• 4 - How About Him
• 3 - Castletown
• 7 - Misterbulltoyou
• Race 6
• 2 - Port Aggregate
• 9 - Gospel Abe
• 1 - Flying Mr K
• Race 7
• 3 - Ellis the Red
• 2 - Likeitlikethat
• 5 - Hard Scramble
• Race 8
• 4 - Anythingyoucando
• 7 - Smelly Cat
• 10 - Por Favor
• Race 9
• 12 - Hot Blooded Song
• 4 - Covington
• 5 - Trueride

Good luck!

April 8, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Saturday, April 8 at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas will feature a 10 race card. The selections (or tip sheet) from the Monte Carlo program I developed are shown below. These selections are free, but if you have a good day with them, please drop back in to leave a tip. The results of these picks along with the picks from the rest of the week of racing will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game that I have been tracking since mid-February.

• Race 1
• 3 - Safe Passage
• 7 - Reydell
• 9 - Stone Cold Stare
• Race 2
• 5 - Crush
• 1/1A - Cruachan/Midas Dancer
• 8 - Playing a Joke
• Race 3
• 8 - Lionslittlebit
• 5 - My Mystery
• 12 - Pistol Patti
• Race 4
• 4 - Wildcat Shoals
• 6 - Holy Bullex
• 9 - Senor Grits
• Race 5
• 3 - Dancing Dove
• 10 - That's Exciting
• 2 - Gratzie
• Race 6
• 4 - All Laced Up
• 9 - Mo's M V P
• 6 - Madison Kat
• Race 7
• 4 - Chilango
• 2 - Rippin Ride
• 8 - Greyjoy
• Race 8
• 1 - Gently Tapped
• 9 - Arch Revenge
• 3 - Racer
• Race 9
• 4 - Illusion Artist
• 5 - Marquee Miss
• 1 - D R C's Pretty Sky
• Race 10
• 5 - Commanchero Spring
• 10 - Bernie Roan
• 6 - Conquest Skedaddle

May the horse be with you!

April 7, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Friday, April 7 has 9 scheduled races at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full weekend will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 5 - Indian Trick
• 6 - Spider Walkin
• 1 - Queen Jolene
• Race 2
• 7 - Sammy Boy
• 5 - Bullero
• 9 - Tour de Rock
• Race 3
• 2 - Dusty
• 12 - Decision Reversed
• 1 - Dribbles
• Race 4
• 4 - Cannington
• 8 - Ms. D's Last Storm
• 6 - Mr Ark
• Race 5
• 4 - Cheyenne Blues
• 9 - Zan Creek
• 3 - Larissa's Love
• Race 6
• 3 - Stormy Forecast
• 4 - Private Party
• 10 - Hickory Island
• Race 7
• 7 - Tiree
• 3 - Como Se Llama
• 2 - Chocolate Wildcat
• Race 8
• 4 - Rivers Run Deep
• 8 - Recount
• 3 - W. B. Smudge
• Race 9
• 5 - Big Red Seven
• 12 - Ribbon of Darkness
• 3 - Sioux Appeal

Good luck!

April 6, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to open the weekend on Thursday, April 6. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 5 - Seaside Surprise
• 3 -  Hope Landing
• 1 -  Ordained Harbor
• Race 2
• 10 - Lisa's Premier
• 5 - Lucky Ann
• 7 - Learning Curve
• Race 3
• 6 - Ristan
• 7 - Our Reward Card
• 8 - Tizway in Front
• Race 4
• 6 - King of the Score
• 5 - Gone Preachin
• 10 - Benediction
• Race 5
• 9 - Tour On
• 5 - My Sugar
• 7 - Revive
• Race 6
• 2 - My Brother Don
• 8 - Charlesbrecknridge
• 1 - Golden Moon
• Race 7
• 9 - Risky's Best
• 13 - Nike Gal
• 12 - Her Case of Gold
• Race 8
• 7 - Girls Know Best
• 1 - Friend of Liberty
• 8 - Tapindeed
• Race 9
• 6 - Surtap
• 10 - Admiral Shepard
• 5 - Conquest Goinggone

Good luck!

March 30 - April 2 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

After this last weekend of racing at Oaklawn Park, I can finally close the book on the exacta box strategy for using the results of the Monte Carlo program. The weekend finished down by $77.30 for that strategy (37 races) while after 258 races the strategy is -$212.10. So, I will no longer update that "What if" game. On the other hand, the $2 Win strategy on the top selection finished with a boring $0.80 profit over the 37 races. That corresponds to a $2.022 ROI (on $2.00) for the weekend. However, the strategy is now $125.40 positive over the 258 races. The ROI over that time period is a very respectable $2.486 (on $2.00). I will track this strategy until the end of the season at Oaklawn. Below are the results from the weekend.

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Thursday, March 30 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 7 - Zella Rose [Win]
• $17.20 $7.20 $4.20
• 9 - Blushing Bird [Also Ran]
• 8 - Facets of Ice [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Officer Griggs [Place]
• $4.20 $3.00
• 6 - Euroway [Also Ran]
• 4 - Dareandaprayer [Show]
• $14.40
• Race 3
• 8 - Z Besha [Also Ran]
• 10 - Benediction [Also Ran]
• 9 - Promise Me Freedom [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 1 - Sammy Boy [Scratch]
• 12 - Could Be Game [Also Ran]
• 6 - Unyielding Storm [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 9 - Pinchme I'mdreamin [Also Ran]
• 7 - Heavenly Daze [Also Ran]
• 6 - Schuyler Warrior [Win]
• $23.00 $13.00 $7.80
• Race 6
• 12 - I Suspect Taylor [Also Ran]
• 8 - Avisionofchocolate [Also Ran]
• 2 - Dutch Parrot [Win]
• $3.80 $3.00 $2.80
• Race 7
• 9 - Bombmarito [Also Ran]
• 7 - Go Vo 11 [Scratch]
• 11 - Mystery Solved [Scratch]
• Race 8
• 4 - Taxable [Place]
• $3.40 $3.20
• 6 - Curlish Figure [Also Ran]
• 5 - Untouchable [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 5 - Green Moon Rising [Also Ran]
• 6 - Tizuis Or Tizuaint [Place]
• $10.00 $6.20
• 7 - Awesome Mil [Also Ran]

Summary for Thursday, March 30 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 7 of 24 OTB (3 scratch), $126.40

