Oaklawn Park Selections for February 3, 2018

Here is the February 3, 2018 tip sheet for Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs generated by the OakPick software (a proprietary Monte Carlo computer program). The predictions here are free, but if you have a good day at the races with my algorithm, please share using the comment section and/or with PayPal tips.

• 1st Race 
• 7 - Party Pants 
• 5 - Sing Prada Sing 
• 4 - Hot and Ready
• 2nd Race
• 7 - Rock Star Status 
• 4 - Top Player 
• 6 - Swordfish
• 3rd Race
• 8 - Jerrid 
• 1 - Shotgun Kowboy 
• 5 - Allidoisdreamofyou
• 4th Race
• 2 - Here Comes Kyle 
• 7 - Swither's Shortcut 
• 1 - Limation
• 5th Race
• 10 - The Rouge Diesel 
• 7 - Colony Strike 
• 2 - Glitnir
• 6th Race
• 10 - Just Fred 
• 9 - Oliver's Bull 
• 3 - Big Headed Jerry
• 7th Race
• 6 - Rocking the Boat 
• 3 - Wild Caramelo 
• 10 - Blame Will
• 8th Race
• 6 - Royal Squeeze 
• 5 - Prime Engine 
• 4 - St. Joe Bay
• 9th Race
• 10 - Mitole 
• 4 - Leinster 
• 8 - Eisenstaedt

For February 3, 2018, the probabilities for predicting "exactly X winners" {P(X win)} are the following:

• P(9 win) = 0.00000000082 
• P(8 win) = 0.00000006848 
• P(7 win) = 0.00000254922 
• P(6 win) = 0.00005519262 
• P(5 win) = 0.00076582832 
• P(4 win) = 0.00706162868 
• P(3 win) = 0.04326644626 
• P(2 win) = 0.16983388736 
• P(1 win) = 0.38750161415 
• P(0 win) = 0.39151278409

Here are the probabilities of predicting "at least" a certain number of wins for the OakPick top selection:

• At least 1 win = 0.60848721591 
• At least 2 win = 0.22098560176 
• At least 3 win = 0.05115171439 
• At least 4 win = 0.00788526813 
• At least 5 win = 0.00082363945 
• At least 6 win = 0.00005781113 
• At least 7 win = 0.00000261851 
• At least 8 win = 0.00000006929 
• At least 9 win = 0.00000000082

To get the % chance, multiply the probability numbers by 100. Have a good day at the races and good luck.