April 12-15 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

The 2017 racing season ended at Oaklawn Park on Saturday with the running of the Arkansas Derby. Classic Empire ran away with the Grade I stakes and placed himself in the conversation about the race in Kentucky in about 3 weeks.

Below is a summary of the results from my Monte Carlo program for the week of the Racing Festival of the South. The first 2 days of the week were fantastic with positive returns on $2 win bets on each of the top selections (+$9.80 and +$28.80). However, the Friday results were abysmal - the worst day of the season for selections on the board with only 1 winner. The program selected only 1 outright winner again on Arkansas Derby day. So, for the week, the program finished with a profit of $1.80 over the 41 races. For the season (since February 17), the program was +$104.00 over the 336 races that were predicted. In the weeks that follow, I will provide some additional statistical information about the season that just ended at Oaklawn Park.

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Wednesday, April 12 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 6 - Paschal [Also Ran]
• 5 - Justin Zee [Also Ran]
• 11 - Don't Blame Dexter [Scratch]
• Race 2
• 4 - Dr. Clark [Also Ran]
• 8 - Rojac [Place]
• $5.20 $3.00
• 2 - Choir Director [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 11 - Abboccato [Also Ran]
• 3 - Forever Fara [Win]
• $5.40 $3.60 $3.00
• 5 - She's the Most [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 4 - Miss Mamacita [Also Ran]
• 1 - Rose to Glory [Win]
• $10.80 $5.60 $3.80
• 6 - You Vow Me [Place]
• $10.00 $7.40
• Exotics
• 1/6 $1.00 Exacta $45.70
• Race 5
• 7 - Silky Lady [Also Ran]
• 8 - With Every Hope [Also Ran]
• 2 - Boomtiderock [Place]
• $5.00 $4.00
• Race 6
• 6 - Heat My Dust [Also Ran]
• 4 - Enterprise Value [Also Ran]
• 9 - Cara Blythe [Win]
• $17.80 $8.00 $6.20
• Race 7
• 11 - Glacken's Ghost [Win]
• $15.40 $6.60 $3.40
• 12 - Jack Be Quick [Also Ran]
• 10 - Daddy's Gone [Scratch]
• Race 8
• 3 - Misleading Lady [Win]
• $12.40 $6.20 $4.20
• 2 - Merilore [Also Ran]
• 6 - Florida Bird [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 8 - Will Wants Candy [Also Ran]
• 11 - Essie's Reward [Show]
• $21.80
• 1 - Sizzle Factor [Also Ran]

Summary for Wednesday, April 12 at Oaklawn: 5 Winners, 9 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $214.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 33 Days
• $608.00 (304 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 41 (13.5%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $720.00
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$112.00

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Thursday, April 13 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 12 - Diva of Disaster [Place]
• $5.40 $3.60
• 11 - Kauai Nana [Also Ran]
• 2 - She's Undawnted [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 11 - Discreet Charm [Also Ran]
• 7 - Classic Arch [Place]
• $12.00 $7.40
• 4 - Sham's Shoes [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 8 - The Checotah Kid [Also Ran]
• 11 - Wilbur (Scratch)
• 2 - Gumshoe [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 1 - Whataclassylady [Also Ran]
• 10 - Gingermore (Scratch)
• 3 - Je Suis Belle [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 5 - Daddy's Memory [Win]
• $6.40 $4.00 $3.20
• 7 - La Crema Rouge [Also Ran]
• 6 - Golfin De An [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 10 - Smart Emma [Also Ran]
• 5 - Greely's Comet [Also Ran]
• 2 - Asian's Way [Place]
• $3.00 $2.20
• Race 7
• 7 - Reckling [Win] $7.20 $4.20 $3.40
• 12 - Junket [Place] $5.20 $4.00
• 2 - Seven Forty Seven (Scratch)
• Exotics
• 7/12 $1.00 Exacta: $15.80
• Race 8
• 4 - Anita Marie [Win]
• $29.20 $10.40 $9.60
• 2 - Divine Way [Also Ran]
• 8 - Dorothe Marie [Also Ran]
• Race 9 (Bachelor Stakes)
• 8 - Smokin Now (Scratch)
• 1 - Recruiting Ready [Win]
• $6.00 $3.80 $3.60
• 4 - Jagged Warrior [Also Ran]
• Exotics
• Pick 3 $0.50  7-4-1 $149.75
• Race 1
• 10 - Girl Link [Show]
• $6.20
• 7 - I'm the Reason [Also Ran]
• 2 - Meadow Gem [Also Ran]

Summary for Thursday, April 13 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners, 9 of 26 OTB (4 scratches), $305.55

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 34 Days
• $628.00 (314 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 45 (14.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $768.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$140.80