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 25 Days
• $1204.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 15 (Out of 230 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1025.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$178.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 25 Days
• $460.00 (230 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 30 (13.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $583.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$123.80

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

 Friday, March 31 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 11 - Lilac Wine [Place]
• $4.80 $4.20
• 8 - Craftys Lil Sis [Scratch]
• 9 - A Song of Faith [Show]
• $6.80
• Race 2
• 5 - Amber Creek [Win]
• $13.80 $7.00 $4.60
• 9 - She's the Most [Also Ran]
• 3 - Bright Hope [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 6 - Never Give In [Also Ran]
• 7 - Double Ours [Win]
• $3.60 $2.60 $2.40
• 2 - Deep in a Dream [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Isabell's Tiger [Also Ran]
• 4 - R Fast Life [Also Ran]
• 10 - Speightstime [Place]
• $3.80 $2.80
• Race 5
• 7 - Elijah [Also Ran]
• 4 - Fire Starter [Place]
• $3.00 $2.20
• 2 - Abraham [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 11 - Red Leopard [Show]
• $6.40
• 6 - My Boy Lane [Also Ran]
• 3 - See the Ranger [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 3 - Corinthian's Glory [Also Ran]
• 4 - Greeley's Striker [Also Ran]
• 11 - Sandy's Song [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 7 - Checkmate Charlie [Also Ran]
• 3 - Five O One [Win]
• $3.00 $2.10 $2.10
• 4 - Bay's Commander [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 4 - My Sister Madi [Also Ran]
• 11 - Star Quest [Also Ran]
• 3 - Lady Kay [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, March 31 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $68.80

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 26 Days
• $1254.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 15 (Out of 239 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1025.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$228.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 26 Days
• $478.00 (239 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 31 (13.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $597.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$119.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

 Saturday, April 1 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 8 - Chasenthisdream [Show]
• $4.40
• 5 - Arctic Music [Also Ran]
• 7 - Sanilac [Win]
• $4.00 $3.00 $2.60
• Race 2
• 11 - Cat's Destiny [Scratch]
• 5 - Magic of Believing [Show]
• $4.40
• 6 - Iver With an E [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 3 - Hot Item [Win]
• $8.40 $5.20 $3.40
• 8 - Magician Man [Also Ran]
• 7 - Conquest Archie [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 5 - Icy Dawn [Also Ran]
• 12 - Secret Trick [Win]
• $26.80 $11.80 $8.20
• 7 - Flashy Ruthie [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 5 - Way Striking [Win]
• $13.60 $6.00 $3.80
• 2 - Smack Smack [Also Ran]
• 3 - Rocket Time [Place]
• $4.00 $2.80
• Exotics
• 5/3 $1.00 Exacta: $25.70
• Race 6
• 3 - Gordy Florida [Win]
• $5.60 $3.00 $2.40
• 1 - Medal of Courage [Scratch]
• 11 - Stormy Pacific [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 3 - Valeski [Also Ran]
• 10 - Far Out Kailee [Place]
• $4.40 $3.40
• 6 - Private Prospect [Win]
• $7.00 $3.80 $3.00
• Exotics
• 6/10 $1.00 Exacta: $16.00
• Race 8
• 5 - Daringly Bold [Also Ran]
• 9 - Visionary Tale [Win]
• $3.60 $3.00 $2.40
• 8 - Smokin' M'konahay [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 6 - Ms Fifty First St [Show]
• $2.40
• 4 - Premonition Creek [Also Ran]
• 3 - Dixie Flyer [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 6 - Greeleys Copy [Also Ran]
• 5 - Reverend Sam [Also Ran]
• 11 - Sing Him a Song [Also Ran]

Summary for Saturday, April 1 at Oaklawn: 5 Winners, 2 Exacta, 11 of 28 OTB (2 scratch), $198.10

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 27 Days
• $1306.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 17 (Out of 249 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1066.90
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$239.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 27 Days
• $496.00 (249 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 34 (13.7%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $625.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$127.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Sunday, April 2 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Forafewdollarsmore [Also Ran]
• 8 - Incitement [Also Ran]
• 5 - Moonlight Party [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Kiowa Can [Also Ran]
• 8 - Big Statement [Show]
• $4.40
• 12 - Pampered's Lullaby [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 3 - Explosive Candy [Also Ran]
• 10 - Exploden Moonshine [Also Ran]
• 6 - Ahh Youbetchya [Scratch]
• Race 4
• 6 - Savie [Also Ran]
• 12 - McCurdy [Also Ran]
• 8 - No Mo Jo [Win]
• $17.80 $9.80 $5.40
• Race 5
• 3 - Midnight Shine [Win]
• $16.20 $8.00 $4.40
• 7 - Smartified [Place]
• $7.60 $4.00
• 8 - Big Sugarush [Also Ran]
• Exotics
• 3/7 $1.00 Exacta: $69.00
• Race 6
• 6 - Wind Hopper [Also Ran]
• 5 - With Every Hope [Also Ran]
• 11 - Chef Karen [Scratch]
• Race 7
• 2 - Jury Wise [Also Ran]
• 10 - Talk That Talk [Place]
• $6.00 $4.20
• 4 - Stormy Rhonda [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 2 - Exquisite Lady [Scratch]
• 12 - Can't Touch Me [Also Ran]
• 4 - Justa Lady [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 12 - Dancetothebeat [Also Ran]
• 6 - Is Out [Also Ran]
• 2 - Crafty's Girl [Show]
• $7.40

Summary for Sunday, April 2 at Oaklawn: 2 Winners, 1 Exacta, 6 of 24 OTB (3 scratch), $164.20

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 28 Days
• $1348.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 18 (Out of 258 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1135.90
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$212.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 28 Days
• $516.00 (258 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 35 (13.6%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $641.40
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$125.40

 

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Well, that's a wrap for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program.

