Oaklawn Park Selections for March 22, 2019

We are looking forward to a great weekend of racing as March Madness plays out inside our television sets. Here is the Friday, March 22, 2019 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the Python PyPick simulation software.

• Race 1:  3-5-2-6
• Race 2:  10-5-9-2
• Race 3:  8-2-7-3
• Race 4:  8-9-11-13
• Race 5:  5-6-10-4
• Race 6:  4-2-6-8
• Race 7:  1-6-2-5
• Race 8:  3-7-6-5
• Race 9:  10-3-7-8

The wagers that I am tracking are the following:

• $2 Win bet on top pick
• $1 Exacta Key Box 
• Top Pick WITH others
• $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
• Top Pick WITH others WITH others
• others WITH Top Pick WITH others
• others WITH others WITH Top Pick

As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you. Have a good day at the races and good luck.

March 21, 2019 Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet

Here is the Thursday, March 21, 2019 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the Python PyPick software (a Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• Race 1:  1-5-2-8
• Race 2:  8-2-6-7
• Race 3:  5-3-2-6
• Race 4:  5-1-3-6
• Race 5:  3-8-10-12
• Race 6:  6-7-11-1
• Race 7:  3-4-8-5
• Race 8:  8-2-7-5
• Race 9:  10-3-1-12

The wagers that I am tracking are the following:

• $2 Win bet on top pick
• $1 Exacta Key Box 
• Top Pick WITH others
• $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
• Top Pick WITH others WITH others
• others WITH Top Pick WITH others
• others WITH others WITH Top Pick

As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you. Have a good day at the races and good luck.

March 15, 2019 Oaklawn Park Selections

Here is the Friday, March 15, 2019 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the Python PyPick software (a Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• Race 1:  2-5-7-1
• Race 2:  12-6-5-7
• Race 3:  7-2-4-5
• Race 4:  6-2-4-7
• Race 5:  2-8-4-7
• Race 6:  3-7-2-10
• Race 7:  1-6-4-2
• Race 8:  10-6-8-3
• Race 9:  1-11-9-5

The wagers that I am tracking are the following:

• $2 Win bet on top pick
• $1 Exacta Key Box 
• Top Pick WITH others
• $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
• Top Pick WITH others WITH others
• others WITH Top Pick WITH others
• others WITH others WITH Top Pick

As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you. Have a good day at the races, good luck, and beware the Ides of March.

Oaklawn Park Selections for March 14, 2019

There is a giant weekend of racing on tap in Hot Springs, Arkansas as the Rebel Stakes will be run in two divisions with Game Winner and Improbable as the headliners. The Saturday card will have over $2.5 million in purse money to distribute to the horsemen who have brought their competitors to the race track. However, before the big event, we have a couple days of racing to wet the appetite.

Here is the Thursday, March 14, 2019 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park generated by the Python PyPick software (a Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• Race 1:  6-7-5-4
• Race 2:  3-1-9-2
• Race 3:  1-2-5-9
• Race 4:  7-9-5-8
• Race 5:  7-13-2-4
• Race 6:  8-1-5-6
• Race 7:  5-7-8-3
• Race 8:  6-2-8-4
• Race 9:  10-6-5-4

The wagers that I am tracking are the following:

• $2 Win bet on top pick
• $1 Exacta Key Box 
• Top Pick WITH others
• $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
• Top Pick WITH others WITH others
• others WITH Top Pick WITH others
• others WITH others WITH Top Pick

As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you. Have a good day at the races and good luck.

First Weekend Results for PyPick at Oaklawn Park

In previous Oaklawn Park racing seasons, I went through the picks of the OakPick Monte Carlo program race by race. That process was time consuming and frustrating. First, I had to compile the results in a spreadsheet. The next step was composing a blog post with horse names, winning prices, etc. Finally, the statistics were discussed and theories expounded upon.

With a new program (PyPick), I have decided to "open source" my spreadsheet. This means I simply link to the file and everyone can see for themselves how the program is doing. Without further ado, here is the link to the PyPick Cumulative Statistics Spreadsheet.

As you can see for yourself, the $2 Win bet strategy on the top pick was a profitable one for the first weekend. The other two strategies (Exacta Key Box and Trifecta Key Box) were not. I will continue to those for a little while longer. To be honest, I was kind of hoping for abject failure - so I wouldn't feel the need to do the picks. That point may come later in the season, but the first weekend demonstrates that I need further testing.

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Speaking of open source software, a piece of code that I wrote with my first student intern at Sandia National Laboratories was recently released under a BSD 3-Clause open source license. Here is the link to MatMCNP for those that have the need or want for isotopic descriptions of materials.

Oaklawn Park Selection for March 10, 2019

Here is the March 10, 2019 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the Python PyPick software (a Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• Race 1:  1-7-3-5
• Race 2:  5-6-4-8
• Race 3:  4-9-1-3
• Race 4:  2-10-8-1
• Race 5:  5-4-7-8
• Race 6:  1-3-6-5
• Race 7:  6-7-11-3
• Race 8:  6-1-7-5
• Race 9:  9-6-1-5

The wagers that I am tracking are the following:

• $2 Win bet on top pick
• $1 Exacta Key Box 
• Top Pick WITH others
• $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
• Top Pick WITH others WITH others
• others WITH Top Pick WITH others
• others WITH others WITH Top Pick

As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you. Have a good day at the races and good luck.

