Oaklawn Park Race Picks for February 17, 2017

Today, I start with the first set of Monte Carlo simulation results for the horse racing picks. Going forward, I will be reporting on how well my model does rather than my attempts to decipher past performance data. I have also decided not to include all the class, distance, and conditions for the races going forward because those are easily accessible at the track, at Equibase, or at Brisnet. Let's hope the computer knows what it is calculating about...

• 1st Race
• 4 - Funny Questions
• 6 - Tempo Seeker
• 1 - Dusty
• 2nd Race
• 7 - Artic Vortex
• 8 - Bandolera's Gold
• 9 - First Heart Break
• 3rd Race
• 6 - Malibu Tide
• 3 - Lotto Cat
• 4 - Ring Necked
• 4th Race
• 7 - Hollarforadollar
• 2 - Fleet Grey
• 4 - Titfortat
• 5th Race
• 6 - Pirate's Moon
• 8 - Hanalei Surf Dog
• 4 - Bob Engleberger
• 6th Race
• 6 - Solve
• 1 - Glitnir
• 2 - Cutacorner
• 7th Race
• 8 - Hello Everybody
• 5 - Zella Rose
• 2 - Sage's Epiphany
• 8th Race
• 3 - Wilbo
• 9 - Imahit
• 5 - W. B. Smudge
• 9th Race
• 11 - Ristan
• 6 - Mountain Home
• 2 - She's Undawnted

Now, let's recap how I did with the picks from yesterday that were based on my intuition rather a computer model. There are a ton of "Also Ran" entries in my picks, but using the metrics often found on horse racing tout sheets I picked 3 winners, 2 exactas, and a trifecta. If you wagered properly (that is, if you only bet on the horses that came in - how about that for a metric), you would have racked in $132.85.

• 1st Race
• 9 - Enchanted Rambam [Also Ran]
• 4 - Iftheyonlyknew [Scratch]
• 7 - Awesom Champ [Also Ran]
• 2nd Race
• 9 - Classic Arch [Also Ran]
• 8 - Counton Claire [Also Ran]
• 4 - Flashy Ruthie [Also Ran]
• 3rd Race
• 7 - The Rouge Diesel [Also Ran]
• 8 - Shootout [Also Ran]
• 4 - Crush [Win]
• $22.60  $9.60   $5.20
• 4th Race
• 6 - J P of Galilee [Win]
• $7.00  $2.80   $2.40
• 4 - Bud's Mr. B [Place]
• $3.40  $2.40
• 1/1A - Gumshoe/Zapper Dan [Also Ran]
• Exotics Results
• 6/4 $1.00 Exacta: $10.40
• 5th Race
• 1 - Big Sugarush [Also Ran]
• 2 - Dynamic Impact [Also Ran]
• 7 - Areed [Place]
• $5.00   $3.00
• 6th Race
• 2 - Tonbo [Place]
• $3.80  $3.00
• 4 - Rank [Win]
• $7.20  $3.60  $2.80
• 6 - Stand Guard [Show]
• $4.00
• Exotics Results
• 4/2 $1.00 Exacta: $12.00
• 4/2/6 $0.50 Trifecta: $16.65
• 7th Race
• 5 - Sanilac [Also Ran]
• 4 - Jungle Lane [Also Ran]
• 3 - Unsung [Also Ran]
• 8th Race
• 6 - Financial Modeling [Scratch]
• 7 - Abraham [Also Ran]
• 1 - Hillbilly Royalty [Also Ran]
• 9th Race
• 7 - Lost Shakerof Salt [Also Ran]
• 12 - Stellastellastella [Show]
• $6.00
• 6 - Raise a Ghost [Scratch]