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Friday, April 14 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Britt's Vow [Also Ran]
• 1 - Watch Out [Also Ran]
• 5 - Delta Chance [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 12 - Luv Bandit [Place]
• $4.60 $3.20
• 9 - Anmaat [Also Ran]
• 5 - Oliver's Bull [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 2 - Our Addi Belle (Scratch)
• 10 - New Lucky Penny [Also Ran]
• 1A - Stellastellastella [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 11 - Glorious Summer [Also Ran]
• 4 - Brother J. R. [Also Ran]
• 3 - First Response [Place]
• $4.40 $3.00
• Race 5
• 5 - Summer Tiger [Also Ran]
• 7 - Condominium [Also Ran]
• 9 - Conquest Hiosilver [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 12 - Solve [Also Ran]
• 1 - Malibu Max [Show]
• $3.80
• 3 - King Ptolemy [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 9 - Providence [Also Ran]
• 11 - Fire Blaster [Also Ran]
• 5 - Mono (Scratch)
• Race 8
• 8 - Conquest Bandido [Also Ran]
• 7 - Dutch Parrot [Also Ran]
• 11 - Conquest Slayer [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 3 - Stellar Wind [Win]
• $2.80 $2.20 $2.10
• 4 - Divine Elegance [Also Ran]
• 2 - Durango [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 3 - Nelson's El Camino (Scratch)
• 2 - California Coast [Also Ran]
• 7 - Doctor Peter [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, April 14 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner, 4 of 27 OTB (3 scratches), $26.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 35 Days
• $648.00 (324 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 46 (14.2%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $771.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$123.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Saturday, April 15 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Skip the Pinot [Also Ran]
• 10 - Will Munnings [Also Ran]
• 2 - Heat Road [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 6 - O T B Bob [Show]
• $7.20
• 12 - Roma Road [Also Ran]
• 10 - High Dollar Kitten [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 8 - Leofric [Win]
• $4.40 $3.40 $2.40
• 2 - Fire Starter (Scratch)
• 6 - Mishegas [Show]
• $2.60
• Race 4
• 4 - Net Gain [Also Ran]
• 9 - Abbaa [Win]
• $9.40 $4.60 $2.60
• 5 - Mister Pollard (Scratch)
• Race 5 
• 9 - Allidoisdreamofyou [Also Ran]
• 6 - Moon Gate Warrior [Also Ran]
• 5 - Conquest Bigluck E [Win]
• $4.60 $3.20 $2.80
• Exotics
• 2/8-9-5 $0.50 Pick 3: $14.10
• Race 6
• 7 - Hard Fought [Also Ran]
• 11 - Curmit  [Also Ran]
• 9 - Pitch Count [Show]
• $7.60
• Race 7 (Count Fleet Sprint Handicap)
• 9 - Apprehender [Place]
• $12.40 $4.40
• 1 - Chief of Staff [Also Ran]
• 4 - Black Bear [Also Ran]
• Race 8 (Northern Spur)
• 7 - Total Tap [Show]
• $3.20
• 1 - Cistron [Win]
• $7.80 $4.00 $3.00
• 2 - Colonelsdarktemper [Also Ran]
• Race 9 (Oaklawn Handicap) 
• 2 - Domain's Rap [Place]
• $9.00 $3.40
• 5 - Inside Straight [Win]
• $41.40 $13.40 $5.00
• 4 - Madefromlucky [Also Ran]
• Exotics 
• 5/2 $1.00 Exacta: $97.90
• Race 10
• 3 - Confederate Rags [Also Ran]
• 2 - Langs Legend [Also Ran]
• 11 - Greeleys Charm [Also Ran]
• Race 11 (Arkansas Derby)
• 7 - Sonneteer [Also Ran]
• 2 - Classic Empire [Win]
•  $5.80 $4.40 $3.80
• 3 - Silver Dust [Also Ran]
• Race 12 
• 4 - Dontsaymyname [Also Ran]
• 3 - The Rouge Diesel [Also Ran]
• 6 - Indy Awesome [Win]
• $15.60 $7.80 $4.20

Summary for Saturday, April 15 at Oaklawn: 7 Winners, 13 of 34 OTB (2 scratch), $315.40

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 36 Days
• $672.00 (336 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 47 (14.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $776.00
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$104.00

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Check back here later for a season summary of Oaklawn Park. I am also working out what to do next (another track or two perhaps) with the Monte Carlo program.

April 15, 2017 (Arkansas Derby Day) Oaklawn Park Selections

The 2017 racing season at Oaklawn Park concludes with a 12 race card on Arkansas Derby Day. The card includes 4 stakes races (3 graded) - the Count Fleet Sprint Handicap, the Northern Spur Stakes, the Oaklawn Handicap, and the Arkansas Derby. The Count Fleet Sprint Handicap is a Grade III stakes featuring 3 years old & up going 6 furlongs worth $400,000. The Northern Spur is a stakes race for 3 year olds worth $150,000. The Oaklawn Handicap is a Grade II stakes for 4 year olds & up worth $750,000. Finally, the Arkansas Derby is a Grade I stakes worth $1,000,000 for 3 year olds that features 170 points available in the Road to the Kentucky Derby (100 for win, 40 for place, 20 for show, and 10 for 4th). The Arkansas Derby has a stellar field including Rebel Stakes winner Malagacy, Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Classic Empire, Untrapped who is always in the money (Lecomte Stakes, Risen Star Stakes, and Rebel Stakes), and Petrov who finished 2nd in both the Smarty Jones Stakes and the Southwest Stakes. There is a special first post time of 12:30 pm on Arkansas Derby Day at Oaklawn Park.

