March 16-19 MC Algorithm Results from Oaklawn Park

To sum up this week of picks at Oaklawn Park, the $2 win strategy on the Monte Carlo program's top picks was +$24.20 for the weekend of racing (38 races). Over the 20 race dates of the "What If" game, the strategy is +$77.60 (184 races). However, the exacta box strategy that looked so promising at one point in that "What If" game is now -$181.50 over that same 184 races. I will keep tracking this strategy because I cannot decide which streak in the process is more indicative of the predictive power of the MC algorithm. Another week or two should give that data. In any case, it was great Spring weekend of racing in Hot Springs. Below are the results from the weekend.

Thursday, March 16 results (The original Oaklawn Park tip sheet and selections can be found here).

• Race 1
• 1 - Wolf City [Also Ran]
• 9 - Malibubu [Scratch]
• 6 - Will Gracie Shine [Show]
• $4.00
• Race 2
• 11 - Priza N a Half [Also Ran]
• 5 - Vested Creek [Also Ran]
• 7 - Dudete's Wino [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 2 - Son of Pearl [Win]
• $7.60 $4.40 $3.00
• 8 - Silver Lining John [Also Ran]
• 6 - Enlisted Man [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Cotton Club Cutie [Show]
• $3.40
• 4 - Timeless Truth [Also Ran]
• 8 - Titfortat [Place]
• $4.60 $2.80
• Race 5
• 10 - Could Be Game [Also Ran]
• 6 - Since Forever [Place]
• $9.60 $6.20
• 9 - First Splash [Show]
• $7.80
• Race 6
• 12 - First Heritage [Win]
• $48.20 $17.00 $7.20
• 3 - Zan Creek [Also Ran]
• 9 - Hicks Honey [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 9 - First Response [Also Ran]
• 6 - United Stand [Also Ran]
• 2 - First Offer [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 4 - Five Star Factor [Also Ran]
• 6 - Dutch Parrot [Place]
• $13.20 $7.60
• 3 - Dial Me [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 3 - Gumshoe [Also Ran]
• 9 - My Boy Lane [Also Ran]
• 5 - Trenton Bridge [Show] $10.00

Summary for Thursday, March 16 at Oaklawn: 2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 9 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $156.60

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 17 Days
• $830.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 155 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$64.20

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 17 Days
• $310.00 (155 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 19 (12.3%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $401.20
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$91.20

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Friday, March 17 results (The original Oaklawn Park selections/tip sheet can seen here.)

• Race 1
• 7 - Mocha Chip [Also Ran]
• 8 - May Be Suspect [Also Ran]
• 5 - Holly Tsu Tsu [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 2 - She's Undawnted [Win]
• $12.80 $7.00 $4.40
• 11 - Wilburn's Angel [Also Ran]
• 6 - Risky's Best [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 6 - Boston Marathoner [Also Ran]
• 2 - One Sock Mauk [Also Ran]
• 9 - Facts Are Stubborn [Also Ran]
• Race 4
• 9 - Glorious Summer [Also Ran]
• 7 - Dusty [Show]
• $3.00
• 3 - Britt's Vow [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 6 - Indy Awesome [Also Ran]
• 11 - Sky Alert [Also Ran]
• 10 - Battered [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 2 - Yooou Den [Also Ran]
• 4 - Karla With a K [Place]
• $4.00 $3.00
• 7 - One Minute [Also Ran]
• Race 7
• 6 - Tap the Admiral  [Also Ran]
• 9 - Midnight Ruleer [Place]
• $11.60 $6.60
• 1/1A - Snickerboxer/Susan's Reward [Show]
• $5.20
• Race 8
• 4 - St. Louie Guy [Show] 
• $3.20
• 10 - Reckling [Place] 
• $11.60 $5.80 
• 7 - Dupree [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 5 - She's a Bootsy Too [Also Ran]
• 2 - Dorodansa [Scratch]
• 9 - Donita's Ruler [Also Ran]

Summary for Friday, March 17 at Oaklawn:  1 Winner1, 0 Exacta, 8 of 26 OTB (1 scratch), $78.20

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 18 Days
• $880.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 11 (Out of 164 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $765.80
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$114.20

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 18 Days
• $328.00 (164 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 20 (12.2%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $414.00
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$86.00

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

Saturday, March 18 results (The original picks for Oaklawn Park are here.)

