Monday, March 13, 2017

March 9-12 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

To sum up, the week at Oaklawn started out on a high note (a $66.70 exacta in the 1st race on Thursday) and went completely downhill from there. It was an abysmal week of picking winners for the Monte Carlo program. The exacta box method went from a significant profit after 13 days to slightly negative (-$14.60) after 16 days. It is interesting that the number of picks on the board didn't really change, but the exactas just dried up. Maybe this is just a cold week for the program. The bloody results are below.

Thursday, March 9 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here.)

  • Race 1
    • 4 - Revive [Place]
      • $12.20 $5.20
    • 8 - Simply Great [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Double First [Win]
      • $14.60 $7.60 $4.40
    • Exotic Results
      • 5/4 $1.00 Exacta: $66.70
  • Race 2
    • 3 - Ricks F Sixteen [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Bullero [Also Ran]
    • 11 - All Aboard [Place]
      • $5.20 $3.60
  • Race 3
    • 5 - Miss Mamacita [Place]
      • $5.20 $3.60
    • 6 - Wilhelmina [Also Ran]
    • 3 - Big Island Blonde [Also Ran]
  • Race 4
    • 4 - True Ten [Also Ran]
    • 3 - Sharm [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Freestyler [Win]
      • $5.20 $4.00 $3.00
  • Race 5
    • 9 - Hotterthanapistol [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Green Moon Rising [Also Ran]
    • 1 - Steelman Go [Also Ran]
  • Race 6
    • 6 - Rod McCleod [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Superstar Leo [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Rank [Also Ran]
  • Race 7
    • 1/1A - Point After/Tales of War [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Husky Clipper [Win]
      • $65.60 $19.60 $10.00
    • 6 - Wild About You [Also Ran]
  • Race 8
    • 7 - It's All Up to You [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Choir Director [Also Ran]
    • 11 - A Terrific Shot [Win]
      • $8.80 $4.40 $3.40
  • Race 9
    • 5 - Bay's Commander [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Not for Truth [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Hackashaq [Also Ran]

Summary for Thursday, March 9 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners, 1 Exacta, 7 of 27 OTB (0 scratch), $252.30

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:
  • Exacta Box Cost Through 13 Days
    • $626.00
  • Number of Exactas Hit
    • 11 (Out of 119 Races)
  • Total Return on Exactas Hit
    • $765.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$139.80
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 13 Days
    • $238.00 (119 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 16 (13.4%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $326.40
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$88.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, March 10 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)
  • Race 1
    • 8 - Cater's Bling [Also Ran]
    • 7 - I'm So Vain [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Jury Wise [Win]
      • $9.20 $5.80 $3.80 
  • Race 2
    • 9 - Arctic Music [Show] 
      • $4.40
    • 1 - Sammy Blue Cat [Also Ran]
    • 11 - New Lucky Penny [Place] 
      • $6.40 $5.00 
  • Race 3
    • 3 - Tipsy Suspect [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Glacken's Ghost [Win]
      • $3.60 $3.00 $2.40
    • 7 - Little Bird [Also Ran] 
  • Race 4
    • 12 - Villainy [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Greely's Striker [Also Ran]
    • 3 - First Heart Break [Also Ran] 
  • Race 5
    • 8 - Jack Be Quick [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Daddy's Gone [Also Ran]
    • 12 - Checkmate Charlie [Also Ran] 
  • Race 6
    • 6 - Zimmerman [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Gooby [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Travel West [Also Ran] 
  • Race 7
    • 2 - The Pickett Factor [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Neck 'n Neck [Place]
      • $11.60 $5.40
    • 7 - Carve [Show]
      • $2.80 
  • Race 8
    • 7 - Asian's Way [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Her Love for Pappy [Win]
      • $6.60 $4.00 $3.00
    • 4 - Forest Circle [Also Ran] 
  • Race 9
    • 4 - Memories of Mom [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Happy Anniversary [Also Ran] 
    • 7 - Science Fiction [Show] $3.00
Summary for Friday, March 10 at Oaklawn:  3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 8 of 27 OTB, $80.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:
  • Exacta Box Cost Through 14 Days
    • $680.00
  • Number of Exactas Hit
    • 11 (Out of 128 Races)
  • Total Return on Exactas Hit
    • $765.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$85.80
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 14 Days 
    • $256.00 (128 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 16 (12.5%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $326.40
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$70.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Saturday, March 11 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)
  • Race 1
    • 2 - Moon Song [Place]
      • $20.60 $12.80
    • 5 - Jump and Go [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Magnum Force [Also Ran] 
  • Race 2
    • 5 - Nikki's Rose [Place]
      • $2.80 $2.40
    • 4 - Miss Seven K [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Bittersweet [Also Ran] 
  • Race 3
    • 4 - Comic Summer [Also Ran]
    • 3 - Fazzle Dazzle [Also Ran]
    • 6 - Itasca Falls [Also Ran] 
  • Race 4
    • 9 - Go Glam [Also Ran]
    • 1 - She's Ventastic [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Care [Win]
      • $7.00 $3.80 $2.80
  • Race 5
    • 9 - Far Out Kailee [Place]
      • $4.40 $2.80 
    • 3 -  Greyjoy [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Glitnir [Show]
      • $3.20
  • Race 6
    • 5 - Candy Ruby [Also Ran]
    • 7 - Chief Cicatriz [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Whitmore [Win] 
      • $3.60 $2.60 $2.40
  • Race 7
    • 9 - Congrats Given [Also Ran]
    • 3 - Cap's Tale [Also Ran] 
    • 11 - Rippin Ranger [Scratch] 
  • Race 8
    • 11 - Benner Island [Place] 
      • $15.40 $8.00
    • 5 - Perfect Wife [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Tap of War [Also Ran]
  • Race 9
    • 7 - The Gipper [Also Ran] 
    • 10 - Hickory Island [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Arch Cat [Show]
      • $5.40