April 2, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to close out the weekend on Sunday, April 2. This Sunday is the next to last Sunday of the racing season in Hot Springs. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. I am out of pocket this next week, so the results may be later than normal. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 4 - Forafewdollarsmore
• 8 - Incitement
• 5 - Moonlight Party
• Race 2
• 5 - Kiowa Can
• 8 - Big Statement
• 12 - Pampered's Lullaby
• Race 3
• 3 - Explosive Candy
• 10 - Exploden Moonshine
• 6 - Ahh Youbetchya
• Race 4
• 6 - Savie
• 12 - McCurdy
• 8 - No Mo Jo
• Race 5
• 3 - Midnight Shine
• 7 - Smartified
• 8 - Big Sugarush
• Race 6
• 6 - Wind Hopper
• 5 - With Every Hope
• 11 - Chef Karen
• Race 7
• 2 - Jury Wise
• 10 - Talk That Talk
• 4 - Stormy Rhonda
• Race 8
• 2 - Exquisite Lady
• 12 - Can't Touch Me
• 4 - Justa Lady
• Race 9
• 12 - Dancetothebeat
• 6 - Is Out
• 2 - Crafty's Girl

Good luck!

April 1, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

April Fools' Day at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas will feature a 10 race card. The selections (or tip sheet) from the Monte Carlo program I developed are shown below. These selections are free, but if you have a good day with them, please drop back in to leave a tip. The results of these picks along with the picks from the rest of the week of racing will be posted early next week. I will update the Exacta Box and $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" games that I have been tracking since mid-February.

• Race 1
• 8 - Chasenthisdream
• 5 - Arctic Music
• 7 - Sanilac
• Race 2
• 11 - Cat's Destiny
• 5 - Magic of Believing
• 6 - Iver With an E
• Race 3
• 3 - Hot Item
• 8 - Magician Man
• 7 - Conquest Archie
• Race 4
• 5 - Icy Dawn
• 12 - Secret Trick
• 7 - Flashy Ruthie
• Race 5
• 5 - Way Striking
• 2 - Smack Smack
• 3 - Rocket Time
• Race 6
• 3 - Gordy Florida
• 1 - Medal of Courage
• 11 - Stormy Pacific
• Race 7
• 3 - Valeski
• 10 - Far Out Kailee
• 6 - Private Prospect
• Race 8
• 5 - Daringly Bold
• 9 - Visionary Tale
• 8 - Smokin' M'konahay
• Race 9
• 6 - Ms Fifty First St
• 4 - Premonition Creek
• 3 - Dixie Flyer
• Race 10
• 6 - Greeleys Copy
• 5 - Reverend Sam
• 11 - Sing Him a Song

May the horse be with you! 

March 31, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Friday, March 31 will have a 9 race slate at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from the other racing dates this week will be posted later. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 11 - Lilac Wine
• 8 - Craftys Lil Sis
• 9 - A Song of Faith
• Race 2
• 5 - Amber Creek
• 9 - She's the Most
• 3 - Bright Hope
• Race 3
• 6 - Never Give In
• 7 - Double Ours
• 2 - Deep in a Dream
• Race 4
• 9 - Isabell's Tiger
• 4 - R Fast Life
• 10 - Speightstime
• Race 5
• 7 - Elijah
• 4 - Fire Starter
• 2 - Abraham
• Race 6
• 11 - Red Leopard
• 6 - My Boy Lane
• 3 - See the Ranger
• Race 7
• 3 - Corinthian's Glory
• 4 - Greeley's Striker
• 11 - Sandy's Song
• Race 8
• 7 - Checkmate Charlie
• 3 - Five O One
• 4 - Bay's Commander
• Race 9
• 4 - My Sister Madi
• 11 - Star Quest
• 3 - Lady Kay

Good luck!

March 30, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Thursday, March 30 has 9 scheduled races at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from Friday - Sunday will be posted early next week. I will update the Exacta Box and $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" games. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 7 - Zella Rose
• 9 - Blushing Bird
• 8 - Facets of Ice
• Race 2
• 5 - Officer Griggs
• 6 - Euroway
• 4 - Dareandaprayer
• Race 3
• 8 - Z Besha
• 10 - Benediction
• 9 - Promise Me Freedom
• Race 4
• 1 - Sammy Boy
• 12 - Could Be Game
• 6 - Unyielding Storm
• Race 5
• 9 - Pinchme I'mdreamin
• 7 - Heavenly Daze
• 6 - Schuyler Warrior
• Race 6
• 12 - I Suspect Taylor
• 8 - Avisionofchocolate
• 2 - Dutch Parrot
• Race 7
• 9 - Bombmarito
• 7 - Go Vo
• 11 - Mystery Solved
• Race 8
• 4 - Taxable
• 6 - Curlish Figure
• 5 - Untouchable
• Race 9
• 5 - Green Moon Rising
• 6 - Tizuis Or Tizuaint
• 7 - Awesome Mil

Good luck!

March 23-26 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

To sum up this week of picks at Oaklawn Park, the $2 win strategy on the Monte Carlo program's top picks was +$47.00 for the weekend of racing (37 races). Over the 24 race dates of the "What If" game, the strategy is +$124.60 (221 races). I was hoping the weekend would push me one way or the other on the exacta box strategy. It didn't because the weekend was positive (+$46.70 over 37 races) while overall the "What If" game is now -$134.80 over that same 221 races. I will track this strategy until the end of the season at Oaklawn before deciding whether to accept/reject this approach with the predictions from the MC algorithm. In any case, it was great Spring weekend of racing in Hot Springs. Below are the results from the weekend.

Thursday, March 23 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 9 - Numancia [Place]
• $6.40 $4.40
• 6 - Muster In [Also Ran]
• 1 - R Nanalee [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 1 - Spider Walkin [Also Ran]
• 8 - Pinch Hit [Win]
• $8.40 $4.60 $3.20
• 2 - Bernardina [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 11 - Kerugma [Also Ran]
• 7 - Key to the Bridge [Also Ran]
• 5 - King Coral [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 6 - Holiday Man [Place]
• $3.80 $2.80
• 7 - Hunter's Strike [Also Ran]
• 9 - O T B Bob [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 12 - Prada Has Bling [Also Ran]
• 4 - Atlanta Slew [Scratch]
• 7 - Baby Not Tonight [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 5 - Jazzy Times [Also Ran]
• 3 - Attain [Also Ran]
• 1 - Big Squeeze [Show]
• $3.60
• Race 7
• 3 - Quick Sand [Also Ran]
• 9 - Francois [Also Ran]
• 4 - Areed [Show]
• $3.00
• Race 8
• 4 - Bordini [Also Ran]
• 5 - Conquest Twister [Scratch]
• 6 - Chief of Staff [Place]
• $8.80 $4.40
• Race 9
• 3 - Small City Girl [Also Ran]
• 7 - Girl Power [Also Ran]
• 1 - Impasse [Show] 
• $2.40