• Race 1
• 3 - Salute the Warrior [Place]
• $3.60 $2.80
• 7 - Littleriverrock [Also Ran]
• 11 - Imallaboutthatbass [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 8 - Totality [Also Ran]
• 3 - Warrior's Club [Win]
• $7.00 $4.00 $3.20
• 5 - Rowdy the Warrior [Show]
• $3.60
• Race 3
• 12 - Greeley and Marina [Also Ran]
• 6 - Mountain Honey [Also Ran]
• 1 - Indian Trick [Place]
• $9.40 $5.80 
• Race 4
• 4 - Briar's Gold [Also Ran]
• 5 - Charlesbrecknridge [Also Ran]
• 7 - Circle Unbroken [Also Ran]
• Race 5
• 5 - Lil Miss Blue Eyes [Show]
• $3.20
• 8 - What a Star [Also Ran]
• 7 - Crimson Frost [Place]
• $13.60 $6.40
• Race 6
• 5 - Real Creel [Also Ran]
• 6 - Colonelsdarktemper [Show]
• $3.60
• 9 - Love That Lute [Win]
• $37.60 $12.60 $7.00
• Race 7
• 2 - Terra Promessa [Also Ran]
• 5 - Power of Snunner [Also Ran]
• 3 - Tiger Moth [Show]
• $45.40
• Race 8
• 6 - Fear the Cowboy [Scratch]
• 8 - Madefromlucky [Show]
• $3.00
• 4 - Dalmore [Also Ran]
• Race 9  
• 9 - Luna de Loco [Win]
• $20.00 $8.80 $6.60
• 8 - Will Munnings [Scratch]
• 4 - Never Give In [Also Ran]
• Race 10
• 5 - Untrapped [Show] $5.40
• 2 - Uncontested [Also Ran]
• 7 - American Anthem [Also Ran]
• Race 11
• 12 - Leofric [Win]
• $11.60 $6.20 $4.80
• 9 - Langdarma [Show]
• $5.20
• 3 - Dan the Go to Man [Place]
• $3.40 $2.80
• Exotics: 
• 12/3 $1.00 Ex: $26.70
• 12/3/9 $0.50 Trifecta: $105.60

Summary for Saturday, March 18 at Oaklawn:  4 Winners, 1 Exacta, 15 of 31 OTB (2 scratch), $378.90

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 19 Days
• $938.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 12 (Out of 175 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $792.50
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$145.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 19 Days
• $350.00 (175 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 22 (12.6%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $445.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$95.60

************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

 Sunday, March 19 results (Check out the original picks for Oaklawn Park here.)

• Race 1
• 8 - Avail Ekati [Show]
• $3.80
• 3 - Zimmerman [Win]
• $8.60 $4.20 $2.80
• 10 - Safe Passage [Also Ran]
• Race 2
• 10 - Lilac Wine [Also Ran]
• 4 - G P's Girl [Place]
• $7.80 $6.00
• 8 - Whitebutton [Also Ran]
• Race 3
• 6 - Sammy Boy [Also Ran]
• 4 - Tipsy Suspect [Also Ran]
• 1 - Cannington [Place] 
• $4.80 $3.00
• Race 4
• 1 - Storm Haze [Also Ran]
• 4 - He Is a Roadster [Also Ran]
• 12 - Bracigliano [Scratch]
• Race 5
• 7 - Sister Kan [Show]
• $2.40
• 1 - Girls Know Best [Win]
• $8.00 $4.80 $3.20
• 5 - Too Much to Bear [Also Ran]
• Race 6
• 1 - Jury Wise [Scratch]
• 7 - Realta Ean [Scratch]
• 4 - Includere [Place]
• $6.60 $4.00
• Race 7
• 4 - Snickerboxer [Scratch]
• 3 - Goats Town [Place]
• $5.00 $3.40
• 6 - Decorated Soldier [Also Ran]
• Race 8
• 1 - Maziette [Place]
• $8.00 $4.80
• 6 - Dandy Gal [Also Ran]
• 7 - Hailstorm Slew [Also Ran]
• Race 9
• 5 - Gone Preachin [Scratch] 
• 2 - Chantmeupbaby [Place]
• $3.00 $2.80
• 9 - Dothebestyoucan [Also Ran]

Summary for Sunday, March 19 at Oaklawn:  2 Winners, 0 Exacta, 10 of 22 OTB (5 scratch), $97.00

Current Exacta Box Strategy "What If" Game:

• Exacta Box Cost Through 20 Days
• $974.00
• Number of Exactas Hit
• 12 (Out of 184 Races)
• Total Return on Exactas Hit
• $792.50
• Running Profit/Loss
• -$181.50

Current $2 Win on Top Pick "What If" Game:

• $2 Win Ticket Cost Through 20 Days
• $368.00 (184 Races)
• Number of Winners Hit
• 22 (12.0%)
• Total Return on Winners
• $445.60
• Running Profit/Loss
• +$77.60
  
  ************** ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ **************

That's it for last week's racing. Check back here on Thursday for a new week of picks by my Monte Carlo program.