March 2-5 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

It was an interesting weekend of racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs. The highlight for my following of the races came when my Monte Carlo program selected the winner of the first race on Saturday. Indian Oaks won as an almost 70-to-1 long shot. For the weekend, the "what if" games I have been playing with a $2 win wager on the top pick and a $1 exacta box on the three selections were both in profit territory. The results of the full week of races are below.

Thursday, March 2 results (Picks can seen here).

• Race 1
• 4 - Red Charm [Also Ran]
• 3 - Craftys Lil Sis [Also Ran]
• 6 - Addy's Flowers [Place] 
• $5.40  $4.00
• Race 2
• 1 - Moon Song [Also Ran]
• 8 - Lawyer Daggett [Also Ran]
• 6 - Dehaven [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 1 - Divine Way [Also Ran]
• 7 - Cater's Bling [Also Ran]
• 6 - Miss Classy Girl [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 5 - Auntie's the One [Show]
• $5.60
• 2 - Jungle Lane [Also Ran]
• 3 - Soft Cheese [Win]
• $14.00  $8.60  $6.40
• Race 5
• 4 - Montezuma Express [Also Ran]
• 3 - Well Mannered [Show]
• $3.00
• 7 - My Brother Don [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 3 - Awesome Boss [Win]
• $3.80  $2.80  $2.20
• 1 - Essie's Reward [Also Ran]
• 7 - Crazy Lady [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 2 - Profound Moment [Win]
• $14.20  $6.60  $4.80
• 5 - Pretty Greeley [Also Ran]
• 3 - Line Of Grace [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 3 - Conquest Hiosilver [Also Ran]
• 8 - Gospel Abe [Also Ran]
• 7 - Spirit Grabber [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 2 - Princess Hallie [Scratch]
• 8 - Elsie June [Also Ran]
• 1/1A - Her Case of Gold/Lavender Paisley [Show]
• $3.40

Summary for Thursday, March 2 at Oaklawn:  3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 7 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $84.80.

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 9 Days
• $444.00 
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 8 (Out of 83 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $501.10
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$57.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 9 Days
• $166.00 (83 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 13 (15.7%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $171.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$5.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, March 3 Results (Picks can seen here)

• Race 1
• 2 - Includere [Place] 
• $8.00  $5.40
• 1 - Fervent [Also Ran]
• 8 - Realta Ean [Also Ran]
• Race 2  
• 5 - Crafty's Girl [Also Ran]
• 7 - Risky's Best [Also Ran]
• 3 - Sweet Sweet Kim [Show] 
• $14.60
• Race 3
• 8 - The Rouge Diesel [Also Ran]
• 10 - Pat's Shoes [Also Ran]
• 4 - Double A [Also Ran]
• Race 4  
• 9 - Vreeland [Scratch] 
• 5 - Sing Him a Song [Show]
• $4.40 
• 2 - Recapitulation [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 8 - Sweet Invention [Place] 
• $8.40  $4.40
• 2 - Milady Rocks [Also Ran]
• 5 - Stay Spicy [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 5 - Greeleys Charm [Place] 
• $4.40  $3.20 
• 4 - Mystery Solved [Win] 
• $53.60  $21.40  $11.20 
• 9 - Hard to Stop [Also Ran]
• Exotic Results
• 4/5 $1.00 Exacta: $133.10
• Race 7  
• 3 - I Am Miss Brown [Win] 
• $5.20  $3.60  $3.00 
• 11 - Zan Creek [Scratch] 
• 10 - Weekend Wish [Also Ran]
• Race 8  
• 7 - Baetykaty [Also Ran] 
• 6 - Divine Elegance [Win]
• $5.60  $2.80  $2.60 
• 3 - Emmzy [Also Ran]
• Race 9  
• 2 - Crush [Also Ran]  
• 11 - Sivershow [Also Ran]  
• 9 - Rich E Z [Win / Dead Heat]  
• $15.80  $15.40  $10.00

Summary for Friday, March 3 at Oaklawn:  4 Winners, 1 Exacta, 9 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $336.10

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 10 Days
• $490.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 9 (Out of 92 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $634.20
• Running Profit/Loss 
• +$144.20

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 10 Days
• $184.00 (92 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit  
• 14 (15.2%)  
• Total Return on Winners 
• $176.40
• Running Profit/Loss  
• -$7.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Saturday, March 4 Results (Pick can be found at this location)