Summary for Thursday, March 23 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner, 0 Exacta, 7 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $55.80

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 21 Days
• $1020.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 12 (Out of 193 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $792.50
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$227.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 21 Days
• $386.00 (193 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 22 (11.4%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $445.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$59.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, March 24 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 9 - Pedlow [Also Ran]
• 12 - Red Nick Carl [Also Ran]
• 11 - Valid's Final [Scratch]
• Race 2
• 8 - Story Onthe Street [Also Ran]
• 11 - Captain's Mast [Scratch]
• 10 - Shootout [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 10 - Sumpen Bout Sophie [Scratch]
• 9 - Tizway in Front [Also Ran]
• 2 - Galena Motion [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 10 - She's a Corker [Also Ran]
• 11 - Lovely Carrie [Also Ran]
• 8 - Cherishabull [Place]
• $10.00 $5.20
• Race 5
• 5 - Kickstart [Also Ran]
• 10 - Eastern Sky [Also Ran]
• 11 - Her Case of Gold [Place]
• $6.40 $4.20
• Race 6
• 5 - Class President [Place]
• $6.40 $3.40
• 7 - Bold Shot [Show]
• $2.60
• 6 - Wild About You [Win] 
• $4.00 $2.60 $2.10
• Exotics:
• 6/5 $1.00 Exacta: $14.70
• 6/5/7 $0.50 Trifecta: $21.60
• Race 7
• 9 - Congrats Honey [Also Ran]
• 7 - Secret Trick [Scratch]
• 4 - Mango's Muse [Win]
• $10.20 $5.40 $2.80
• Race 8
• 6 - Dancing Dove [Scratch]
• 8 - Bellatori [Also Ran]
• 7 - Treble [Place]
• $2.80 $2.60
• Race 9
• 11 - Wicked Zar [Win]
• $11.00 $6.20 $4.20
• 4 - Cadillac Red [Also Ran]
• 10 - Cash Money Always [Show]
• $10.40

Summary for Friday, March 24 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 1 Exacta, 9 of 22 OTB (5 scratch), $138.80

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 22 Days
• $1054.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 13 (Out of 202 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $807.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$246.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 22 Days
• $404.00 (202 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 23 (11.4%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $456.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$52.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Saturday, March 25 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 9 - My Name Is Hebe [Also Ran]
• 10  - Wicked Rascal [Also Ran]
• 5 - Faithful Neighbor [Scratch]
• Race 2
• 7 - Twenty and Four [Win]
• $8.20 $3.80 $3.40
• 10 - Giant Secret [Scratch]
• 9 - Charming Deputy [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 7 - We Be Stormin [Also Ran]
• 6 - Meanbone [Also Ran]
• 1 - Goods Gone West [Place]
• $5.20 $3.80
• Race 4
• 10 - Party Marty [Also Ran]
• 6 - Uno Mas Brandy [Also Ran]
• 11 - How's My Bud [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 11 - Rarin to Go [Win]
• $12.60 $6.00 $4.20
• 10 - Wirth Road [Also Ran]
• 5 - Anteros [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 11 - Point After [Also Ran]
• 6 - Rage Riot [Win]
• $5.20 $3.40 $2.80
• 3 - Sturdy Allan [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 7 - Jacob Rocks [Also Ran]
• 8 - Johnny the Jet [Also Ran]
• 3 - Purrfectpersuasion [Win] 
• $33.00 $10.80 $4.40
• Race 8
• 11 - Double Tuff [Win]
• $66.40 $25.20 $13.60
• 4 - Malibu Max [Show]
• $10.00
• 12 - Holy Bullex [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 6 - Whistle Stop [Also Ran]
• 5 - Chanel's Legacy [Place]
• $4.20 $3.00
• 3 - Golden Mischief [Win]
• $7.40 $4.00 $3.00
• Exotics: 
• 3/5 $1.00 Exacta: $13.10
• Race 10
• 7 - Off Road [Place]
• $9.20 $6.80
• 3 - Grandpa's Dream [Win]
• $45.40 $18.00 $8.20
• 12 - Camalus [Also Ran]
• Exotics:
• 3/7 $1.00 Exacta: $204.90

Summary for Saturday, March 25 at Oaklawn: 7 Winners, 2 Exactas, 11 of 28 OTB (2 scratch), $549.20

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 23 Days
• $1106.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 15 (Out of 212 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1025.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$80.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 23 Days
• $424.00 (212 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 26 (12.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $543.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$119.80

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Sunday, March 26 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 9 - Guska Mon Shoes [Win]
• $8.40 $4.20 $3.80
• 10 - Naughty Moon [Also Ran]
• 5 - Sarah's Swingtown [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Hypothetical [Also Ran]
• 6 - Unbridled Venture [Also Ran]
• 4 - Repent With Me [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 1 - Chip Van Winkle [Win]
• $6.20 $3.80 $3.20
• 12 - Rippin Ranger [Show]
• $5.00
• 6 - Cap's Tale [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 8 - Crafty's Way [Also Ran]
• 5 - Happy Anniversary [Also Ran]
• 2 - Tour On [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 8 - Conquest Perfectlu [Also Ran]
• 6 - Well Mannered [Also Ran]
• 4 - Stealcase [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 9 - Cara Blythe [Win]
• $8.20 $4.60 $3.80
• 7 - Another Stone [Also Ran]
• 6 - My Treet [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 8 - Marine Pilot [Show]
• $2.80
• 3 - Conquest Streetwar [Also Ran]
• 4 - Zombie Alan [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 3 - Johnny Obvious [Also Ran]
• 1 - Flash Attack [Also Ran]
• 8 - Wing and Wheel [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 12 - Bogey [Show]
• $4.20
• 8 - Camp Cielo [Also Ran]
• 2 - Brother J. R. [Also Ran]

Summary for Sunday, March 26 at Oaklawn: 3 Winner, 0 Exacta, 6 of 27 OTB (0 scratch), $58.20

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 24 Days
• $1160.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 15 (Out of 221 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1025.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$134.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 24 Days
• $442.00 (221 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 29 (13.1%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $566.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$124.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Well, that's a wrap for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program.