My gut-based picks for the graded stakes races are the following:

• Count Fleet Sprint Handicap
• Whitmore
• Apprehender
• Sharp Art
• Oaklawn Handicap
• Midnight Storm
• Domain's Rap
• Madefromlucky
• Arkansas Derby
• Untrapped
• Malagacy
• Petrov

The selections (tip sheet) from my Monte Carlo program from the day of racing are found below. I will round out the season of picking horses at Oaklawn for 2017 early next week and summarize the final "What If" game based on the Monte Carlo program selections. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 4 - Skip the Pinot
• 10 - Will Munnings
• 2 - Heat Road
• Race 2
• 6 - O T B Bob
• 12 - Roma Road
• 10 - High Dollar Kitten
• Race 3
• 8 - Leofric
• 2 - Fire Starter
• 6 - Mishegas
• Race 4
• 4 - Net Gain
• 9 - Abbaa
• 5 - Mister Pollard
• Race 5
• 9 - Allidoisdreamofyou
• 6 - Moon Gate Warrior
• 5 - Conquest Bigluck E
• Race 6
• 7 - Hard Fought
• 11 - Curmit
• 9 - Pitch Count
• Race 7 (Count Fleet Sprint Handicap)
• 9 - Apprehender
• 1 - Chief of Staff
• 4 - Black Bear
• Race 8 (Northern Spur)
• 7 - Total Tap
• 1 - Cistron
• 2 - Colonelsdarktemper
• Race 9 (Oaklawn Handicap)
• 2 - Domain's Rap
• 5 - Inside Straight
• 4 - Madefromlucky
• Race 10
• 3 - Confederate Rags
• 2 - Langs Legend
• 11 - Greeleys Charm
• Race 11 (Arkansas Derby)
• 7 - Sonneteer
• 2 - Classic Empire
• 3 - Silver Dust
• Race 12
• 4 - Dontsaymyname
• 3 - The Rouge Diesel
• 6 - Indy Awesome 

Good luck!

April 14, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Friday, April 14 is the middle day of the Racing Festival of the South at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. The race card has 10 races including 2 graded stakes. The Fantasy Stakes (Race 8) is a Grade III Stakes race for 3 year old fillies to earn points toward the Kentucky Oaks worth $400,000. The Apple Blossom Handicap is a Grade I Stakes for fillies and mares four year olds & up with a purse of $600,000. Below are the selections from my Monte Carlo program. The results of these picks along with the rest of the weekend results will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 4 - Britt's Vow
• 1 - Watch Out
• 5 - Delta Chance
• Race 2
• 12 - Luv Bandit
• 9 - Anmaat
• 5 - Oliver's Bull
• Race 3
• 2 - Our Addi Belle
• 10 - New Lucky Penny
• 1/1A - Miss Barham/Stellastellastella
• Race 4
• 11 - Glorious Summer
• 4 - Brother J. R.
• 3 - First Response
• Race 5
• 5 - Summer Tiger
• 7 - Condominium
• 9 - Conquest Hiosilver
• Race 6
• 12 - Solve
• 1 - Malibu Max
• 3 - King Ptolemy
• Race 7
• 9 - Providence
• 11 - Fire Blaster
• 5 - Mono
• Race 8 (Fantasy Stakes)
• 8 - Conquest Bandido
• 7 - Dutch Parrot
• 11 - Conquest Slayer
• Race 9 (Apple Blossom Handicap)
• 3 - Stellar Wind
• 4 - Divine Elegance
• 2 - Durango
• Race 10
• 3 - Nelson's El Camino
• 2 - California Coast
• 7 - Doctor Peter

May the horse be with you!

April 13, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Thursday, April 13 is a big day of racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas as it kicks off the Racing Festival of the South. The race card has 10 races including the Bachelor Stakes for 3 year olds worth $150,000. Below are the selections from my Monte Carlo program. The results of these picks along with the rest of the weekend results will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from this tip sheet.

• Race 1
• 12 - Diva of Disaster
• 11 - Kauai Nana
• 2 - She's Undawnted
• Race 2
• 11 - Discreet Charm
• 7 - Classic Arch
• 4 - Sham's Shoes
• Race 3
• 8 - The Checotah Kid
• 11 - Wilbur
• 2 - Gumshoe
• Race 4
• 1 - Whataclassylady
• 10 - Gingermore
• 3 - Je Suis Belle
• Race 5
• 5 - Daddy's Memory
• 7 - La Crema Rouge
• 6 - Golfin De An
• Race 6
• 10 - Smart Emma
• 5 - Greely's Comet
• 2 - Asian's Way
• Race 7
• 7 - Reckling
• 12 - Junket
• 2 - Seven Forty Seven
• Race 8
• 4 - Anita Marie
• 2 - Divine Way
• 8 - Dorothe Marie
• Race 9 (Bachelor Stakes)
• 8 - Smokin Now
• 1 - Recruiting Ready
• 4 - Jagged Warrior
• Race 10
• 10 - Girl Link
• 7 - I'm the Reason
• 2 - Meadow Gem

Good luck!

