Oaklawn Park Selections for February 2, 2018

Here is the February 2, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 7 - Haus 
• 12 - Gallopingguinness 
• 11 - Alithia
• 2nd Race
• 6 - Dan the Tin Man 
• 5 - Handful of Stripes 
• 7 - Richie the Bull
• 3rd Race
• 10 - Zonly 
• 11 - She's Undawnted 
• 2 - Blushing Bella
• 4th Race
• 10 - Ghost Jumper 
• 4 - Run Juja Run 
• 8 - Delightful Joanna
• 5th Race
• 4 - Port Aggregate 
• 3 - Sword of David 
• 8 - Supreme Commander
• 6th Race
• 1/1A - Undivided / Charmin Dixie 
• 4 - Caramel Cream 
• 2 - Nucla
• 7th Race
• 1 - Zombo 
• 6 - Dark Helmet 
• 10 - He's Foxworthy
• 8th Race
• 8 - Upset Brewing 
• 1 - Bo Peep 
• 5 - Foxy Mischief
• 9th Race
• 12 - Savedbyanangel 
• 8 - She's too Cool 
• 10 - Markaiah

For February 2, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000096 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000007942 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000291553 
• P(6 win) = 0.00006212166 
• P(5 win) = 0.00084646995 
• P(4 win) = 0.00764761633 
• P(3 win) = 0.04580284135 
• P(2 win) = 0.17531455245 
• P(1 win) = 0.38904736070 
• P(0 win) = 0.38127604167

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.61872395833 
• At least 2 win = 0.22967659764 
• At least 3 win = 0.05436204519 
• At least 4 win = 0.00855920384 
• At least 5 win = 0.00091158751 
• At least 6 win = 0.00006511756 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000299590 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000008038 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000096
  

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.