March 26, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to close out the weekend on Sunday, March 26. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. I am out of pocket this next week, so the results may be later than normal. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 9 - Guska Mon Shoes
• 10 - Naughty Moon
• 5 - Sarah's Swingtown
• Race 2
• 5 - Hypothetical
• 6 - Unbridled Venture
• 4 - Repent With Me
• Race 3
• 1 - Chip Van Winkle
• 12 - Rippin Ranger
• 6 - Cap's Tale
• Race 4
• 8 - Crafty's Way
• 5 - Happy Anniversary
• 2 - Tour On
• Race 5
• 8 - Conquest Perfectlu
• 6 - Well Mannered
• 4 - Stealcase
• Race 6
• 9 - Cara Blythe
• 7 - Another Stone
• 6 - My Treet
• Race 7
• 8 - Marine Pilot
• 3 - Conquest Streetwar
• 4 - Zombie Alan
• Race 8
• 3 - Johnny Obvious
• 1 - Flash Attack
• 8 - Wing and Wheel
• Race 9
• 12 - Bogey
• 8 - Camp Cielo
• 2 - Brother J. R.

Good luck!

March 25, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Saturday, March 25 will have a 10 race slate at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from the other racing dates this week will be posted later. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 9 - My Name Is Hebe
• 10 - Wicked Rascal
• 5 - Faithful Neighbor
• Race 2
• 7 - Twenty and Four
• 10 - Giant Secret
• 9 - Charming Deputy
• Race 3
• 7 - We Be Stormin
• 6 - Meanbone
• 1 - Goods Gone West
• Race 4
• 10 - Party Marty
• 6 - Uno Mas Brandy
• 11 - How's My Bud
• Race 5
• 11 - Rarin to Go
• 10 - Wirth Road
• 5 - Anteros
• Race 6
• 11 - Point After
• 6 - Rage Riot
• 3 - Sturdy Allan
• Race 7
• 7 - Jacob Rocks
• 8 - Johnny the Jet
• 3 - Purrfectpersuasion
• Race 8
• 11 - Double Tuff
• 4 - Malibu Max
• 12 - Holy Bullex
• Race 9
• 6 - Whistle Stop
• 5 - Chanel's Legacy
• 3 - Golden Mischief
• Race 10
• 7 - Off Road
• 3 - Grandpa's Dream
• 12 - Camalus

Good luck!

March 24, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

A 9 race card is set for Friday, March 24 at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 9 - Pedlow
• 12 - Red Nick Carl
• 11 - Valid's Final
• Race 2
• 8 - Story Onthe Street
• 11 - Captain's Mast
• 10 - Shootout
• Race 3
• 10 - Sumpen Bout Sophie
• 9 - Tizway in Front
• 2 - Galena Motion
• Race 4
• 10 - She's a Corker
• 11 - Lovely Carrie
• 8 - Cherishabull
• Race 5
• 5 - Kickstart
• 10 - Eastern Sky
• 11 - Her Case of Gold
• Race 6
• 5 - Class President
• 7 - Bold Shot
• 6 - Wild About You
• Race 7
• 9 - Congrats Honey
• 7 - Secret Trick
• 4 - Mango's Muse
• Race 8
• 6 - Dancing Dove
• 8 - Bellatori
• 7 - Treble
• Race 9
• 11 - Wicked Zar
• 4 - Cadillac Red
• 10 - Cash Money Always

Good luck!

March 23, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Thursday, March 23 has 9 scheduled races at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from Friday - Sunday will be posted early next week. I will update the Exacta Box and $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" games. After this week of racing, I will have over 200 races of data to determine profit/loss for the two strategies I am tracking while using the MC algorithm. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 9 - Numancia
• 6 - Muster In
• 1 - R Nanalee
• Race 2
• 1 - Spider Walkin
• 8 - Pinch Hit
• 2 - Bernardina
• Race 3
• 11 - Kerugma
• 7 - Key to the Bridge
• 5 - King Coral
• Race 4
• 6 - Holiday Man
• 7 - Hunter's Strike
• 9 - O T B Bob
• Race 5
• 12 - Prada Has Bling
• 4 - Atlanta Slew
• 7 - Baby Not Tonight
• Race 6
• 5 - Jazzy Times
• 3 - Attain
• 1 - Big Squeeze
• Race 7
• 3 - Quick Sand
• 9 - Francois
• 4 - Areed
• Race 8
• 4 - Bordini
• 5 - Conquest Twister
• 6 - Chief of Staff
• Race 9
• 3 - Small City Girl
• 7 - Girl Power
• 1 - Impasse

Good luck!

March 16-19 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

To sum up this week of picks at Oaklawn Park, the $2 win strategy on the Monte Carlo program's top picks was +$24.20 for the weekend of racing (38 races). Over the 20 race dates of the "What If" game, the strategy is +$77.60 (184 races). However, the exacta box strategy that looked so promising at one point in that "What If" game is now -$181.50 over that same 184 races. I will keep tracking this strategy because I cannot decide which streak in the process is more indicative of the predictive power of the MC algorithm. Another week or two should give that data. In any case, it was great Spring weekend of racing in Hot Springs. Below are the results from the weekend.

Thursday, March 16 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 1 - Wolf City [Also Ran]
• 9 - Malibubu [Scratch]
• 6 - Will Gracie Shine [Show]
• $4.00
• Race 2
• 11 - Priza N a Half [Also Ran]
• 5 - Vested Creek [Also Ran]
• 7 - Dudete's Wino [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 2 - Son of Pearl [Win]
• $7.60 $4.40 $3.00
• 8 - Silver Lining John [Also Ran]
• 6 - Enlisted Man [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Cotton Club Cutie [Show]
• $3.40
• 4 - Timeless Truth [Also Ran]
• 8 - Titfortat [Place]
• $4.60 $2.80
• Race 5
• 10 - Could Be Game [Also Ran]
• 6 - Since Forever [Place]
• $9.60 $6.20
• 9 - First Splash [Show]
• $7.80
• Race 6
• 12 - First Heritage [Win]
• $48.20 $17.00 $7.20
• 3 - Zan Creek [Also Ran]
• 9 - Hicks Honey [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 9 - First Response [Also Ran]
• 6 - United Stand [Also Ran]
• 2 - First Offer [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 4 - Five Star Factor [Also Ran]
• 6 - Dutch Parrot [Place]
• $13.20 $7.60
• 3 - Dial Me [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 3 - Gumshoe [Also Ran]
• 9 - My Boy Lane [Also Ran]
• 5 - Trenton Bridge [Show] $10.00

Summary for Thursday, March 16 at Oaklawn: 2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 9 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $156.60