April 12, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

The final week of racing at Oaklawn Park in 2017 kicks off with a 9 race card today. The Racing Festival of the South (7 stakes races in 3 days) begins tomorrow with the Bachelor Stakes as the feature race (9th race). The selections (tip sheet) from my Monte Carlo program for today's card are found below. These selections are free, but if you have a good day with them, please drop back in to leave a tip. The results of these picks along with the results of other picks from the week of racing will be posted together early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game that I have been tracking since mid-February.

• Race 1
• 6 - Paschal
• 5 - Justin Zee
• 11 - Don't Blame Dexter
• Race 2
• 4 - Dr. Clark
• 8 - Rojac
• 2 - Choir Director
• Race 3
• 11 - Abboccato
• 3 - Forever Fara
• 5 - She's the Most
• Race 4
• 4 - Miss Mamacita
• 1 - Rose to Glory
• 6 - You Vow Me
• Race 5
• 7 - Silky Lady
• 8 - With Every Hope
• 2 - Boomtiderock
• Race 6
• 6 - Heat My Dust
• 4 - Enterprise Value
• 9 - Cara Blythe
• Race 7
• 11 - Glacken's Ghost
• 12 - Jack Be Quick
• 10 - Daddy's Gone
• Race 8
• 3 - Misleading Lady
• 2 - Merilore
• 6 - Florida Bird
• Race 9
• 8 - Will Wants Candy
• 11 - Essie's Reward
• 1 - Sizzle Factor

Good luck!

April 6-9 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

This last weekend at Oaklawn Park featured great racing weather and a lot of just misses for the Monte Carlo program. For those of you following along, my program had produced a positive wagering result for $2 win bets on the top pick for 5 straight weekends. Well, the streak ended with a negative performance (-$23.20 over 37 races). However, it was just this " " close [picture 2 fingers really close together] from another positive weekend as 6 top picks finished in 2nd place. In any cases, the results of the penultimate weekend for racing at Oaklawn Park are found below. The final weekend begins on Wednesday this week and ends with the Arkansas Derby on Saturday. Look for those picks beginning Wednesday morning.

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Thursday, April 6 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 5 - Seaside Surprise [Show]
• $5.80
• 3 -  Hope Landing [Also Ran]
• 1 -  Ordained Harbor [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 10 - Lisa's Premier [Also Ran]
• 5 - Lucky Ann [Show]
• $2.80
• 7 - Learning Curve [Win]
• $7.20 $4.20 $3.00
• Race 3
• 6 - Ristan [Also Ran]
• 7 - Our Reward Card [Also Ran]
• 8 - Tizway in Front [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 6 - King of the Score [Place]
• $14.00 $6.00
• 5 - Gone Preachin [Also Ran]
• 10 - Benediction [Scratch]
• Race 5
• 9 - Tour On [Also Ran]
• 5 - My Sugar [Also Ran]
• 7 - Revive [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 2 - My Brother Don [Also Ran]
• 8 - Charlesbrecknridge [Also Ran]
• 1 - Golden Moon [Win]
• $10.80 $6.20 $2.60
• Race 7
• 9 - Risky's Best [Scratch]
• 13 - Nike Gal [Also Ran]
• 12 - Her Case of Gold [Show]
• $2.80
• Race 8
• 7 - Girls Know Best [Also Ran]
• 1 - Friend of Liberty [Place]
• $3.00 $2.20
• 8 - Tapindeed [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 6 - Surtap [Win]
• $4.80 $3.00 $2.20
• 10 - Admiral Shepard [Place]
• $10.60 $5.60
• 5 - Conquest Goinggone [Show] 
• $2.20
• Exotics: 
• 6/10 $1.00 Exacta: $30.90
• 6/10/5 $0.50 Trifecta: $47.20

Summary for Thursday, April 6 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 1 Exacta, 1 Trifecta, 10 of 25 OTB (2 scratch), $176.30

