Oaklawn Park Selections for February 1, 2018

We are ready to kick off the month of February with live racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs.
Here is the Thursday, February 2, 2018 tip sheet generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 1 - Pastiche 
• 8 - Woodhaven Diva 
• 5 - Herald Square
• 2nd Race
• 7 - Well Mannered 
• 4 - Senor Grits 
• 1 - Obvious One
• 3rd Race
• 8 - Summer King 
• 3 - Roberto Gato 
• 5 - Conquest Hiosilver
• 4th Race
• 5 - Samurai Mike 
• 10 - The Psychic 
• 7 - Electric Avenue
• 5th Race
• 7 - With Every Hope 
• 6 - Alittlecomplicated 
• 2 - Cotton Club Cutie
• 6th Race
• 8 - Big Axe 
• 2 - Coco Honey 
• 10 - Awesome Day
• 7th Race
• 1 - Onion Creek 
• 5 - Eskimo Kisses 
• 3 - Miss Darley
• 8th Race
• 10 - True Loyalty 
• 9 - Plainsman 
• 7 - Dream Baby Dream
• 9th Race
•  6 - Silverado Road 
• 5 - Perfectmperfection 
• 12 - Coach Avery

For February 2, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000113 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000009171 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000328809 
• P(6 win) = 0.00006847695 
• P(5 win) = 0.00091284898 
• P(4 win) = 0.00807741877 
• P(3 win) = 0.04743967045 
• P(2 win) = 0.17831749453 
• P(1 win) = 0.38924250794 
• P(0 win) = 0.37593820146

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.62406179854 
• At least 2 win = 0.23481929060 
• At least 3 win = 0.05650179608 
• At least 4 win = 0.00906212563 
• At least 5 win = 0.00098470686 
• At least 6 win = 0.00007185788 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000338093 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000009285 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000113

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.