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 17 Days
• $830.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 155 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$64.20

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 17 Days
• $310.00 (155 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 19 (12.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $401.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$91.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, March 17 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 7 - Mocha Chip [Also Ran]
• 8 - May Be Suspect [Also Ran]
• 5 - Holly Tsu Tsu [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 2 - She's Undawnted [Win]
• $12.80 $7.00 $4.40
• 11 - Wilburn's Angel [Also Ran]
• 6 - Risky's Best [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 6 - Boston Marathoner [Also Ran]
• 2 - One Sock Mauk [Also Ran]
• 9 - Facts Are Stubborn [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Glorious Summer [Also Ran]
• 7 - Dusty [Show]
• $3.00
• 3 - Britt's Vow [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 6 - Indy Awesome [Also Ran]
• 11 - Sky Alert [Also Ran]
• 10 - Battered [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 2 - Yooou Den [Also Ran]
• 4 - Karla With a K [Place]
• $4.00 $3.00
• 7 - One Minute [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 6 - Tap the Admiral  [Also Ran]
• 9 - Midnight Ruleer [Place]
• $11.60 $6.60
• 1/1A - Snickerboxer/Susan's Reward [Show]
• $5.20
• Race 8
• 4 - St. Louie Guy [Show] 
• $3.20
• 10 - Reckling [Place] 
• $11.60 $5.80 
• 7 - Dupree [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 5 - She's a Bootsy Too [Also Ran]
• 2 - Dorodansa [Scratch]
• 9 - Donita's Ruler [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, March 17 at Oaklawn:  1 Winner1, 0 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $78.20

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 18 Days
• $880.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 164 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$114.20

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 18 Days
• $328.00 (164 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 20 (12.2%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $414.00
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$86.00

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Saturday, March 18 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 3 - Salute the Warrior [Place]
• $3.60 $2.80
• 7 - Littleriverrock [Also Ran]
• 11 - Imallaboutthatbass [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 8 - Totality [Also Ran]
• 3 - Warrior's Club [Win]
• $7.00 $4.00 $3.20
• 5 - Rowdy the Warrior [Show]
• $3.60
• Race 3
• 12 - Greeley and Marina [Also Ran]
• 6 - Mountain Honey [Also Ran]
• 1 - Indian Trick [Place]
• $9.40 $5.80 
• Race 4
• 4 - Briar's Gold [Also Ran]
• 5 - Charlesbrecknridge [Also Ran]
• 7 - Circle Unbroken [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 5 - Lil Miss Blue Eyes [Show]
• $3.20
• 8 - What a Star [Also Ran]
• 7 - Crimson Frost [Place]
• $13.60 $6.40
• Race 6
• 5 - Real Creel [Also Ran]
• 6 - Colonelsdarktemper [Show]
• $3.60
• 9 - Love That Lute [Win]
• $37.60 $12.60 $7.00
• Race 7
• 2 - Terra Promessa [Also Ran]
• 5 - Power of Snunner [Also Ran]
• 3 - Tiger Moth [Show]
• $45.40
• Race 8
• 6 - Fear the Cowboy [Scratch]
• 8 - Madefromlucky [Show]
• $3.00
• 4 - Dalmore [Also Ran]
• Race 9  
• 9 - Luna de Loco [Win]
• $20.00 $8.80 $6.60
• 8 - Will Munnings [Scratch]
• 4 - Never Give In [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 5 - Untrapped [Show] $5.40
• 2 - Uncontested [Also Ran]
• 7 - American Anthem [Also Ran]
• Race 11
• 12 - Leofric [Win]
• $11.60 $6.20 $4.80
• 9 - Langdarma [Show]
• $5.20
• 3 - Dan the Go to Man [Place]
• $3.40 $2.80
• Exotics: 
• 12/3 $1.00 Ex: $26.70
• 12/3/9 $0.50 Trifecta: $105.60

Summary for Saturday, March 18 at Oaklawn:  4 Winners, 1 Exacta, 15 of 31 OTB (2 scratch), $378.90

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 19 Days
• $938.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 12 (Out of 175 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $792.50
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$145.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 19 Days
• $350.00 (175 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 22 (12.6%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $445.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$95.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

 Sunday, March 19 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 8 - Avail Ekati [Show]
• $3.80
• 3 - Zimmerman [Win]
• $8.60 $4.20 $2.80
• 10 - Safe Passage [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 10 - Lilac Wine [Also Ran]
• 4 - G P's Girl [Place]
• $7.80 $6.00
• 8 - Whitebutton [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 6 - Sammy Boy [Also Ran]
• 4 - Tipsy Suspect [Also Ran]
• 1 - Cannington [Place] 
• $4.80 $3.00
• Race 4
• 1 - Storm Haze [Also Ran]
• 4 - He Is a Roadster [Also Ran]
• 12 - Bracigliano [Scratch]
• Race 5
• 7 - Sister Kan [Show]
• $2.40
• 1 - Girls Know Best [Win]
• $8.00 $4.80 $3.20
• 5 - Too Much to Bear [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 1 - Jury Wise [Scratch]
• 7 - Realta Ean [Scratch]
• 4 - Includere [Place]
• $6.60 $4.00
• Race 7
• 4 - Snickerboxer [Scratch]
• 3 - Goats Town [Place]
• $5.00 $3.40
• 6 - Decorated Soldier [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 1 - Maziette [Place]
• $8.00 $4.80
• 6 - Dandy Gal [Also Ran]
• 7 - Hailstorm Slew [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 5 - Gone Preachin [Scratch] 
• 2 - Chantmeupbaby [Place]
• $3.00 $2.80
• 9 - Dothebestyoucan [Also Ran]

Summary for Sunday, March 19 at Oaklawn:  2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 10 of 22 OTB (5 scratch), $97.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 20 Days
• $974.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 12 (Out of 184 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $792.50
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$181.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 20 Days
• $368.00 (184 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 22 (12.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $445.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$77.60
  
  ************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

That's it for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program.