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 29 Days
• $534.00 (267 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 36 (13.5%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $646.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$112.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, April 7 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 5 - Indian Trick [Also Ran]
• 6 - Spider Walkin [Also Ran]
• 1 - Queen Jolene [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 7 - Sammy Boy [Also Ran]
• 5 - Bullero [Also Ran]
• 9 - Tour de Rock [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 2 - Dusty [Place]
• $8.20 $4.20
• 12 - Decision Reversed [Also Ran]
• 1 - Dribbles [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 4 - Cannington [Place]
• $2.60 $2.40
• 8 - Ms. D's Last Storm [Also Ran]
• 6 - Mr Ark [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 4 - Cheyenne Blues [Also Ran]
• 9 - Zan Creek [Also Ran]
• 3 - Larissa's Love [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 3 - Stormy Forecast [Also Ran]
• 4 - Private Party [Also Ran] 
• 10 - Hickory Island [Place]
• $13.40 $8.60
• Race 7
• 7 - Tiree [Show]
• $4.20
• 3 - Como Se Llama [Also Ran]
• 2 - Chocolate Wildcat [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 4 - Rivers Run Deep [Show]
• $2.60
• 8 - Recount [Win]
• $4.40 $3.20 $2.40
• 3 - W. B. Smudge [Place]
• $5.20 $3.60
• Exotics
• 8/3 $1.00 Exacta: $10.60
• 8/3/4 $0.50 Trifecta: $16.20
• Race 9
• 5 - Big Red Seven [Place]
• $4.00 $3.00
• 12 - Ribbon of Darkness [Scratch]
• 3 - Sioux Appeal [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, April 7 at Oaklawn: 1 Winner, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $98.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 30 Days
• $552.00 (276 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 36 (13.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $642.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$94.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Saturday, April 8 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 3 - Safe Passage [Place]
• $8.20 $5.40
• 7 - Reydell [Show]
• $3.40
• 9 - Stone Cold Stare [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Crush [Show]
• $3.20
• 1A Midas Dancer [Place]
• $8.40 $5.60
• 8 - Playing a Joke [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 8 - Lionslittlebit [Also Ran]
• 5 - My Mystery [Win]
• $9.80 $5.60 $4.00
• 12 - Pistol Patti [Show]
• $6.80
• Race 4
• 4 - Wildcat Shoals [Also Ran]
• 6 - Holy Bullex [Also Ran]
• 9 - Quick Sand [Show]
• $2.80
• Race 5
• 3 - Dancing Dove [Also Ran]
• 10 - That's Exciting [Also Ran]
• 2 - Gratzie [Win]
• $11.20 $5.60 $4.00
• Race 6
• 4 - All Laced Up [Win]
• $10.60 $6.60 $3.80
• 9 - Mo's M V P [Also Ran]
• 6 - Madison Kat [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 4 - Chilango [Also Ran]
• 2 - Rippin Ride [Also Ran]
• 8 - Greyjoy [Show]
• $6.20
• Race 8
• 1 - Gently Tapped [Also Ran]
• 9 - Arch Revenge [Also Ran]
• 3 - Racer [Win]
• $7.60 $4.00 $3.20
• Race 9
• 4 - Illusion Artist [Win]
• $21.40 $8.40 $4.80
• 5 - Marquee Miss [Also Ran]
• 1 - D R C's Pretty Sky [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 5 - Commanchero Spring [Also Ran]
• 10 - Bernie Roan [Also Ran]
• 6 - Conquest Skedaddle [Also Ran]

Summary for Saturday, April 8 at Oaklawn: 4 Winners, 11 of 30 OTB (0 scratch), $160.60

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 31 Days
• $572.00 (286 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 38 (13.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $678.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$106.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Sunday, April 9 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 3 - Cape Diva [Also Ran]
• 2 - Abby in Pink [Show]
• $3.60
• 5 - Sperling [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 4 - Jebadiah [Also Ran]
• 8 - Eerily [Also Ran]
• 10 - Captain Payback [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 9 - Sleepwalker [Win]
• $14.00 $5.40 $3.80
• 5 - Forest Mist [Also Ran]
• 2 - First Thought [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Viscosity [Also Ran]
• 6 - Johnny the Jet [Also Ran]
• 2 - Tanzanite [Place]
• $3.40 $2.60
• Race 5
• 4 - How About Him [Also Ran]
• 3 - Castletown [Show] $3.80
• 7 - Misterbulltoyou [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 2 - Port Aggregate [Also Ran]
• 9 - Gospel Abe [Also Ran]
• 1 - Flying Mr K [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 3 - Ellis the Red [Also Ran]
• 2 - Likeitlikethat [Show]
• $3.40
• 5 - Hard Scramble [Win]
• $14.80 $5.60 $3.40
• Race 8
• 4 - Anythingyoucando [Place]
• $5.00 $3.00
• 7 - Smelly Cat [Show]
• $2.60
• 10 - Por Favor [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 12 - Hot Blooded Song [Also Ran]
• 4 - Covington [Also Ran]
• 5 - Trueride [Also Ran]

Summary for Sunday, April 9 at Oaklawn: 2 Winners, 8 of 27 OTB (0 scratch), $74.40

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 32 Days
• $590.00 (295 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 39 (13.2%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $692.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$102.20

 

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Check back here on Wednesday for the final week of picks from by my Monte Carlo program for the Racing Festival of the South at Oaklawn Park.

April 9, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to close out the weekend on Sunday, April 9. This is the last Sunday of the racing season in Hot Springs. All we have left is the Racing Festival of the South that culminates next Saturday with the Arkansas Derby. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 3 - Cape Diva
• 2 - Abby in Pink
• 5 - Sperling
• Race 2
• 4 - Jebadiah
• 8 - Eerily
• 10 - Captain Payback
• Race 3
• 9 - Sleepwalker
• 5 - Forest Mist
• 2 - First Thought
• Race 4
• 9 - Viscosity
• 6 - Johnny the Jet
• 2 - Tanzanite
• Race 5
• 4 - How About Him
• 3 - Castletown
• 7 - Misterbulltoyou
• Race 6
• 2 - Port Aggregate
• 9 - Gospel Abe
• 1 - Flying Mr K
• Race 7
• 3 - Ellis the Red
• 2 - Likeitlikethat
• 5 - Hard Scramble
• Race 8
• 4 - Anythingyoucando
• 7 - Smelly Cat
• 10 - Por Favor
• Race 9
• 12 - Hot Blooded Song
• 4 - Covington
• 5 - Trueride

Good luck!

