The 2017 racing season ended at Oaklawn Park on Saturday with the running of the Arkansas Derby. Classic Empire ran away with the Grade I stakes and placed himself in the conversation about the race in Kentucky in about 3 weeks.
Below is a summary of the results from my Monte Carlo program for the week of the Racing Festival of the South. The first 2 days of the week were fantastic with positive returns on $2 win bets on each of the top selections (+$9.80 and +$28.80). However, the Friday results were abysmal - the worst day of the season for selections on the board with only 1 winner. The program selected only 1 outright winner again on Arkansas Derby day. So, for the week, the program finished with a profit of $1.80 over the 41 races. For the season (since February 17), the program was +$104.00 over the 336 races that were predicted. In the weeks that follow, I will provide some additional statistical information about the season that just ended at Oaklawn Park.
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Wednesday, April 12 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).- Race 1
- 6 - Paschal [Also Ran]
- 5 - Justin Zee [Also Ran]
- 11 - Don't Blame Dexter [Scratch]
- Race 2
- 4 - Dr. Clark [Also Ran]
- 8 - Rojac [Place]
- $5.20 $3.00
- 2 - Choir Director [Also Ran]
- Race 3
- 11 - Abboccato [Also Ran]
- 3 - Forever Fara [Win]
- $5.40 $3.60 $3.00
- 5 - She's the Most [Also Ran]
- Race 4
- 4 - Miss Mamacita [Also Ran]
- 1 - Rose to Glory [Win]
- $10.80 $5.60 $3.80
- 6 - You Vow Me [Place]
- $10.00 $7.40
- Exotics
- 1/6 $1.00 Exacta $45.70
- Race 5
- 7 - Silky Lady [Also Ran]
- 8 - With Every Hope [Also Ran]
- 2 - Boomtiderock [Place]
- $5.00 $4.00
- Race 6
- 6 - Heat My Dust [Also Ran]
- 4 - Enterprise Value [Also Ran]
- 9 - Cara Blythe [Win]
- $17.80 $8.00 $6.20
- Race 7
- 11 - Glacken's Ghost [Win]
- $15.40 $6.60 $3.40
- 12 - Jack Be Quick [Also Ran]
- 10 - Daddy's Gone [Scratch]
- Race 8
- 3 - Misleading Lady [Win]
- $12.40 $6.20 $4.20
- 2 - Merilore [Also Ran]
- 6 - Florida Bird [Also Ran]
- Race 9
- 8 - Will Wants Candy [Also Ran]
- 11 - Essie's Reward [Show]
- $21.80
- 1 - Sizzle Factor [Also Ran]
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 33 Days
- $608.00 (304 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 41 (13.5%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $720.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- +$112.00
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Thursday, April 13 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)- Race 1
- 12 - Diva of Disaster [Place]
- $5.40 $3.60
- 11 - Kauai Nana [Also Ran]
- 2 - She's Undawnted [Also Ran]
- Race 2
- 11 - Discreet Charm [Also Ran]
- 7 - Classic Arch [Place]
- $12.00 $7.40
- 4 - Sham's Shoes [Also Ran]
- Race 3
- 8 - The Checotah Kid [Also Ran]
- 11 - Wilbur (Scratch)
- 2 - Gumshoe [Also Ran]
- Race 4
- 1 - Whataclassylady [Also Ran]
- 10 - Gingermore (Scratch)
- 3 - Je Suis Belle [Also Ran]
- Race 5
- 5 - Daddy's Memory [Win]
- $6.40 $4.00 $3.20
- 7 - La Crema Rouge [Also Ran]
- 6 - Golfin De An [Also Ran]
- Race 6
- 10 - Smart Emma [Also Ran]
- 5 - Greely's Comet [Also Ran]
- 2 - Asian's Way [Place]
- $3.00 $2.20
- Race 7
- 7 - Reckling [Win] $7.20 $4.20 $3.40
- 12 - Junket [Place] $5.20 $4.00
- 2 - Seven Forty Seven (Scratch)
- Exotics
- 7/12 $1.00 Exacta: $15.80
- Race 8
- 4 - Anita Marie [Win]
- $29.20 $10.40 $9.60
- 2 - Divine Way [Also Ran]
- 8 - Dorothe Marie [Also Ran]
- Race 9 (Bachelor Stakes)
- 8 - Smokin Now (Scratch)
- 1 - Recruiting Ready [Win]
- $6.00 $3.80 $3.60
- 4 - Jagged Warrior [Also Ran]
- Exotics
- Pick 3 $0.50 7-4-1 $149.75
- Race 1
- 10 - Girl Link [Show]
- $6.20
- 7 - I'm the Reason [Also Ran]
- 2 - Meadow Gem [Also Ran]