March 19, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

After a fabulous Rebel Stakes day at Oaklawn Park, Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to close out the weekend on Sunday, March 19. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 8 - Avail Ekati
• 3 - Zimmerman 
• 10 - Safe Passage
• Race 2
• 10 - Lilac Wine 
• 4 - G P's Girl
• 8 - Whitebutton
• Race 3
• 6 - Sammy Boy
• 4 - Tipsy Suspect
• 1 - Cannington
• Race 4
• 1 - Storm Haze
• 4 - He Is a Roadster
• 12 - Bracigliano
• Race 5
• 7 - Sister Kan
• 1 - Girls Know Best
• 5 - Too Much to Bear
• Race 6
• 1 - Jury Wise
• 7 - Realta Ean
• 4 - Includere
• Race 7
• 4 - Snickerboxer
• 3 - Goats Town
• 6 - Decorated Soldier
• Race 8
• 1 - Maziette
• 6 - Dandy Gal
• 7 - Hailstorm Slew
• Race 9
• 5 - Gone Preachin
• 2 - Chantmeupbaby
• 9 - Dothebestyoucan

May the horse be with you!

March 18, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Saturday, March 18 is a big day of racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. The race card has 11 races including three stakes. The Azeri is a Grade II Stakes for fillies and mares four year olds & up with a purse of $350,000. The Essex is a Handicap Stakes for 4 year olds & up worth $250,000. Finally, the Rebel is Grade II Stakes for 3 year olds worth $900,000. Horses in the Rebel Stakes can earn Qualifying Points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Below are the selections from my Monte Carlo program. The results of these picks along with the rest of the weekend results will be posted early next week. I will update the Exacta Box and $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" games. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 3 - Salute the Warrior
• 7 - Littleriverrock
• 11 - Imallaboutthatbass
• Race 2
• 8 - Totality
• 3 - Warrior's Club
• 5 - Rowdy the Warrior
• Race 3
• 12 - Greeley and Marina
• 6 - Mountain Honey
• 1 - Indian Trick
• Race 4
• 4 - Briar's Gold
• 5 - Charlesbrecknridge
• 7 - Circle Unbroken
• Race 5
• 5 - Lil Miss Blue Eyes
• 8 - What a Star
• 7 - Crimson Frost
• Race 6
• 5 - Real Creel
• 6 - Colonelsdarktemper
• 9 - Love That Lute
• Race 7 (The Azeri [Grade II] Stakes)
• 2 - Terra Promessa
• 5 - Power of Snunner
• 3 - Tiger Moth
• Race 8 (The Essex Handicap Stakes)
• 6 - Fear the Cowboy
• 8 - Madefromlucky
• 4 - Dalmore
• Race 9
• 9 - Luna de Loco
• 8 - Will Munnings
• 4 - Never Give In
• Race 10 (The Rebel [Grade II] Stakes)
• 5 - Untrapped
• 2 - Uncontested
• 7 - American Anthem
• Race 11
• 12 - Leofric
• 9 - Langdarma
• 3 - Dan the Go to Man

Good luck!

March 17, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

A 9 race card is set for Friday, March 17 at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 7 - Mocha Chip
• 8 - May Be Suspect
• 5 - Holly Tsu Tsu
• Race 2
• 2 - She's Undawnted
• 11 - Wilburn's Angel
• 6 - Risky's Best
• Race 3
• 6 - Boston Marathoner
• 2 - One Sock Mauk
• 9 - Facts Are Stubborn
• Race 4
• 9 - Glorious Summer
• 7 - Dusty
• 3 - Britt's Vow
• Race 5
• 6 - Indy Awesome
• 11 - Sky Alert
• 10 - Battered
• Race 6
• 2 - Yooou Den
• 4 - Karla With a K
• 7 - One Minute
• Race 7
• 6 - Tap the Admiral
• 9 - Midnight Ruleer
• 1/1A - Snickerboxer/Susan's Reward
• Race 8
• 4 - St. Louie Guy
• 10 - Reckling
• 7 - Dupree
• Race 9
• 5 - She's a Bootsy Too
• 2 - Dorodansa
• 9 - Donita's Ruler

Good luck!

March 16, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Thursday, March 16 has 9 scheduled races at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from Friday - Sunday will be posted early next week. I will update the Exacta Box and $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" games. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 1 - Wolf City
• 9 - Malibubu
• 6 - Will Gracie Shine
• Race 2
• 11 - Priza N a Half
• 5 - Vested Creek
• 7 - Dudete's Wino
• Race 3
• 2 - Son of Pearl
• 8 - Silver Lining John
• 6 - Enlisted Man
• Race 4
• 9 - Cotton Club Cutie
• 4 - Timeless Truth
• 8 - Titfortat
• Race 5
• 10 - Could Be Game
• 6 - Since Forever
• 9 - First Splash
• Race 6
• 12 - First Heritage
• 3 - Zan Creek
• 9 - Hicks Honey
• Race 7
• 9 - First Response
• 6 - United Stand
• 2 - First Offer
• Race 8
• 4 - Five Star Factor
• 6 - Dutch Parrot
• 3 - Dial Me
• Race 9
• 3 - Gumshoe
• 9 - My Boy Lane
• 5 - Trenton Bridge

Good luck!

March 9-12 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

To sum up, the week at Oaklawn started out on a high note (a $66.70 exacta in the 1st race on Thursday) and went completely downhill from there. It was an abysmal week of picking winners for the Monte Carlo program. The exacta box method went from a significant profit after 13 days to slightly negative (-$14.60) after 16 days. It is interesting that the number of picks on the board didn't really change, but the exactas just dried up. Maybe this is just a cold week for the program. The bloody results are below.

Thursday, March 9 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Revive [Place]
• $12.20 $5.20
• 8 - Simply Great [Also Ran]
• 5 - Double First [Win]
• $14.60 $7.60 $4.40
• Exotic Results
• 5/4 $1.00 Exacta: $66.70
• Race 2
• 3 - Ricks F Sixteen [Also Ran]
• 4 - Bullero [Also Ran]
• 11 - All Aboard [Place]
• $5.20 $3.60
• Race 3
• 5 - Miss Mamacita [Place]
• $5.20 $3.60
• 6 - Wilhelmina [Also Ran]
• 3 - Big Island Blonde [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 4 - True Ten [Also Ran]
• 3 - Sharm [Also Ran]
• 7 - Freestyler [Win]
• $5.20 $4.00 $3.00
• Race 5
• 9 - Hotterthanapistol [Also Ran]
• 4 - Green Moon Rising [Also Ran]
• 1 - Steelman Go [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 6 - Rod McCleod [Also Ran]
• 2 - Superstar Leo [Also Ran]
• 5 - Rank [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 1/1A - Point After/Tales of War [Also Ran]
• 5 - Husky Clipper [Win]
• $65.60 $19.60 $10.00
• 6 - Wild About You [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 7 - It's All Up to You [Also Ran]
• 8 - Choir Director [Also Ran]
• 11 - A Terrific Shot [Win]
• $8.80 $4.40 $3.40
• Race 9
• 5 - Bay's Commander [Also Ran]
• 8 - Not for Truth [Also Ran]
• 7 - Hackashaq [Also Ran]