April 8, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Saturday, April 8 at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas will feature a 10 race card. The selections (or tip sheet) from the Monte Carlo program I developed are shown below. These selections are free, but if you have a good day with them, please drop back in to leave a tip. The results of these picks along with the picks from the rest of the week of racing will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game that I have been tracking since mid-February.

• Race 1
• 3 - Safe Passage
• 7 - Reydell
• 9 - Stone Cold Stare
• Race 2
• 5 - Crush
• 1/1A - Cruachan/Midas Dancer
• 8 - Playing a Joke
• Race 3
• 8 - Lionslittlebit
• 5 - My Mystery
• 12 - Pistol Patti
• Race 4
• 4 - Wildcat Shoals
• 6 - Holy Bullex
• 9 - Senor Grits
• Race 5
• 3 - Dancing Dove
• 10 - That's Exciting
• 2 - Gratzie
• Race 6
• 4 - All Laced Up
• 9 - Mo's M V P
• 6 - Madison Kat
• Race 7
• 4 - Chilango
• 2 - Rippin Ride
• 8 - Greyjoy
• Race 8
• 1 - Gently Tapped
• 9 - Arch Revenge
• 3 - Racer
• Race 9
• 4 - Illusion Artist
• 5 - Marquee Miss
• 1 - D R C's Pretty Sky
• Race 10
• 5 - Commanchero Spring
• 10 - Bernie Roan
• 6 - Conquest Skedaddle

May the horse be with you!

April 7, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Friday, April 7 has 9 scheduled races at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas. Here are the selections (tip sheet) generated by my Monte Carlo computer program. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full weekend will be posted early next week. I will update the $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" game. Enjoy your day at the races and come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 5 - Indian Trick
• 6 - Spider Walkin
• 1 - Queen Jolene
• Race 2
• 7 - Sammy Boy
• 5 - Bullero
• 9 - Tour de Rock
• Race 3
• 2 - Dusty
• 12 - Decision Reversed
• 1 - Dribbles
• Race 4
• 4 - Cannington
• 8 - Ms. D's Last Storm
• 6 - Mr Ark
• Race 5
• 4 - Cheyenne Blues
• 9 - Zan Creek
• 3 - Larissa's Love
• Race 6
• 3 - Stormy Forecast
• 4 - Private Party
• 10 - Hickory Island
• Race 7
• 7 - Tiree
• 3 - Como Se Llama
• 2 - Chocolate Wildcat
• Race 8
• 4 - Rivers Run Deep
• 8 - Recount
• 3 - W. B. Smudge
• Race 9
• 5 - Big Red Seven
• 12 - Ribbon of Darkness
• 3 - Sioux Appeal

Good luck!

April 6, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to open the weekend on Thursday, April 6. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 5 - Seaside Surprise
• 3 -  Hope Landing
• 1 -  Ordained Harbor
• Race 2
• 10 - Lisa's Premier
• 5 - Lucky Ann
• 7 - Learning Curve
• Race 3
• 6 - Ristan
• 7 - Our Reward Card
• 8 - Tizway in Front
• Race 4
• 6 - King of the Score
• 5 - Gone Preachin
• 10 - Benediction
• Race 5
• 9 - Tour On
• 5 - My Sugar
• 7 - Revive
• Race 6
• 2 - My Brother Don
• 8 - Charlesbrecknridge
• 1 - Golden Moon
• Race 7
• 9 - Risky's Best
• 13 - Nike Gal
• 12 - Her Case of Gold
• Race 8
• 7 - Girls Know Best
• 1 - Friend of Liberty
• 8 - Tapindeed
• Race 9
• 6 - Surtap
• 10 - Admiral Shepard
• 5 - Conquest Goinggone

Good luck!

March 30 - April 2 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

After this last weekend of racing at Oaklawn Park, I can finally close the book on the exacta box strategy for using the results of the Monte Carlo program. The weekend finished down by $77.30 for that strategy (37 races) while after 258 races the strategy is -$212.10. So, I will no longer update that "What if" game. On the other hand, the $2 Win strategy on the top selection finished with a boring $0.80 profit over the 37 races. That corresponds to a $2.022 ROI (on $2.00) for the weekend. However, the strategy is now $125.40 positive over the 258 races. The ROI over that time period is a very respectable $2.486 (on $2.00). I will track this strategy until the end of the season at Oaklawn. Below are the results from the weekend.