• Race 1
• 11 - Indian Oaks [Win - 69 to 1] 
• $141.60  $40.40  $14.60 
• 10 - Pop Tarts Princess [Also Ran] 
• 9 - Little Dixie K [Scratch] 
• Race 2  
• 7 - Repent With Me [Also Ran] 
• 5 - City Sage [Place] 
• $3.40  $3.00 
• 1 - No Supervision [Also Ran] 
• Race 3  
• 7 - My Name Is Hebe [Also Ran] 
• 5 - Chocolate Wildcat [Also Ran]
• 9 - Greely Is Back [Also Ran] 
• Race 4  
• 3 - Zella Rose [Show] $5.20
  1 - No Closure [Also Ran] 
• 10 - Arch Arch Baby [Also Ran] 
• Race 5  
• 8 - Red Nick Carl [Also Ran] 
• 1 - Code of Silence [Also Ran] 
• 6 - Brother Louis [Win] 
• $13.80  $5.20  $3.80 
• Race 6  
• 4 - One King's Man [Scratch] 
• 7 - Elijah [Also Ran] 
• 5 - Dance Champion [Also Ran] 
• Race 7  
• 8 - Laughingsaintsong [Place] 
• $4.80  $3.20 
• 5 - Balandeen [Show] 
• $2.80 
• 1 - Seven Forty Seven [Also Ran] 
• Race 8 
• 2 - Fantastic Style [Also Ran] 
• 8 - Super Saks [Also Ran] 
• 7 - Her Love for Pappy [Scratch] 
• Race 9  
• 8 - Hot Item [Place] 
• $11.60 $6.20 
• 4 - Oxford Lane [Win] 
• $6.60  $3.60  $3.00
• 1/1A - Magician Man/Main Road [Also Ran] 
• Exotic Results
• 4/8 $1.00 Exacta:  $64.90

Summary for Saturday, March 4 at Oaklawn:  3 Winners, 1 Exacta, 8 of 24 OTB (3 scratch), $337.70

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 11 Days
• $532.00
• Number of Exactas Hit  
• 10 (Out of 101 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit  
• $699.10  
• Running Profit/Loss 
• +$167.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 11 Days  
• $202.00 (101 Races)  
• Number of Winners Hit  
• 15 (14.9%)  
• Total Return on Winners 
• $318.00  
• Running Profit/Loss  
• +$116.00 

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Sunday, March 5 Results (Here are the original picks)

• Race 1  
• 10 - Splendid Lady [Also Ran] 
• 6 - Royal Raja [Also Ran] 
• 4 - Nobody's Angel [Also Ran] 
• Race 2  
• 7 - Dekabrist [Scratch] 
• 1 - Anmaat [Also Ran] 
• 2 - Incitement [Win] 
• $7.80 $4.00 $3.60 
• Race 3  
• 6 - Awesome Music [Also Ran] 
• 2 - Freedom March [Also Ran] 
• 3 - G P's Girl [Also Ran] 
• Race 4  
• 11 - Joan's Delight [Also Ran]  
• 4 - Prospector Fever [Win] 
• $39.00 $16.40 $10.60 
• 5 - Quietly Cuba [Show] 
• $5.00 
• Race 5  
• 8 - I Am Another [Also Ran] 
• 1 - Forafewdollarsmore [Also Ran] 
• 10 - Commandment [Scratch] 
• Race 6  
• 6 - Zip 'n Sip [Also Ran] 
• 4 - Internet Success [Show] 
• $11.80 
• 9 - By Golly Its a Cat [Also Ran] 
• Race 7  
• 11 - King's Reckoning [Also Ran] 
• 10 - Mr Equilizer [Also Ran] 
• 9 - Tizfun [Place] 
• $3.60 $5.00 
• Race 8  
• 1 - Junket [Scratch] 
• 11 - Equator [Win] 
• $8.40 $3.60 $3.00 
• 12 - Fireupthejet [Scratch] 
• Race 9  
• 1/1A - Eleanor Gee/My Lady J [Also Ran] 
• 8 - Taima Thunder [Also Ran] 
• 3 - Sassy Olivia Ann [Show] $10.60

Summary for Sunday, March 5 at Oaklawn:  3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 7 of 23 OTB (4 scratch), $132.40

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 12 Days 
• $572.00   
• Number of Exactas Hit  
• 10 (Out of 110 Races)  
• Total Return on Exactas Hit 
• $699.10  
• Running Profit/Loss 
• +$127.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 12 Days  
• $220.00 (110 Races)  
• Number of Winners Hit  
• 16 (14.5%)  
• Total Return on Winners 
• $326.40  
• Running Profit/Loss  
• +$106.40

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

That's it for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program.