Summary for Thursday, March 9 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners, 1 Exacta, 7 of 27 OTB (0 scratch), $252.30

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 13 Days
• $626.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 119 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$139.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 13 Days
• $238.00 (119 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 16 (13.4%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $326.40
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$88.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, March 10 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 8 - Cater's Bling [Also Ran]
• 7 - I'm So Vain [Also Ran]
• 2 - Jury Wise [Win]
• $9.20 $5.80 $3.80 
• Race 2
• 9 - Arctic Music [Show] 
• $4.40
• 1 - Sammy Blue Cat [Also Ran]
• 11 - New Lucky Penny [Place] 
• $6.40 $5.00 
• Race 3
• 3 - Tipsy Suspect [Also Ran]
• 2 - Glacken's Ghost [Win]
• $3.60 $3.00 $2.40
• 7 - Little Bird [Also Ran] 
• Race 4
• 12 - Villainy [Also Ran]
• 9 - Greely's Striker [Also Ran]
• 3 - First Heart Break [Also Ran] 
• Race 5
• 8 - Jack Be Quick [Also Ran]
• 9 - Daddy's Gone [Also Ran]
• 12 - Checkmate Charlie [Also Ran] 
• Race 6
• 6 - Zimmerman [Also Ran]
• 8 - Gooby [Also Ran]
• 7 - Travel West [Also Ran] 
• Race 7
• 2 - The Pickett Factor [Also Ran]
• 5 - Neck 'n Neck [Place]
• $11.60 $5.40
• 7 - Carve [Show]
• $2.80 
• Race 8
• 7 - Asian's Way [Also Ran]
• 2 - Her Love for Pappy [Win]
• $6.60 $4.00 $3.00
• 4 - Forest Circle [Also Ran] 
• Race 9
• 4 - Memories of Mom [Also Ran]
• 2 - Happy Anniversary [Also Ran] 
• 7 - Science Fiction [Show] $3.00

Summary for Friday, March 10 at Oaklawn:  3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 8 of 27 OTB, $80.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 14 Days
• $680.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 128 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$85.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 14 Days 
• $256.00 (128 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 16 (12.5%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $326.40
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$70.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Saturday, March 11 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 2 - Moon Song [Place]
• $20.60 $12.80
• 5 - Jump and Go [Also Ran]
• 8 - Magnum Force [Also Ran] 
• Race 2
• 5 - Nikki's Rose [Place]
• $2.80 $2.40
• 4 - Miss Seven K [Also Ran]
• 7 - Bittersweet [Also Ran] 
• Race 3
• 4 - Comic Summer [Also Ran]
• 3 - Fazzle Dazzle [Also Ran]
• 6 - Itasca Falls [Also Ran] 
• Race 4
• 9 - Go Glam [Also Ran]
• 1 - She's Ventastic [Also Ran]
• 2 - Care [Win]
• $7.00 $3.80 $2.80
• Race 5
• 9 - Far Out Kailee [Place]
• $4.40 $2.80 
• 3 -  Greyjoy [Also Ran]
• 7 - Glitnir [Show]
• $3.20
• Race 6
• 5 - Candy Ruby [Also Ran]
• 7 - Chief Cicatriz [Also Ran]
• 4 - Whitmore [Win] 
• $3.60 $2.60 $2.40
• Race 7
• 9 - Congrats Given [Also Ran]
• 3 - Cap's Tale [Also Ran] 
• 11 - Rippin Ranger [Scratch] 
• Race 8
• 11 - Benner Island [Place] 
• $15.40 $8.00
• 5 - Perfect Wife [Also Ran]
• 9 - Tap of War [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 7 - The Gipper [Also Ran] 
• 10 - Hickory Island [Also Ran]
• 2 - Arch Cat [Show]
• $5.40

Summary for Saturday, March 11 at Oaklawn:  2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $100.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 15 Days
• $730.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 137 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$35.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 15 Days
• $274.00 (137 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 16 (11.7%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $326.40
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$52.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Sunday, March 12 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 7 - Unbridled Venture [Also Ran]
• 8 - Need a Alibi [Also Ran]
• 9 - Dubai Kowboy [Also Ran] 
• Race 2
• 2 - Scarlet Wine [Also Ran]
• 8 - Early Bid [Also Ran]
• 3 - Conquest Assassin [Also Ran] 
• Race 3
• 6 - Rippin Ranger [Place] $3.40 $2.80 
• 7 - Cosmic Quest [Also Ran]
• 5 - Justin Zee [Also Ran] 
• Race 4
• 1 - Isabell's Tiger [Win] 
• $19.00 $8.00 $6.40 
• 4 - Stump [Show] 
• $16.00 
• 10 - Little Bit Irish [Also Ran] 
• Race 5
• 5 - Conquest Streetwar [Also Ran]
• 1 - Conquest Hiosilver [Also Ran]
• 8 - Battle Tap [Win] 
• $8.60 $4.60 $3.20
• Race 6
• 7 - Hemminger [Scratch]
• 4 - Forest Mist [Also Ran]
• 9 - Summer Disco [Also Ran] 
• Race 7
• 1 - Royal Dehere [Also Ran]
• 8 - Canofspots [Also Ran]
• 2 - Big Ben [Also Ran] 
• Race 8
• 7 - Chilean Queen [Show]
• $13.60
• 8 - More Than Krazy [Place] 
• $11.60 $12.80
• 2 - Sadie Be Mine [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 11 - Atta Kid [Also Ran]
• 4 - Thegreatgeneration [Also Ran]
• 10 - Athletic Temper [Also Ran]

Summary for Sunday, March 12 at Oaklawn:  2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 6 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $110.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 16 Days
• $780.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 146 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit 
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss 
• -$14.20

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 16 Days
• $292.00 (146 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 17 (11.6%)
• Total Return on Winners $345.40
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$53.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

That's it for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program. Hopefully, the results will go back to those observed over the 1st 119 races as opposed to the last 27 races (Friday - Sunday).