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Thursday, March 30 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 7 - Zella Rose [Win]
• $17.20 $7.20 $4.20
• 9 - Blushing Bird [Also Ran]
• 8 - Facets of Ice [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Officer Griggs [Place]
• $4.20 $3.00
• 6 - Euroway [Also Ran]
• 4 - Dareandaprayer [Show]
• $14.40
• Race 3
• 8 - Z Besha [Also Ran]
• 10 - Benediction [Also Ran]
• 9 - Promise Me Freedom [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 1 - Sammy Boy [Scratch]
• 12 - Could Be Game [Also Ran]
• 6 - Unyielding Storm [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 9 - Pinchme I'mdreamin [Also Ran]
• 7 - Heavenly Daze [Also Ran]
• 6 - Schuyler Warrior [Win]
• $23.00 $13.00 $7.80
• Race 6
• 12 - I Suspect Taylor [Also Ran]
• 8 - Avisionofchocolate [Also Ran]
• 2 - Dutch Parrot [Win]
• $3.80 $3.00 $2.80
• Race 7
• 9 - Bombmarito [Also Ran]
• 7 - Go Vo 11 [Scratch]
• 11 - Mystery Solved [Scratch]
• Race 8
• 4 - Taxable [Place]
• $3.40 $3.20
• 6 - Curlish Figure [Also Ran]
• 5 - Untouchable [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 5 - Green Moon Rising [Also Ran]
• 6 - Tizuis Or Tizuaint [Place]
• $10.00 $6.20
• 7 - Awesome Mil [Also Ran]

Summary for Thursday, March 30 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 7 of 24 OTB (3 scratch), $126.40

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 25 Days
• $1204.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 15 (Out of 230 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1025.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$178.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 25 Days
• $460.00 (230 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 30 (13.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $583.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$123.80

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

 Friday, March 31 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 11 - Lilac Wine [Place]
• $4.80 $4.20
• 8 - Craftys Lil Sis [Scratch]
• 9 - A Song of Faith [Show]
• $6.80
• Race 2
• 5 - Amber Creek [Win]
• $13.80 $7.00 $4.60
• 9 - She's the Most [Also Ran]
• 3 - Bright Hope [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 6 - Never Give In [Also Ran]
• 7 - Double Ours [Win]
• $3.60 $2.60 $2.40
• 2 - Deep in a Dream [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Isabell's Tiger [Also Ran]
• 4 - R Fast Life [Also Ran]
• 10 - Speightstime [Place]
• $3.80 $2.80
• Race 5
• 7 - Elijah [Also Ran]
• 4 - Fire Starter [Place]
• $3.00 $2.20
• 2 - Abraham [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 11 - Red Leopard [Show]
• $6.40
• 6 - My Boy Lane [Also Ran]
• 3 - See the Ranger [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 3 - Corinthian's Glory [Also Ran]
• 4 - Greeley's Striker [Also Ran]
• 11 - Sandy's Song [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 7 - Checkmate Charlie [Also Ran]
• 3 - Five O One [Win]
• $3.00 $2.10 $2.10
• 4 - Bay's Commander [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 4 - My Sister Madi [Also Ran]
• 11 - Star Quest [Also Ran]
• 3 - Lady Kay [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, March 31 at Oaklawn: 3 Winners, 0 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $68.80

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 26 Days
• $1254.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 15 (Out of 239 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1025.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$228.80

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 26 Days
• $478.00 (239 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 31 (13.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $597.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$119.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

 Saturday, April 1 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 8 - Chasenthisdream [Show]
• $4.40
• 5 - Arctic Music [Also Ran]
• 7 - Sanilac [Win]
• $4.00 $3.00 $2.60
• Race 2
• 11 - Cat's Destiny [Scratch]
• 5 - Magic of Believing [Show]
• $4.40
• 6 - Iver With an E [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 3 - Hot Item [Win]
• $8.40 $5.20 $3.40
• 8 - Magician Man [Also Ran]
• 7 - Conquest Archie [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 5 - Icy Dawn [Also Ran]
• 12 - Secret Trick [Win]
• $26.80 $11.80 $8.20
• 7 - Flashy Ruthie [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 5 - Way Striking [Win]
• $13.60 $6.00 $3.80
• 2 - Smack Smack [Also Ran]
• 3 - Rocket Time [Place]
• $4.00 $2.80
• Exotics
• 5/3 $1.00 Exacta: $25.70
• Race 6
• 3 - Gordy Florida [Win]
• $5.60 $3.00 $2.40
• 1 - Medal of Courage [Scratch]
• 11 - Stormy Pacific [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 3 - Valeski [Also Ran]
• 10 - Far Out Kailee [Place]
• $4.40 $3.40
• 6 - Private Prospect [Win]
• $7.00 $3.80 $3.00
• Exotics
• 6/10 $1.00 Exacta: $16.00
• Race 8
• 5 - Daringly Bold [Also Ran]
• 9 - Visionary Tale [Win]
• $3.60 $3.00 $2.40
• 8 - Smokin' M'konahay [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 6 - Ms Fifty First St [Show]
• $2.40
• 4 - Premonition Creek [Also Ran]
• 3 - Dixie Flyer [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 6 - Greeleys Copy [Also Ran]
• 5 - Reverend Sam [Also Ran]
• 11 - Sing Him a Song [Also Ran]

Summary for Saturday, April 1 at Oaklawn: 5 Winners, 2 Exacta, 11 of 28 OTB (2 scratch), $198.10