Summary for Saturday, March 11 at Oaklawn:  2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $100.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:
  • Exacta Box Cost Through 15 Days
    • $730.00
  • Number of Exactas Hit
    • 11 (Out of 137 Races)
  • Total Return on Exactas Hit
    • $765.80
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$35.80
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 15 Days
    • $274.00 (137 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
    • 16 (11.7%)
  • Total Return on Winners
    • $326.40
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$52.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Sunday, March 12 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

  • Race 1
    • 7 - Unbridled Venture [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Need a Alibi [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Dubai Kowboy [Also Ran] 
  • Race 2
    • 2 - Scarlet Wine [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Early Bid [Also Ran]
    • 3 - Conquest Assassin [Also Ran] 
  • Race 3
    • 6 - Rippin Ranger [Place] $3.40 $2.80 
    • 7 - Cosmic Quest [Also Ran]
    • 5 - Justin Zee [Also Ran] 
  • Race 4
    • 1 - Isabell's Tiger [Win] 
      • $19.00 $8.00 $6.40 
    • 4 - Stump [Show] 
      • $16.00 
    • 10 - Little Bit Irish [Also Ran] 
  • Race 5
    • 5 - Conquest Streetwar [Also Ran]
    • 1 - Conquest Hiosilver [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Battle Tap [Win] 
      • $8.60 $4.60 $3.20
  • Race 6
    • 7 - Hemminger [Scratch]
    • 4 - Forest Mist [Also Ran]
    • 9 - Summer Disco [Also Ran] 
  • Race 7
    • 1 - Royal Dehere [Also Ran]
    • 8 - Canofspots [Also Ran]
    • 2 - Big Ben [Also Ran] 
  • Race 8
    • 7 - Chilean Queen [Show]
      • $13.60
    • 8 - More Than Krazy [Place] 
      • $11.60 $12.80
    • 2 - Sadie Be Mine [Also Ran]
  • Race 9
    • 11 - Atta Kid [Also Ran]
    • 4 - Thegreatgeneration [Also Ran]
    • 10 - Athletic Temper [Also Ran]
Summary for Sunday, March 12 at Oaklawn:  2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 6 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $110.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:
  • Exacta Box Cost Through 16 Days
    • $780.00
  • Number of Exactas Hit
    • 11 (Out of 146 Races)
  • Total Return on Exactas Hit 
    • $765.80
  • Running Profit/Loss 
    • -$14.20
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
  • $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 16 Days
  • $292.00 (146 Races)
  • Number of Winners Hit
  • 17 (11.6%)
  • Total Return on Winners $345.40
  • Running Profit/Loss
    • +$53.40
************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

That's it for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program. Hopefully, the results will go back to those observed over the 1st 119 races as opposed to the last 27 races (Friday - Sunday).

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