Oaklawn Park Selection for March 9, 2019

As I mentioned yesterday, the process of producing picks using the new Monte Carlo program is more time intensive. I don't know if I will produce picks every day for the rest of the year. However, I do have a free Oaklawn Park tip sheet for Saturday, March 9, 2019. Here are the picks and the wagers that I am tracking:

• Race 1:  8-2-1-7
• Race 2:  7-6-2-3
• Race 3:  4-6-10-2
• Race 4:  6-12-7-9
• Race 5:  2-1-5-8
• Race 6:  5-11-6-3
• Race 7:  3-4-5-1
• Race 8:  10-3-8-1
• Race 9:  1-3-9-2
• Race 10:  7-10-12-6

The wagers that I am tracking are the following:

• $2 Win bet on top pick
• $1 Exacta Key Box 
• Top Pick WITH others
• $0.50 Trifecta Key part wheel
• Top Pick WITH others WITH others
• others WITH Top Pick WITH others
• others WITH others WITH Top Pick

As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you. Have a good day at the races and good luck.

Oaklawn Park Selection for March 8, 2019

It's been a while since my last post (1 week shy of 1 year), so obviously, there has been a lot going on. Rather than go into the chaos that is my life, I decided to start making Oaklawn Park selections again using a revamped version of my Monte Carlo for horse races. The new code is written in Python (I learned a new language since my last post) and has the ability to adjust the emphasis given to various factors. The current version allows for variation based on post position, jockey, and trainer. It is easily extensible (because, you know, Python), so if you have suggestion for additional factors to include, please let me know.

One of the drawbacks is that it does take significantly more time to setup and produce the output. I may have to write a web scraper and parser to automate some that in the future. I want to take a look at the results with the more labor intensive process before jumping that deep into the Python for that. The updated program samples the underlying total probability distribution 100 times to provide a top 4 based on the factors it considers. Without further ado, here is the tip sheet for March 8, 2018 at Oaklawn Park:

• Race 1:  11-1-4-3
• Race 2:  5-1-10-2
• Race 3:  8-6-3-4
• Race 4:  5-3-10-1
• Race 5:  7-6-3-1
• Race 6:  4-6-2-1
• Race 7:  7-11-4-6
• Race 8:  2-7-4-5
• Race 9:  3-8-2-7

I will again track the $2 Win bet on the top pick (accounting for scratches). I will also look at Exacta Key Boxes and Trifecta Key Boxes with the top pick over the rest of the picks. Using Race 1 above as an example, here is what I will be tracking:

• $2 Win on 11
• $1 Exacta ($6 Total) - The combinations below are the following:
• Exacta Box 11 with 1
• Exacta Box 11 with 4
• Exacta Box 11 with 3
• OR Exacta Key Box 11 with 1, 3, 4
• 11 / 1
• 11 / 4
• 11 / 3
• 1 / 11
• 4 / 11
• 3 / 11
• $0.50 Trifecta ($9 Total) - The combinations below are the following:
• Trifecta part wheel 11 with 1, 3, 4 with 1, 3, 4
• Trifecta part wheel 1, 3, 4 with 11 with 1, 3, 4
• Trifecta part wheel 1, 3, 4 with 1, 3, 4 with 11
• 11 / 1 / 4
• 11 / 1 / 3
• 11 / 3 / 1
• 11 / 4 / 1
• 11 / 3 / 4
• 11 / 4 / 3
• 1 / 11 / 3
• 1 / 11 / 4
• 3 / 11 / 1
• 3 / 11 / 4
• 4 / 11 / 1
• 4 / 11 / 3
• 1 / 3 / 11
• 1 / 4 / 11
• 3 / 1 / 11
• 3 / 4 / 11
• 4 / 1 / 11
• 4 / 3 / 11

I will not go through the different combination each time, but I thought it would be helpful to understand what the various wagers look like. As always, the Tip Jar is available if these free picks work out for you.

Temporary Oaklawn Park Selections Pause

So, I have been making selections for the races at Oaklawn Park for the past 2.5 months using software that I wrote. However, the amount of manual interaction with the program results to get it on to the blogger platform has become too much. I still owe a results post from last weekend and I hope to get that up soon.

Anyway, until life slows down a whole lot or I get a chance to automate my posting ability in some way, I am going to pause in posting selections every day. I plan on posting a season summary and selection for Arkansas Derby. I hope the pause will give me time to think about how to improve the algorithm to get better results than I have seen this year. Have a good weekend!

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet for March 10, 2018

We have another big stakes day on the card at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas on Saturday, March 10. The highlight of the day will be the Honeybee Stakes (G3) for 3 year-old fillies going a mile and 1/16. Here are the selections generated by my OakPick software for March 10, 2018. The selections here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 8 - What'sontheagenda 
• 5 - Doc Kane 
• 4 - Divine Interventio 
• 2nd Race 
• 6 - Jean's Beauty 
• 10 - Pocketfullofgreen 
• 8 - Whataclassylady 
• 3rd Race 
• 2 - St. Joe Bay 
• 3 - Rivers Run Deep 
• 4 - Imma Bling 
• 4th Race 
• 6 - Flat Out Fast 
• 7 - Grandpa's Dream 
• 9 - Heavy Roller 
• 5th Race 
• 8 - The Rouge Diesel 
• 7 - Get That Box 
• 9 - Star Dog 
• 6th Race 
• 4 - Wynn Time 
• 3 - Whitmore 
• 2 - Warrior's Club 
• 7th Race 
• 11 - Minecraft Maniac 
• 12 - Pop Culture 
• 13 - Gettin Even 
• 8th Race 
• 5 - Red Ruby
• 6 - Amy's Challenge 
• 2 - Stronger Than Ever  
• 9th Race 
• 3 - Nile Show 
• 2 - Jim's Angel 
• 10 - Dance Like Katie 

Good luck! Have a great day at the racetrack.