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 27 Days
• $1306.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 17 (Out of 249 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1066.90
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$239.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 27 Days
• $496.00 (249 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 34 (13.7%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $625.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$127.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Sunday, April 2 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 4 - Forafewdollarsmore [Also Ran]
• 8 - Incitement [Also Ran]
• 5 - Moonlight Party [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 5 - Kiowa Can [Also Ran]
• 8 - Big Statement [Show]
• $4.40
• 12 - Pampered's Lullaby [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 3 - Explosive Candy [Also Ran]
• 10 - Exploden Moonshine [Also Ran]
• 6 - Ahh Youbetchya [Scratch]
• Race 4
• 6 - Savie [Also Ran]
• 12 - McCurdy [Also Ran]
• 8 - No Mo Jo [Win]
• $17.80 $9.80 $5.40
• Race 5
• 3 - Midnight Shine [Win]
• $16.20 $8.00 $4.40
• 7 - Smartified [Place]
• $7.60 $4.00
• 8 - Big Sugarush [Also Ran]
• Exotics
• 3/7 $1.00 Exacta: $69.00
• Race 6
• 6 - Wind Hopper [Also Ran]
• 5 - With Every Hope [Also Ran]
• 11 - Chef Karen [Scratch]
• Race 7
• 2 - Jury Wise [Also Ran]
• 10 - Talk That Talk [Place]
• $6.00 $4.20
• 4 - Stormy Rhonda [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 2 - Exquisite Lady [Scratch]
• 12 - Can't Touch Me [Also Ran]
• 4 - Justa Lady [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 12 - Dancetothebeat [Also Ran]
• 6 - Is Out [Also Ran]
• 2 - Crafty's Girl [Show]
• $7.40

Summary for Sunday, April 2 at Oaklawn: 2 Winners, 1 Exacta, 6 of 24 OTB (3 scratch), $164.20

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 28 Days
• $1348.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 18 (Out of 258 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $1135.90
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$212.10

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 28 Days
• $516.00 (258 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 35 (13.6%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $641.40
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$125.40

 

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ************** 

Well, that's a wrap for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program.

April 2, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs will host a 9 race card to close out the weekend on Sunday, April 2. This Sunday is the next to last Sunday of the racing season in Hot Springs. My Monte Carlo algorithm has produced these selections (tip sheet) for the afternoon of racing. The results of these picks along with the picks from the full week of racing will be posted early next week. I am out of pocket this next week, so the results may be later than normal. Enjoy your day at the races and be sure to come back to leave a tip if you benefited from these selections.

• Race 1
• 4 - Forafewdollarsmore
• 8 - Incitement
• 5 - Moonlight Party
• Race 2
• 5 - Kiowa Can
• 8 - Big Statement
• 12 - Pampered's Lullaby
• Race 3
• 3 - Explosive Candy
• 10 - Exploden Moonshine
• 6 - Ahh Youbetchya
• Race 4
• 6 - Savie
• 12 - McCurdy
• 8 - No Mo Jo
• Race 5
• 3 - Midnight Shine
• 7 - Smartified
• 8 - Big Sugarush
• Race 6
• 6 - Wind Hopper
• 5 - With Every Hope
• 11 - Chef Karen
• Race 7
• 2 - Jury Wise
• 10 - Talk That Talk
• 4 - Stormy Rhonda
• Race 8
• 2 - Exquisite Lady
• 12 - Can't Touch Me
• 4 - Justa Lady
• Race 9
• 12 - Dancetothebeat
• 6 - Is Out
• 2 - Crafty's Girl

Good luck!

April 1, 2017 Oaklawn Park Selections

April Fools' Day at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas will feature a 10 race card. The selections (or tip sheet) from the Monte Carlo program I developed are shown below. These selections are free, but if you have a good day with them, please drop back in to leave a tip. The results of these picks along with the picks from the rest of the week of racing will be posted early next week. I will update the Exacta Box and $2 Win on the Top Selection "What If" games that I have been tracking since mid-February.

• Race 1
• 8 - Chasenthisdream
• 5 - Arctic Music
• 7 - Sanilac
• Race 2
• 11 - Cat's Destiny
• 5 - Magic of Believing
• 6 - Iver With an E
• Race 3
• 3 - Hot Item
• 8 - Magician Man
• 7 - Conquest Archie
• Race 4
• 5 - Icy Dawn
• 12 - Secret Trick
• 7 - Flashy Ruthie
• Race 5
• 5 - Way Striking
• 2 - Smack Smack
• 3 - Rocket Time
• Race 6
• 3 - Gordy Florida
• 1 - Medal of Courage
• 11 - Stormy Pacific
• Race 7
• 3 - Valeski
• 10 - Far Out Kailee
• 6 - Private Prospect
• Race 8
• 5 - Daringly Bold
• 9 - Visionary Tale
• 8 - Smokin' M'konahay
• Race 9
• 6 - Ms Fifty First St
• 4 - Premonition Creek
• 3 - Dixie Flyer
• Race 10
• 6 - Greeleys Copy
• 5 - Reverend Sam
• 11 - Sing Him a Song

May the horse be with you!