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 34 Days
- $628.00 (314 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 45 (14.3%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $768.80
- Running Profit/Loss
- +$140.80
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Friday, April 14 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)- Race 1
- 4 - Britt's Vow [Also Ran]
- 1 - Watch Out [Also Ran]
- 5 - Delta Chance [Also Ran]
- Race 2
- 12 - Luv Bandit [Place]
- $4.60 $3.20
- 9 - Anmaat [Also Ran]
- 5 - Oliver's Bull [Also Ran]
- Race 3
- 2 - Our Addi Belle (Scratch)
- 10 - New Lucky Penny [Also Ran]
- 1A - Stellastellastella [Also Ran]
- Race 4
- 11 - Glorious Summer [Also Ran]
- 4 - Brother J. R. [Also Ran]
- 3 - First Response [Place]
- $4.40 $3.00
- Race 5
- 5 - Summer Tiger [Also Ran]
- 7 - Condominium [Also Ran]
- 9 - Conquest Hiosilver [Also Ran]
- Race 6
- 12 - Solve [Also Ran]
- 1 - Malibu Max [Show]
- $3.80
- 3 - King Ptolemy [Also Ran]
- Race 7
- 9 - Providence [Also Ran]
- 11 - Fire Blaster [Also Ran]
- 5 - Mono (Scratch)
- Race 8
- 8 - Conquest Bandido [Also Ran]
- 7 - Dutch Parrot [Also Ran]
- 11 - Conquest Slayer [Also Ran]
- Race 9
- 3 - Stellar Wind [Win]
- $2.80 $2.20 $2.10
- 4 - Divine Elegance [Also Ran]
- 2 - Durango [Also Ran]
- Race 10
- 3 - Nelson's El Camino (Scratch)
- 2 - California Coast [Also Ran]
- 7 - Doctor Peter [Also Ran]
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 35 Days
- $648.00 (324 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 46 (14.2%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $771.60
- Running Profit/Loss
- +$123.60
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Saturday, April 15 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)- Race 1
- 4 - Skip the Pinot [Also Ran]
- 10 - Will Munnings [Also Ran]
- 2 - Heat Road [Also Ran]
- Race 2
- 6 - O T B Bob [Show]
- $7.20
- 12 - Roma Road [Also Ran]
- 10 - High Dollar Kitten [Also Ran]
- Race 3
- 8 - Leofric [Win]
- $4.40 $3.40 $2.40
- 2 - Fire Starter (Scratch)
- 6 - Mishegas [Show]
- $2.60
- Race 4
- 4 - Net Gain [Also Ran]
- 9 - Abbaa [Win]
- $9.40 $4.60 $2.60
- 5 - Mister Pollard (Scratch)
- Race 5
- 9 - Allidoisdreamofyou [Also Ran]
- 6 - Moon Gate Warrior [Also Ran]
- 5 - Conquest Bigluck E [Win]
- $4.60 $3.20 $2.80
- Exotics
- 2/8-9-5 $0.50 Pick 3: $14.10
- Race 6
- 7 - Hard Fought [Also Ran]
- 11 - Curmit [Also Ran]
- 9 - Pitch Count [Show]
- $7.60
- Race 7 (Count Fleet Sprint Handicap)
- 9 - Apprehender [Place]
- $12.40 $4.40
- 1 - Chief of Staff [Also Ran]
- 4 - Black Bear [Also Ran]
- Race 8 (Northern Spur)
- 7 - Total Tap [Show]
- $3.20
- 1 - Cistron [Win]
- $7.80 $4.00 $3.00
- 2 - Colonelsdarktemper [Also Ran]
- Race 9 (Oaklawn Handicap)
- 2 - Domain's Rap [Place]
- $9.00 $3.40
- 5 - Inside Straight [Win]
- $41.40 $13.40 $5.00
- 4 - Madefromlucky [Also Ran]
- Exotics
- 5/2 $1.00 Exacta: $97.90
- Race 10
- 3 - Confederate Rags [Also Ran]
- 2 - Langs Legend [Also Ran]
- 11 - Greeleys Charm [Also Ran]
- Race 11 (Arkansas Derby)
- 7 - Sonneteer [Also Ran]
- 2 - Classic Empire [Win]
- $5.80 $4.40 $3.80
- 3 - Silver Dust [Also Ran]
- Race 12
- 4 - Dontsaymyname [Also Ran]
- 3 - The Rouge Diesel [Also Ran]
- 6 - Indy Awesome [Win]
- $15.60 $7.80 $4.20
Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:
- $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 36 Days
- $672.00 (336 Races)
- Number of Winners Hit
- 47 (14.0%)
- Total Return on Winners
- $776.00
- Running Profit/Loss
- +$104.00
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Check
back here later for a season summary of Oaklawn Park. I am also working out what to do next (another track or two perhaps) with the Monte Carlo program.
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