Oaklawn Park Selections for February 4, 2018

We close out another week of racing at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs on Sunday. Here is the February 4, 2018 tip sheet for generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 2 - Eye On Harper 
• 5 - Miss Azul 
• 7 - Roan Feathers 
• 2nd Race 
• 5 - Brahmie 
• 7 - Chiroc 
• 6 - Sattersfield 
• 3rd Race 
• 5 - Chocolateicecream 
• 7 - Cass in Stone 
• 4 - Sports Reporter 
• 4th Race 
• 10 - Make It Work 
• 1/1A - John Allen / Bo Tee 
• 7 - Artesia Wells 
• 5th Race 
• 4 - Greeleys Charm 
• 3 - Chocolate Wildcat 
• 5 - Hubert Junior 
• 6th Race 
• 2 - Indian Gem 
• 6 - Liam's World 
• 1/1A - Donita's Ruler / Queen Kate 
• 7th Race 
• 5 - Queens Day Victory 
• 10 - Buskinfoalivin 
• 9 - Traci's Greeley 
• 8th Race 
• 4 - Cara Blythe 
• 6 - Vilaro 
• 5 - Avisionofchocolate 
• 9th Race 
• 3 - The Checotah Kid 
• 6 - Detroit Cowboy 
• 9 - Hank's Alibi

For February 4, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000168 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000013085 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000450435 
• P(6 win) = 0.00008979503 
• P(5 win) = 0.00114226710 
• P(4 win) = 0.00961414810 
• P(3 win) = 0.05353462714 
• P(2 win) = 0.19015786653 
• P(1 win) = 0.39096447173 
• P(0 win) = 0.35449218750

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.64550781250 
• At least 2 win = 0.25454334077 
• At least 3 win = 0.06438547424 
• At least 4 win = 0.01085084711 
• At least 5 win = 0.00123669901 
• At least 6 win = 0.00009443191 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000463688 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000013253 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000168

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck. I will post a summary of the full week of racing early in the week.